US Open Note – Stocks recover and dollar takes back seat

Posted on September 21, 2021 at 2:12 pm GMT

Market Sentiment picks up and central bank meetings draw focus The major US indices are gradually extending yesterday’s rebound while the dollar continues to dwindle. Nonetheless, as worries around China’s real estate giant Evergrande Group and its recent warnings of defaulting on its debt payments remain one of the global highlights, the spotlight continues to be directed around central banks. Investors continue to look for clues around meetings, with the BOJ expected to remain dovish and the Fed to comment [..]


US Open Note – Dollar back to gains at the end of the week

Posted on September 17, 2021 at 12:38 pm GMT

Dollar/yen back above 110.00 Prior to the weekend, the dollar is holding onto its recently gained ground, with dollar/yen approaching the 110.00 psychological number. Moreover, the dollar index is currently trading at 92.78, remaining above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Euro/dollar is showing some positive movement today, holding near 1.1780. US futures are pointing to a positive open. Headline retail sales in the US were projected to decrease -0.7% m/m but instead gained 0.75% m/m, compared to a revised -1.8% in July. UK retail sales drive pound lower The British pound declined below $1.3800 as retail [..]


US Open Note – Stocks wane and dollar improves

Posted on September 16, 2021 at 2:16 pm GMT

US retail sales, jobless claims and Canadian ADP Non-Farm labour data take centre stage US major indices are slightly lower as the greenback continues its comeback. It seems consumption endured even as job growth remained burdened last month with August headline retail sales rising to 0.7%, beating July’s -1.8% figure and expectations of -0.8% m/m, while the core data soared to 1.8%, overshooting the -0.1% m/m estimation. Furthermore, the Philly Fed Manufacturing index came in at 30.7, eclipsing August’s and [..]


US Open Note – Yen and oil surge as futures are steady

Posted on September 15, 2021 at 1:00 pm GMT

US inflation mildly affects dollar US inflation had a mild negative influence on the dollar, but yesterday’s fragile risk sentiment gave it a boost. This suggests that markets believe the Fed will delay tapering next week, which might lead to a range bound environment until the end of the week. In addition, China’s efforts to rein in private enterprises and the impact of the delta virus strain on economic development are among them. The US dollar index is heading south around the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), [..]


US Open Note – Stocks push up and dollar index slips below 92.44  

Posted on September 14, 2021 at 1:52 pm GMT

Markets and the greenback’s reaction connected to US CPI data Today’s pause on market volatility seems to have been hinged around market jitters prior to the release of the US CPI data, which is somewhat seen as the key that opens the taper door. The question is, has the rush to return to normality and subsequent supply bottlenecks been the main driver for inflation, suggesting it is temporary, or is there a deeper reason which the Fed is overlooking? These [..]


Technical Analysis – US 30 index struggles to push over mid-Bollinger band

Posted on September 10, 2021 at 2:01 pm GMT

The US 30 stock index (Cash) has dived back below the mid-Bollinger band at 35,031, with its odds looking very slim for now in testing the resistance barricade reinforced by the simple moving averages (SMAs). As things stand, the converging SMAs are promoting a slight neutral-to-bearish tilt. The short-term oscillators are favouring the downside. The MACD’s climb is subsiding in the bearish region and it is heading down towards its red trigger line, while the stochastic oscillator is about to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks perk up but shaky after Biden-Xi call; dollar pares weekly gains

Posted on September 10, 2021 at 8:54 am GMT

Global equities in better mood, Biden-Xi call helps, but Wall Street still looking wobbly Euro buys Lagarde’s ‘not tapering’ depiction, stays sluggish after ECB cuts QE pace Dollar slides again but on track for weekly gains as Fed officials reaffirm taper timeline Stocks buoyed by hopes of improved Sino-US ties Equity markets were looking more cheery on Friday after somewhat of a tumultuous week. Renewed concerns about economic growth amid rising inflation and ongoing disruptions caused by the Delta variant, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro steady ahead of ECB but stocks hit by market jitters

Posted on September 9, 2021 at 9:23 am GMT

Euro holds above $1.18 ahead of expected ‘tapering’ by ECB Fresh China crackdowns and fears of slowing growth dent sentiment Stocks slip, dollar rebound eases but yen edges up ECB to taper but call it something else The European Central Bank will probably join the taper bandwagon when it announces the outcome of its policy meeting later today. However, with some way still to go for the Eurozone recovery and a sizeable degree of uncertainty about the outlook, policymakers will [..]


US Open Note – Market sentiment picks up and dollar takes a step back

Posted on September 8, 2021 at 1:52 pm GMT

Markets prepare for Bank of Canada meeting and US Jolts The major US indices have bounced back to earlier Asian levels, while the greenback has given up a tad of its gains, which it extended from yesterday. Renewed lockdowns and travel restrictions are not aiding growth and the persistently roaming delta variant is nourishing uncertainty around global recoveries, interfering with supply chains, which is feeding higher inflation. This seems to be producing a gloomy mood in the markets. The dollar [..]


US Open Note – Markets calm down ahead of Jackson Hole

Posted on August 25, 2021 at 12:53 pm GMT

FOMC meeting and Jackson Hole attract attention There have been several confusing messages leading up to the summit (27 August). The Fed’s vice chair, Clarida, hinted at an early taper when he stated that rates could rise as early as 2022. In the US, the number of covid cases and deaths is on the rise. Especially after Kaplan’s comments on Friday, investors are increasingly focused on this factor in the run-up to the FOMC. This Thursday, the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium gets underway, and it [..]

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