Fourth-quarter inflation numbers out of New Zealand are due at 21:45 GMT on Thursday, and forecasts point to a solid increase in the yearly CPI rate. If met, such a print would feed the narrative that the economy is getting its feet under it after a soft 2019, and further diminish the odds for the RBNZ to cut rates again in the coming months. That might help the kiwi recover somewhat, though the risks surrounding the currency seem increasingly asymmetric. [..]
NZDUSD has been developing within a downward sloping channel over the last three weeks, remaining slightly below the short- and long-term moving averages. The price is in a downward correction move and more losses are expected if it fails to overcome the 0.6615 resistance level. The RSI is pointing slightly down in the negative territory, however, the MACD is still standing above the trigger line in the near term. Immediate support is coming from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of [..]
ECB to stay on hold – risks tilted towards a slightly more upbeat narrative BoC teases rate cut, sends loonie plunging Yen jumps as China seals off major city to avoid virus contagion Pound and aussie soar after strong data diminish odds of rate cuts ECB decision: No action, but perhaps a less dovish tone All eyes will be on the European Central Bank (ECB) today, which concludes its policy meeting at 12:45 GMT. No action is expected, so the [..]
BoC to stay on hold, but any hints of concern might elicit sharp downside in loonie Risk sentiment recovers as concerns about the virus fade Decent UK data lift sterling, but PMIs will be the casting vote on rate cut BoC meeting: Another asymmetric event for the loonie The main event today will be the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision at 15:00 GMT. A press conference by Governor Poloz will follow about an hour later. Rates are almost certain [..]
Yen shines, Asian stocks drop as markets focus on virus outbreak BoJ preserves its limited firepower for a rainy day Busy day ahead: UK data, impeachment, World Economic Forum, and earnings Yen lifted by coronavirus concerns, but is this sustainable? Financial markets traded quietly on Monday, with most currency pairs staying confined in very narrow ranges, as a public holiday in America and the absence of any noteworthy economic data releases in Europe left investors wanting. That all changed overnight [..]
Greenback outperforms as incoming data reaffirm strength of US economy Pound crumbles after soft retail sales enhance case for a BoE rate cut next week Bank of Japan rate decision coming up; supply disruptions boost oil Solid US data lift dollar, catapult US stocks to fresh records The dollar was the star performer in the FX market on Friday, advancing across the board after the latest batch of US data beat forecasts, feeding the narrative that the American economy continues [..]
China reports slowest annual growth in 29 years but signs of rebound at year-end Stocks climb to new records amid ongoing trade optimism and positive earnings String of upbeat data out of the US also boosts risk appetite China’s growth slows in 2019 but recovery could be underway Economic growth in the world’s second largest economy reached the slowest in 29 years according to GDP numbers out of China this morning. GDP expanded by 6.1% for the full year in [..]
NZDUSD traded with losses over the last two weeks, following the pullback off the five-month high of 0.6754 and now, it is creating a downward sloping channel. Currently, the price is trading slightly above the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) near the return line of the channel. The RSI on the 4-hour chart is missing direction in positive area, while the MACD oscillator is moving higher, approaching the zero line. Also, the red Tenkan-sen keeps flattening below the blue Kijun-sen line, reducing chances for [..]
Wall Street hits new records and US jobs data today may add fuel to the rally Canada’s employment figures also due – asymmetric risk for loonie? Pound drops on dovish BoE comments and may still have some way to go Nonfarm payrolls: More fuel for stocks? The main event today will be the US employment report for December. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are forecast to clock in at 164k, less than the astounding 266k in November, but still a solid number [..]
Yen and gold slump, equities jump as US-Iran tensions take a back seat Dollar outperforms amid fading Fed rate-cut expectations – lots of Fed speakers today In Canada, BoC Governor Poloz delivers remarks and might strike a dovish tone Oil collapses alongside safe havens as worries of US-Iran war fade Global markets continued to price out the risk of an imminent all-out war between the US and Iran yesterday, amid signs that neither side is seeking further escalation. The fact [..]
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