Daily Market Comment – ‘Super Mario’ delivers, but not enough to keep euro down

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

ECB cuts rates & restarts QE, but Draghi’s hints that monetary policy is at its limits push euro higher Stocks soar, havens drop on reports of an ‘interim’ US-China trade deal US retail sales today may be crucial for whether Fed delivers a ‘hawkish rate cut’ next week Euro rides the ECB rollercoaster, ends higher The European Central Bank (ECB) meeting was not short of excitement, with policymakers slashing the deposit rate by 10 basis points to -0.50% and restarting [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB meeting front and center as trade worries ease

Posted on September 12, 2019 at 8:11 am GMT

ECB decision today – euro reaction to hinge on size of stimulus package Trade fears recede after US and China extend olive branches – stocks soar Oil prices dive as Trump considers easing Iran sanctions ECB meeting: Is ‘Super Mario’ coming with a bazooka or a toy gun? The much-anticipated ECB meeting concludes today at 11:45 GMT, and a press conference by President Mario Draghi will follow at 12:30 GMT. Policymakers are widely expected to deliver a blend of stimulus [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen in distress amid trade optimism and BoJ easing talk

Posted on September 11, 2019 at 8:10 am GMT

Trade optimism remains the dominant theme, keeping FX market in a risk-on mood Yen underperforms on speculation of BoJ easing next week Oil retreats after Trump fires hawkish national security advisor Bolton Markets stay in a risk-on mood as trade optimism lingers The FX market continues to dance to a ‘risk-on’ tune, with moves in recent days being characterized by haven currencies such as the yen retreating, while trade-sensitive currencies like the aussie and the kiwi recover lost ground. Investors [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pound recovers as no-deal Brexit fears recede, for now

Posted on September 10, 2019 at 8:06 am GMT

Sterling outperforms as Johnson strikes a slightly more conciliatory tone Euro advances on reports Berlin is considering fiscal stimulus Safe havens retreat as US’ Mnuchin reiterates his optimism on trade Sterling cruises higher as no-deal Brexit chances recede, for now The political rollercoaster continues in the UK. Prime Minister Johnson lost another vote in Parliament yesterday, with lawmakers denying his request for a snap election again. Likewise, the legislation forcing the government to ask for a Brexit extension if no [..]


Technical Analysis – US500 index exits neutral zone to look at 3,000

Posted on September 9, 2019 at 12:03 pm GMT

The US 500 stock index (cash) is eyeing the 3,000 mark again after the violation of the tough 2,940 resistance-turned-support level put the market back into the bullish game. Yet, traders could reduce buying exposures in the short-term as the RSI signals overbought conditions for the fourth consecutive day and the MACD loses momentum below its red signal line. It is also worth noting that the 50- and the 200-period simple moving averages in the four-hour chart have already established a golden cross [..]

Daily Market Comment – Brexit the only game in town as markets wait for ECB

Posted on September 9, 2019 at 8:31 am GMT

All eyes on the UK as Boris takes another shot at securing a snap election Dollar little changed after NFP and Powell don’t move the needle – ECB in focus Markets stay in risk-on mood despite soft Chinese trade data Pound cools before another UK Parliament battle Never a dull moment in British politics. After a stormy week that saw the government lose its majority and suffer multiple Brexit defeats in Parliament, investors will keep their gaze locked on another [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar lifted by upbeat US data; Powell and NFP report coming up next

Posted on September 6, 2019 at 8:25 am GMT

US dollar trims losses after string of upbeat data ease slowdown fears in the US Powell speech and US jobs report awaited for further clues Pound holds onto gains as Johnson battles to trigger a snap election Risk appetite recovers further on strong US data The week looks set to end on a positive tone as the mid-week rebound in risk appetite received an additional boost from robust economic indicators out of the United States yesterday. The US scored a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar & stocks climb on trade hopes; inflation data eyed

Posted on August 30, 2019 at 8:02 am GMT

Optimism engulfs markets after China calms trade nerves – can it last? ECB policymakers downplay QE prospects, but euro doesn’t ‘buy it’ Euro area & US inflation data in the spotlight today Dollar index near 2-year highs as trade optimism lingers Global equity markets were a sea of green on Thursday, with European and American stocks gaining more than 1% after China indicated it won’t retaliate immediately to the latest US tariffs and that the planned trade talks could still [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pound sinks as Boris plays ultimate game of chicken

Posted on August 29, 2019 at 8:29 am GMT

Pound drops after PM Johnson suspends Parliament Risk appetite improves as China hints September trade talks may go ahead German inflation data and US second GDP reading on the radar today Sterling dives as Boris sets course towards a no-deal Brexit In a dramatic turn of events, UK Prime Minister Johnson announced yesterday he will prorogue Parliament, meaning that British lawmakers will not be able to debate or vote on anything between September 12 – October 14. The move is [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street retreats on recession fears; oil soars

Posted on August 28, 2019 at 8:25 am GMT

Yen and gold advance, stocks retreat as recession worries intensify Pound recovers as no-deal Brexit risk recedes, but outlook still negative Oil jumps after massive inventory drawdown – official EIA figures due today Wall Street retreats as recession fears deepen A mild risk-off tone swept through global markets on Tuesday, with American stocks closing modestly in the red and the defensive Japanese yen outperforming most of its major peers. Likewise, gold prices logged some gains, as the commodity currencies – [..]

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