Week Ahead – Flash February PMIs eyed for growth clues; Fed and ECB minutes to be watched too

Posted on February 15, 2019 at 1:33 pm GMT

The focus will firmly be on economic indicators next week as political and central bank events temporarily take a back seat. The latest PMI releases for the Eurozone will be one of the highlights as growth in the region grinds to a halt, while employment numbers out of Australia and the United Kingdom will attract attention too. Japanese trade and inflation figures will also be on investors’ watch list. Central banks will not be totally absent, however, as the latest [..]


European Open Preview – Dollar, stocks retreat as data and trade talks disappoint

Posted on February 15, 2019 at 8:46 am GMT

Dollar and equities pull back after US retail sales plummet and trade talks seem likely to disappoint Pound underperforms as PM May loses another Brexit vote Euro/dollar stabilizes somewhat, supported by rate differentials UK retail sales and early US data for February coming up today Dollar drops alongside stocks as retail sales plunge, trade optimism fades The dollar retreated in tandem with US equity markets yesterday, both giving back some of their recent gains, following disappointing US data and signs [..]


European Open Preview – Markets climb on trade euphoria; dollar rally revitalized

Posted on February 14, 2019 at 8:54 am GMT

Stock markets grind higher as trade hopes grow, but caution warranted Dollar bulls back in the driver’s seat as core inflation beats forecasts Aussie and kiwi outperforming on Chinese data; focus on trade talks Trade euphoria keeps markets afloat as talks commence, but mind the risks US stock markets continued their march higher yesterday, and futures suggest they are set to open in the green today as well, buoyed by optimism around trade after the US President indicated the talks [..]


European Open Preview – Kiwi roars back as RBNZ disappoints the bears

Posted on February 13, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Kiwi skyrockets after RBNZ refrains from signaling rate cuts, but downside risks linger Trump’s trade comments reinvigorate risk appetite UK and US inflation data highlight the agenda today RBNZ fails to live up to market’s dovish expectations, kiwi explodes up As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy unchanged overnight, maintaining a relatively balanced tone overall. It acknowledged that downside risks have increased, particularly on a global level, but retained some optimism on the outlook. Most [..]


Germany to avoid recession in Q4 but risks still lurk – Forex News Preview

Posted on February 12, 2019 at 4:20 pm GMT

The euro has been in a disadvantageous position over the past two weeks as Italy tipped into recession at the end of last year, while the ongoing Brexit drama continued to restrict buying interest for the currency. Concerns have been also growing in Germany, where the third quarter saw the biggest EU economy contracting for the first time after four years, with investors anxiously waiting fresh GDP growth readings out of the country on Thursday to determine whether the economy [..]


European Open Preview – Dollar rips higher; RBNZ meeting in focus

Posted on February 12, 2019 at 8:41 am GMT

Dollar soars as ‘there is no alternative’; Fed’s Powell speaks at 17:45 GMT News US government shutdown may be avoided support risk sentiment RBNZ meets overnight; may strike a cautious tone, but is unlikely to be as dovish as market pricing implies Dollar rips higher, but can the bulls stay in control? The greenback shined for yet another session, continuing its unrelenting rally for an eighth day in a row versus a basket of major currencies, without much in the [..]


European Open Preview – Dollar extends winning streak; franc suffers mini “flash crash”

Posted on February 11, 2019 at 8:47 am GMT

Dollar ticks up, stocks mixed as risk sentiment remains fragile Swiss franc had a mini “flash crash” overnight, amid thin liquidity conditions UK GDP data due today, but focus remains on Thursday’s Brexit vote in Parliament Dollar climbs, stocks steady as sentiment remains wobbly The dollar advanced for a 7th straight session against a basket of currencies on Friday, albeit only modestly, as investors sought the security of the world’s reserve currency amid concerns around the health of the global [..]


Technical Analysis – EURUSD rebounds on short-term uptrend line; stochastic oversold

Posted on February 11, 2019 at 7:38 am GMT

EURUSD has tumbled over the preceding five consecutive days, falling back below the 20- and 40-simple moving averages (SMAs) in the daily timeframe. Also, the SMAs posted a bearish crossover last Friday, signaling negative movement. Currently, the price is attempting a rebound on the near-term ascending trend line, around the 1.1300 psychological level, erasing some significant losses. Looking at the technical indicators, the %K line of the stochastic oscillator recorded a positive cross with the %D line in the oversold zone, suggesting [..]


Week Ahead – Japanese and UK Q4 GDP in focus; Kiwi readies for dovish noises from RBNZ

Posted on February 8, 2019 at 2:45 pm GMT

Japan and the United Kingdom will be next to publish economic growth numbers for the final quarter of 2018, while the Eurozone will release its second GDP estimate for the period. Inflation data out of the US and the UK will also be watched. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will be among the last of the major central banks to hold its first monetary policy meeting of 2019. The Bank is unlikely to buck the trend and will probably [..]


European Open Preview – Stocks retreat on trade woes; BoE ‘holds the line’

Posted on February 8, 2019 at 8:43 am GMT

Risk aversion returns as Trump reignites trade fears, says he won’t meet Xi soon Sterling rebounds as BoE sticks to hiking plans, but Brexit uncertainty lingers Euro drifts lower after EU Commission slashes growth forecasts Canadian employment data coming up Stocks take a hit as Trump says he won’t meet Xi soon US equity markets closed well in the red yesterday, with the S&P 500 shedding 0.94%, following headlines that President Trump will not meet President Xi before the March [..]

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