Technical Analysis – AUDJPY bounces off 11-year low, but recovery fizzles

Posted on March 27, 2020 at 1:06 pm GMT

AUDJPY fell aggressively in recent weeks to touch an 11-year low of 59.85, where the pair found fresh buy orders and subsequently rebounded. That said, the price structure on the daily chart still points to a broader downtrend, something reinforced by the ‘death cross’ of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) below the 200-day one. Moreover, the inability of the bulls to pierce above 67.70 suggests that upside momentum is fading. Short term oscillators paint a mixed picture. Whereas the [..]


Technical Analysis – AUDUSD rebounds on 17½-year low; negative momentum fades

Posted on March 26, 2020 at 7:26 am GMT

AUDUSD is unable to decisively overrun above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the bearish wave from 0.7030 to the 17½-year low of 0.5506 to post some significant gains, as positive momentum evaporates. The pair today has declined to the nearby red Tenkan-sen line and the 23.6% Fibonacci of 0.5865, with backing from the technical indicators and the easing simple moving average lines (SMAs). Most of the short-term oscillators suggest an increase in negative momentum for now. The slightly falling [..]


Technical Analysis – EURUSD recovery halted by downtrend line

Posted on March 25, 2020 at 11:45 am GMT

EURUSD recovered in recent sessions following an aggressive sell-off, but the bulls seem to be having trouble overcoming a downtrend line drawn from the March peak. The near-term outlook therefore remains negative for the time being, though a break above the downtrend line and more importantly above the 1.0890 zone, could turn it back to neutral. Short term momentum oscillators rest near their neutral levels, providing no clear directional signals. The RSI is currently testing its 50 zone while the [..]


Technical Analysis – EURGBP retreats from 11-year high, tests crucial support area

Posted on March 25, 2020 at 7:02 am GMT

EURGBP staged a powerful rally over the past month to touch an 11-year high near 0.9500, before retreating somewhat. The price structure still consists of higher highs and higher lows above an upside support line, as well as above the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), implying that the broader outlook remains positive. For that to change, the bears would need to pierce below the upside line and also drive the pair below the 0.9000 handle.   Short term [..]


Technical Analysis – EURCHF rebounds on 5-year low; strongly negative in long-term

Posted on March 24, 2020 at 1:38 pm GMT

EURCHF is trading slightly above the five-year low of 1.0515, flirting with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the immediate resistance at 1.0615, which coincides with the 40-day SMA. The market is remaining well below the descending trend line, creating a strong selling trend which began eleven months ago. Technically, the RSI indicator is pointing up in the bearish zone, while the MACD is losing some momentum, surpassing the trigger line in the negative area. Downwards, the bears could face immediate support from [..]


Technical Analysis – USDCAD flirts with 20-SMA, signaling some losses in near term

Posted on March 24, 2020 at 7:54 am GMT

USDCAD is on course to slip beneath the short-term 20-period simple moving average (SMA) creating a neutral mode after the sell-off from the more than four-year high of 1.4670. According to the momentum indicators, the stochastic oscillator is diving towards the oversold zone, while the RSI is turning lower in the positive area. Immediate support is being provided by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 1.3200 to 1.4670, around 1.4320, which stands near the 1.4330 support [..]


Technical Analysis – AUSUSD slips marginally below 20-period SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci

Posted on March 23, 2020 at 10:28 am GMT

AUDUSD has been underperforming in the past two days, breaking back below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 0.6685 to 0.5506 at 0.5783. When looking at the bigger picture, the pair has a clear downside trend and has been moving below the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs). Considering the momentum indicators, the RSI is lacking direction slightly below its neutral threshold of 50, suggesting that the market could keep consolidating in the near term. The MACD [..]


Technical Analysis – EURUSD bounces quickly up after hitting 3-year low

Posted on March 19, 2020 at 1:48 pm GMT

EURUSD had a flash downside correction below the downward-sloping channel today, stretching its ten-day old sell-off to a three-year low of 1.0725. The MACD continues to lose momentum below its trigger line, the RSI is making its way down below its 30 oversold level, while the stochastic oscillator is reversing south again, all signaling a bearish trading in the short-term. Also, the 20- and the 40-period simple moving averages (SMAs) are following the price action down. Should weakness extend, support could be initially detected within the 1.0775 – 1.0800 support area before the 1.0725 trough [..]


Technical Analysis – EURNZD finds wall at 10-year top; looks overbought

Posted on March 19, 2020 at 10:39 am GMT

EURNZD found some footing around the ten-year high of 1.9922 before edging lower near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from 1.6615 to 1.9922 at 1.9145. The red Tenkan-sen line, remains well above the blue Kijun-sen and the RSI is currently flirting with overbought levels, while the stochastic is turning lower into the positive area after the bearish cross within the %K and %D lines, which exited the overbought region. A pull back may meet immediate support around the 1.8990 barrier, while [..]


Technical Analysis – US dollar index near 17-year high as rally accelerates

Posted on March 19, 2020 at 8:40 am GMT

US dollar index futures (June delivery) exploded higher in recent weeks, as the global pandemic crisis has ignited a dollar liquidity shortage. The price is now trading at three-year highs, with the structure on the weekly chart consisting of higher highs well above the 50- and 200-week moving averages (MAs), which posted a ‘golden cross’ in mid-2019. Hence, the picture is positive, and a weekly close above the almost two-decade high of 103.80 could add more gasoline to the rally. [..]

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