Technical Analysis – US 500 index looks to be in the process of a minor bearish pullback

Posted on February 18, 2020 at 12:06 pm GMT

The US 500 index (Cash) is retreating after pivoting from the all-time high of 3,392.21 reached on Monday. The long-term picture remains strongly bullish, however, in the very short-term, the technical indicators are suggesting a possible downside correction. The MACD is heading south in the positive territory, while the RSI is sloping down above the 50 level. In the wake of negative pressures, the market could meet support at the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) currently at 3,270 before it heads lower to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level [..]

How long until US stocks ‘feel the Bern’? – Special Report

Posted on February 14, 2020 at 2:04 pm GMT

The Democratic primary race, which will decide who will square off against President Trump at the November presidential election, has kicked off. The field of candidates remains crowded and the outcome uncertain, though national polls increasingly suggest that Senator Bernie Sanders could emerge as the winner. Markets have been complacent so far, assuming that a Sanders surge might boost Trump’s re-election chances by dividing the Democrats. Yet, if Sanders continues to gain momentum, then US stocks – especially the healthcare [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro continues to suffer, pound jumps on fiscal hopes

Posted on February 14, 2020 at 9:25 am GMT

‘King dollar’ reigns supreme as euro rolls over Pound jumps as UK Chancellor resigns, fueling expectations for fiscal boost Wall Street pares losses, closes near records as ‘all news is good news’ US retail sales the highlight today – crucial for Fed Euro/dollar drifts lower as European exodus accelerates Another day, another multi-year low for euro/dollar, which continues its astonishing collapse having fallen in eight of the last nine sessions. The virus outbreak eradicated any surviving hopes for a real [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar capitalizes as euro crumbles; Risk aversion strikes back

Posted on February 13, 2020 at 9:22 am GMT

Euro/dollar and euro/franc sink to multi-year lows after weak data extinguish hopes of European recovery Pain train for euro may not be over, difficult to see what can turn this around Meanwhile, virus worries return to haunt stocks and commodity currencies as death toll jumps – yen shines Euro caves in under the weight of disappointing industrial data The world’s most traded currency pair continued its epic downfall yesterday, touching a low last seen in 2017 after a batch of [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks undeterred by Bernie win; RBNZ lifts kiwi

Posted on February 12, 2020 at 9:39 am GMT

US equities close at new highs as Powell confirms liquidity injections will continue Futures point to a higher open today as well, despite Bernie Sanders’ election victory Kiwi jumps as RBNZ abandons easing bias, signals an end to rate-cut cycle Wall Street sets more records, yen and gold retreat Financial markets continue to trade in a ‘risk-on’ manner as fears that the coronavirus will have a long-lasting impact on the global economy are gradually diminishing, thanks to a substantial slowdown [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street hits new records, but beware of the Democratic primary

Posted on February 11, 2020 at 9:21 am GMT

Fading virus fears boost equities, but New Hampshire primary today poses risks Euro pummeled as markets price out prospect of a big German spending package Fed chief Powell testifies, ECB’s Lagarde and BoE’s Carney speak RBNZ rate decision coming up – a more dovish tone seems likely Stocks climb as virus fears fade, but how long until they ‘feel the Bern’? Concerns around the economic fallout of the coronavirus seem to be fading off the market’s radar, as the rate [..]

Daily Market Comment – ‘King dollar’ continues its reign after solid jobs data

Posted on February 10, 2020 at 9:45 am GMT

Dollar cruises higher after strong payrolls push back expected timing of Fed cuts Yet, stocks struggle for altitude, yen climbs as virus fears remain in play Aussie breaks 11-year low, but quickly bounces back The world’s reserve currency shined once again on Friday, after US payrolls for January exceeded estimates, prompting traders to push back the expected timing of the next Fed rate cut. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 225k, smashing the forecast for a 160k increase and signaling that the [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks extend bull run as China cuts tariffs, Trump gets acquitted

Posted on February 6, 2020 at 9:29 am GMT

Global stocks continue to rally on upbeat US data and as virus fears ease Risk-on further aided after China cuts US tariffs and President Trump gets acquitted Dollar climbs to 2-month highs, yen retreats Unstoppable Wall Street scales fresh records A string of positive developments added further impetus to the rebound in global stocks on Thursday, as the recovery extended into a third day. Global stock markets plunged last week with China playing catch up on Monday as fears about [..]

Daily Market Comment – Chinese stocks fall apart, but currencies take a breather

Posted on February 3, 2020 at 9:45 am GMT

Equities in China fall ~8%, but broader market stabilizes after Friday’s selloff Recession fears reignite, pushing dollar down as Fed rate cuts are priced in Pound drops as Boris ‘talks tough’ – prelude of things to come?   US Democratic primary begins, will Bernie Sanders spook stocks? Chinese equities disintegrate, despite PBoC rate cut The coronavirus theme continues to torment financial markets, with Chinese stocks closing lower by almost 8% today, on their first day back from holidays. The losses [..]

Daily Market Comment – Aussie tanks on virus worries; Pound flies as BoE holds

Posted on January 31, 2020 at 9:28 am GMT

Stocks stage major comeback as investors brush aside virus fears However, aussie and kiwi tell a different story – both drop substantially Is the Fed’s ‘not QE’ responsible for the divergence between stock and bond/FX markets? Pound roars higher as BoE keeps rates unchanged Stocks recover, as health officials soothe contagion concerns The market’s rollercoaster ride continued Thursday, with US equities recovering substantial losses to close into the green, even though earnings from heavyweight tech players like Facebook (-6.1%) and [..]

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