Technical Analysis – WTI futures recede below 200-MA, denied passage over 43.69

Posted on September 10, 2020 at 8:35 am GMT

WTI oil futures have found some footing on the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) of 37.03, residing at the Ichimoku cloud’s lower band, following ineffective efforts to overrun the vital resistance border of 43.69. The flat Ichimoku lines and the converging SMAs appear to signal oxygen-deprived directional drive, which could nudge the price sideways. That said, the short-term oscillators also display conflicting signals in momentum. The MACD is extending a negative move below its red trigger line and the zero [..]

Daily Market Comment – Tesla leads Nasdaq slump as tech rout deepens; dollar up

Posted on September 9, 2020 at 9:02 am GMT

Tech selloff broadens, hitting global equities; Wall Street plunges for third straight day AstraZeneca’s vaccine trial setback adds to negative mood Dollar and yen rise on growing risk aversion, but gold still directionless Pound extends slide as Brexit troubles weigh; loonie looks to BoC for support Is this the end of the tech rally? Equity markets were reeling on Wednesday from a third consecutive day of declines on Wall Street yesterday as big-name tech stocks suffered another major selling episode. [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pound hammered as no-deal Brexit fears return

Posted on September 8, 2020 at 8:48 am GMT

Brexit comes back to haunt the pound as Johnson raises the stakes Euro sticks to tight range ahead of Thursday’s ECB decision Stocks regain positive footing but dollar up as Trump talks China decoupling Pound slumps after Johnson threatens no deal Only five weeks left to reach a deal and Britain and the European Union are too busy posturing than negotiating, with Boris Johnson’s latest rhetoric once again raising the prospect of a no-deal Brexit. As the talks to agree [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures heal after slump, trend signals turn reddish

Posted on September 4, 2020 at 10:37 am GMT

WTI oil futures for October delivery are healing after crashing below the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart and to a one-month low of 40.21 on Thursday. While the fast Stochastics have yet to enter the overbought territory, suggesting that there is some room for improvement in the near-term, the 20- and the 200-period SMAs have just completed a bearish cross for the first time since January, giving a negative warning about the strength of the market’s upward pattern. [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI futures struggle after conquering 200-day SMA

Posted on August 27, 2020 at 9:00 am GMT

WTI oil futures are striving to overcome a critical resistance at 43.69, after having nudged over the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Positive momentum has been gradually shrinking for approximately two-months, mirrored in the flattening out of the Ichimoku lines. Yet, the price continues to steadily crawl higher, maintaining a positive tone above the SMAs and the Ichimoku cloud. The short-term oscillators further reflect the anaemic positive momentum. The MACD, slightly in the positive region, continues to drag below its [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar treads water as all eyes on Powell

Posted on August 27, 2020 at 8:37 am GMT

Markets steady as Powell’s highly anticipated Jackson Hole speech awaited Dollar braces for major dovish tilt by the Fed Aussie and kiwi lead the gainers; loonie seeks further oil boost How dovish can the Fed get? Fed chief Jerome Powell will take centre stage when he updates investors on the Fed’s policy framework review at the annual Jackson Hole conference of central bankers, which has gone virtual this year due to the ongoing pandemic. Powell will deliver his hotly anticipated [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar edges up, stocks struggle after yields spike higher

Posted on August 26, 2020 at 8:51 am GMT

Market mood turns cautious amid mixed signs on the global economy Bond yields extend gains as inflation expectations rise But big drop in US consumer confidence casts doubt on recovery Stocks softer, dollar crawls higher ahead of Jackson Hole Yields creep higher: sign of economic health or trouble? Risk appetite appeared to falter on Wednesday as higher long-term borrowing costs weighed on equities, while unexpected weakness in US consumer confidence supported the safe-haven dollar and yen in currency markets. Stocks [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI futures range bound; buyers pierce above cloud

Posted on August 25, 2020 at 12:33 pm GMT

WTI oil futures penetrated above the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) currently at the cloud’s upper surface around 42.66, following a recent bounce on the 200-period SMA. A consolidated tone has grasped the commodity for the last couple of weeks but a relatively bullish bearing continues to dominate the SMAs. The short-term oscillators reflect a slight increase in positive momentum. The MACD is marginally below zero but holds above its red trigger line, while the RSI is improving from its [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures likely awaiting a volatile session

Posted on August 6, 2020 at 7:29 am GMT

WTI oil futures for September delivery stabilized near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 65.61-6.62 downleg after unlocking a five-month high of 43.49. Oil has been printing higher highs and higher lows since the plunge to a record low of 6.62, though the uptrend lost shine from June onwards, raising some worries about its sustainability. Meanwhile, Bollinger bands have narrowed significantly, foreshadowing a more volatile session, with momentum indicators currently suggesting that this [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar resumes slide; stocks struggle but tech bucks the trend

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 8:55 am GMT

Dollar slumps again as US economy crashes, heads for fiscal cliff Euro, pound and aussie catapult higher but yen’s jump raises eyebrows European and Asian shares skid but big tech earnings lift Nasdaq Dollar on track for worst month in decade The US dollar is headed for its worst monthly performance in nearly 10 years as economic and political woes in America increasingly undermine the world’s reserve currency just as the outlook elsewhere brightens somewhat. The US economy collapsed by [..]

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