Week Ahead – Markets seek rate cut signals from Fed; BoE and BoJ meet too; euro eyes flash PMIs

Posted on June 14, 2019 at 10:56 am GMT

Central bank meetings will be front and centre next week as the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan convene for their policy decisions. The Fed will likely grab the most attention amid intensifying expectations of a rate cut. In terms of data releases, the main focus will be on inflation as Canada, the Eurozone, Japan and the United Kingdom report for the month of May. Flash PMIs out of the Eurozone will be important too, so will [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil, gold up on Middle East tensions; dollar steady ahead of US retail sales

Posted on June 14, 2019 at 8:03 am GMT

Brent crude extends gains following tanker attack in Gulf of Oman; gold lifted too Dollar heads for weekly gains as US retails sales and Fed meeting eyed Aussie and kiwi sag on growing rate cut bets Oil jumps on renewed tensions in Middle East Market sentiment was mixed on Friday as ongoing trade uncertainty and a flare up in Middle East tensions were partly offset by growing expectations that the Fed will come to the rescue of a weakening economic [..]


Technical Analysis – NZDUSD lacks direction in the very short-term

Posted on June 13, 2019 at 9:13 am GMT

NZDUSD has been holding within a narrow range over the last couple of days, with upper boundary the mid-level of the Bollinger band around 0.6590 and lower boundary the 0.6565 support level. The MACD is flattening near its red signal line, while the RSI is still hovering below the neutral threshold of 50, all signaling a more cautious trading in the short term. Traders would be eagerly looking for a break below 0.6565 to increase selling orders. If that’s the case, the rally could last until [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen up on trade deal pessimism; pound down on failed bid to block no-deal Brexit

Posted on June 13, 2019 at 8:11 am GMT

Major pairs struggle against the yen as the market mood sours on low hopes of a US-China trade deal US dollar also supported from risk-off despite softer-than-expected inflation data Pound gains then falls again as opposition MPs fail to get backing for legislation blocking a no-deal Brexit Safe havens back in demand Fading hopes that there could be a breakthrough in the stalled trade talks between the United States and China at the G20 summit weighed on market sentiment for [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar drifts lower ahead of US inflation data; euro edges up on Trump tweet

Posted on June 12, 2019 at 8:17 am GMT

US dollar drifts lower as markets await US inflation data for Fed rate clues Stocks turn negative as Trump says he’s “holding up the deal” with China Euro eyes fresh highs, gets a lift from Trump’s currency comments Risk appetite fades as US-China deal looking unlikely at G20 US stocks ended their five-day winning streak as hopes that the US and China would still be able to get the trade negotiations back on track at the G20 summit fast dwindled. [..]

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD bullish near one-month highs; outlook turns positive in near term

Posted on June 6, 2019 at 7:21 am GMT

NZDUSD had one of its best trading sessions for this year, this week, gaining more than 1.4% to edge above its short-term moving averages in the daily timeframe and reach a fresh one-month high of 0.6665 on Wednesday. The technical indicators are still flashing bullish, with the MACD stretching further above its red trigger line and the RSI moving above its 50 neutral level. The red Tenkan-sen line of the Ichimoku cloud could be an indication that the rally is overdone as it is flattening, and hence negative corrections should [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks rally on Powell boost, dollar sinks further

Posted on June 5, 2019 at 8:20 am GMT

Global stocks receive a major boost from Fed’s Powell after he opens the door to a rate cut But rising rate cut expectations pull the US dollar to fresh lows Aussie extends gains despite weaker-than-expected GDP growth Stocks surge after Powell’s comments Fed Chairman Jerome Powell paved the way for a rate cut on Tuesday, in his first remarks since the collapse of the US-China trade talks. Speaking at a Fed event in Chicago, Powell referred to the recent spike [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar extends slide as Fed rate cut bets intensify; Powell speech eyed

Posted on June 4, 2019 at 8:16 am GMT

US dollar continues to nosedive as Treasury yields touch fresh lows on rising rate cut expectations RBA cuts rates but Australian dollar defiant as it climbs to 3-week high Tech stocks tumble as US giants, including Facebook and Apple, face antitrust probe Dollar sell-off shows no sign of abating The US currency is headed for its third straight day of sharp losses against a basket of currencies as traders continue to price in an increasing probability that the Federal Reserve [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen shines bright as Trump slaps tariffs on Mexico

Posted on May 31, 2019 at 7:47 am GMT

Risk aversion engulfs markets after US unleashes more trade havoc Dollar holds its ground even as Fed easing bets grow further US PCE inflation, German preliminary CPIs, and Canadian GDP due today Yen soars, loonie & peso crumble as Trump fires another tariff salvo Following a relatively calm session yesterday, risk aversion returned with a vengeance early on Friday, after the US President announced new tariffs overnight. All goods coming to the US from Mexico after June 10 will be [..]


Technical Analysis – NZDUSD hovers in Ichimoku cloud posting narrow range in near term

Posted on May 30, 2019 at 8:14 am GMT

NZDUSD has jumped into the Ichimoku cloud over the last few sessions as it found strong support around the 0.6505 barrier. The price touched the 40-simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart, and returned lower again, while the RSI indicator is also pointing down in the negative region. What remains to be seen is if the bears have enough fuel to continue the sharp negative movement or change the bearish bias to neutral. A move below the 40-SMA could [..]

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