Daily Market Comment – Pullback in dollar lifts all boats; risk aversion creeps back

Posted on July 18, 2019 at 8:00 am GMT

Dollar retreats as trade concerns fuel Fed rate cut bets Stocks drop, safe havens gain amid risk aversion  Aussie climbs after employment data UK retail sales due as pound recovers some losses Dollar grinds lower as July rate cut bets mount The world’s reserve currency retreated almost across the board on Wednesday and continues to surrender ground today, falling in tandem with longer-term US interest rates as worrisome trade signals prompted traders to boost bets for aggressive Fed rate cuts. [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling stumbles as no-deal Brexit fears strike back

Posted on July 17, 2019 at 7:48 am GMT

Pound touches 27-month lows as no-deal Brexit concerns resurface Dollar capitalizes, and may have more room to recover for now Oil sinks as Washington hints at “progress” with Iran Canadian inflation data coming up Sterling stumbles as no-deal worries wreak havoc The pound came under fire on Tuesday, falling by more than one big figure against the dollar to touch lows last seen in April 2017, as the risk of a no-deal Brexit popped back on the market’s radar. The [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks aim for new records as Chinese data lift sentiment

Posted on July 15, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

US stocks eye new record highs as earnings season begins Dollar pulls back as markets digest Powell’s cautiousness Kiwi outperforms on Chinese data, looks to crucial inflation numbers Solid Chinese data calm slowdown fears, boost risk appetite Global markets kicked off the week in a risk-on mood, with the major US stock indices set to open at new record highs and commodity currencies like the kiwi outperforming in the FX arena, following a batch of encouraging Chinese data. As expected, [..]

Daily Market Comment – US payrolls could decide how deep Fed cuts in July

Posted on July 5, 2019 at 7:53 am GMT

US employment data today will be crucial for Fed rate-cut expectations and the dollar Canadian jobs figures also due, as loonie touches new 2019 high In Europe, bond markets continue to price in QE, but euro snoozes US payrolls may dictate how deep Fed cuts in July and dollar’s path After a relatively quiet session on Thursday, the spotlight will fall on the US employment data today. Markets are still pricing in a ~25% probability for a ‘double’ rate cut [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks sail into uncharted waters; loonie shines

Posted on July 4, 2019 at 7:47 am GMT

American equities soar to record highs, as ‘bad news is good news’ again Loonie advances to best levels this year on Fed-BoC policy divergence Trump calls for weaker dollar, but dollar yawns US stocks hit new records American equity markets sailed into uncharted waters yesterday, with all the major indices – the S&P 500 (+0.77%), Dow Jones (+0.67%), and Nasdaq Composite (+0.74%) – closing at new record highs. In a classic case of ‘bad news is good news for stocks’, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Lagarde to succeed Draghi at ECB; US data eyed

Posted on July 3, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

Lagarde to take over ECB after Draghi; markets bet on more QE BoE’s Carney strikes dovish tone, drags pound down Oil retreats as traders ‘sell fact’ after OPEC US ADP jobs and ISM non-manufacturing to drive dollar today IMF’s Lagarde chosen as next ECB chief In an otherwise quiet session on Tuesday, the biggest piece of news was that EU leaders finally reached a consensus on who to nominate for the Union’s top jobs. German defense minister Ursula von der [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBA cuts, but aussie won’t stay down; dollar recovers

Posted on July 2, 2019 at 7:57 am GMT

RBA reduces rates again, but aussie remains unfazed Dollar recovers as July rate-cut bets are scaled back EU leaders resume talks over top jobs; Global PMIs due RBA cuts, but can’t keep the aussie down The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) slashed interest rates earlier today, for the second time in two meetings, indicating that the move will help reduce unemployment and boost inflation. The cut was widely signaled in advance and largely priced in ahead of the event, so [..]

Daily Market Comment – US and China agree to ceasefire, stocks & dollar cheer

Posted on July 1, 2019 at 8:21 am GMT

Trade ceasefire propels stocks and dollar higher, sends safe havens lower Oil rejoices on trade truce and OPEC agreement ISM manufacturing PMI today may be crucial for Fed expectations Risk sentiment lifted as Trump & Xi decide to restart trade talks The pivotal meeting between the American and Chinese leaders concluded with the two sides agreeing to restart trade negotiations and hold off on imposing any new tariffs ‘for the time being’. What stood out was that the US also [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed confirms rate cuts loom, dollar crumbles

Posted on June 20, 2019 at 7:45 am GMT

Fed was remarkably dovish, sending the dollar lower BoE meets today; sterling may gain a little on reaffirmation of tightening bias Loonie flies as BoC may be the sole ‘island of neutrality’ Dollar tanks, gold soars as Fed signals incoming cuts The Fed kept rates unchanged yesterday, but the meeting wasn’t short of excitement as policymakers endorsed the market’s expectations for rate cuts as much as possible. One official voted for an immediate cut, while the Committee as a whole [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed meets; will Chair Powell be dovish enough?

Posted on June 19, 2019 at 7:53 am GMT

All eyes on Fed – Powell may have trouble satisfying the bears Euro cruises lower as Draghi signals more stimulus Stocks roar higher as Trump-Xi agree to meet at G20 UK & Canadian inflation data coming up Fed meeting: Dovish, but enough to appease the market? The main event today will be the Fed policy decision at 18:00 GMT, followed by a press conference from Chairman Powell half an hour later. A more dovish tone seems almost certain in light [..]

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