UK data eyed, but Brexit is all that matters for sterling – Forex News Preview

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 12:45 pm GMT

The latest UK inflation and retail sales data are due on Wednesday and Thursday respectively, but as usual, Brexit news will dominate price action in the pound. Focus remains on whether a deal can be struck in the coming days, which is very doubtful. As for the pound, the relief rally may not be over just yet, as most potential near-term outcomes seem favorable. Either a deal gets done now, or the UK gets an extension that is followed by [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling jumps on Brexit hopes; Trump sanctions Turkey

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 8:23 am GMT

Pound shoots up on hopes for a Brexit deal this week Brexit optimism lifts stock markets too, but trade concerns linger Trump hits Turkey with tariffs and sanctions, yet lira climbs Barnier says Brexit deal still possible this week, pound charges higher The Brexit saga remains the dominant theme in the FX market. Investors are holding their breath to see whether a deal will be reached, after the negotiations intensified in recent days. This morning, chief EU negotiator Barnier said [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD violates March downtrend; cautiously bullish in short-term

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 7:42 am GMT

GBPUSD traders turned indecisive following last week’s impressive rally that drove the price slightly above the 1.2700 level and just below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The short-term momentum indicators suggest a cautiously bullish bias as the RSI and the Stochastics maintain an upward direction not far below the overbought territory. Regarding the market trend, however, technical signals are more optimistic since the pair has created a higher high around 1.2580 and a higher low at 1.2200, violating the downtrend [..]

Daily Market Comment – Symbolic trade deal lifts sentiment; sterling cools

Posted on October 14, 2019 at 8:12 am GMT

US and China reach ‘mini’ trade deal, but markets remain skeptical Pound pulls back as DUP signals it might not support Boris’s deal Loonie soars after Canadian jobs data beat estimates Trade truce lifts stocks, sends yen lower Global risk appetite got a boost on Friday, with stocks edging higher while safe havens like the Japanese yen surrendered ground, after the world’s two largest economies reached a truce in their fiery trade battle. This ‘limited’ trade agreement will see China [..]

What’s next in the shifting Brexit saga? – Special Report

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 12:54 pm GMT

Markets have become more optimistic on Brexit, after the UK and Irish leaders said they see a ‘pathway’ to a deal. Yet, if Boris truly watered down his stance enough to make a deal possible, he will likely lose the support of his hardline Brexiteers, so any accord may be rejected by Parliament. Hence, another Brexit extension that is followed by an election still seem inevitable. Since that could make both a future deal and a second referendum more likely, [..]

Week Ahead – Big week for Chinese data; make or break time (again) for Brexit

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 12:49 pm GMT

Monthly reports on inflation, retail sales and employment will get into full swing next week, but China is likely to steal the limelight as it will have the busiest calendar. All eyes will be on the third quarter GDP estimate as China battles to prevent a hard landing of its economy amid a deepening trade dispute with the United States. But the ongoing trade war isn’t the only thing that will be causing fatigue for investors as the Brexit drama [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trade optimism lifts risk assets; pound soars after UK and Ireland see “pathway” to deal

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 8:07 am GMT

Risk sentiment boosted after Trump says negotiations were “very, very good” Safe havens retreat along with US dollar, but caution keeps gold elevated Pound skyrockets after UK and Irish PMs say they see “pathway to possible deal” Renewed optimism that US and China can de-escalate tensions Signs that the US and China were making much-needed progress in their long-running trade dispute lifted market sentiment on Friday, leading to a broad-based risk-on mood. President Trump told reporters the talks are “going [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets calm but choppy amid mixed signals on trade talks

Posted on October 10, 2019 at 8:28 am GMT

Conflicting reports on state of US-China trade talks pull sentiment in all directions Hope of a partial trade deal sees calm restored before top-level talks are set to start Euro shoots higher ahead of ECB minutes Pound not holding its breath for breakthrough as UK and Irish PMs meet for last-ditch Brexit talks Trade talks still dominating markets’ attention There’s no escaping the US-China trade war saga not even for a single day this week as the headlines keep rolling [..]

UK GDP growth looks fragile as Brexit confusion mounts – Forex News Preview

Posted on October 9, 2019 at 3:29 pm GMT

Monthly GDP growth readings for the month of August will come out of the UK on Thursday at 08:30 GMT and forecasts argue for a pullback in expansion as recent data out of the services sector have already warned. While the Brexit turmoil is holding the central bank’s hands tied, policymakers may not wait for long to join the dovish camp. Where are we on Brexit? The UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has submitted a new Brexit proposal to the European Commission [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar holds firm even as Powell signals more rate cuts; trade optimism fades

Posted on October 9, 2019 at 8:23 am GMT

Fed’s Powell announces expansion of balance sheet, possible rate cuts but dollar supported by trade gloom Trade talks continue amid worsening US-China relations as US imposes more restrictions Pound slumps again as Brexit talks are close to collapse Dollar unshaken by dovish Powell The dollar index – a measure of the US currency against a basket of six rivals – edged up towards last week’s 2½-year peak of 99.67 as dimming hopes of a breakthrough in this week’s Sino-US trade [..]

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