Technical Analysis – US 500 index could confirm bullish bias above cloud

Posted on April 20, 2020 at 1:35 pm GMT

The US 500 stock index attempted to climb above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) last week before the 2,893 barrier pushed it slightly back below the line. While the RSI is reversing lower, the MACD and the red Tenkan-sen line have yet to show any sign of weakness, hinting that upside corrections are still possible. Still, to confirm a sustainable upside move the bulls need to return above the 50-day SMA and more importantly run above the 2,893 peak [..]


Daily Market Comment – Oil plummets, but stocks hold their ground

Posted on April 20, 2020 at 8:56 am GMT

Loonie drops as WTI crude oil plummets to two-decade low Yet, rest of the market still calm – stocks near recent highs, yen and gold retreat Are stocks exaggerating the V-shaped recovery, or is there nothing else to buy? Demand fears devastate oil prices The energy market is back under immense pressure, with WTI crude falling below $15 per barrel today for the first time since 1999 as investors increasingly realize that there’s so much excess supply that storage space [..]

Week Ahead – Global PMIs could sober up investors

Posted on April 16, 2020 at 12:41 pm GMT

With the worst of the pandemic now behind Europe and the US also approaching a peak, markets have turned their sights to when economies will re-open. Stocks have recovered on hopes for a ‘return to normal’, but importantly, safe havens like the yen and gold are also gaining. The combination suggests that traders are still playing defense, and that the recent stock rally may be built on shaky foundations. Indeed, investors might be downplaying the scale of this crisis, and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dire US data send stocks spinning, dollar flying higher

Posted on April 16, 2020 at 8:39 am GMT

Fears of global economic slump heightened after dreadful US data Flight to safety hammers stocks, lifts dollar Talk of easing lockdowns fails to comfort markets Markets spooked as gloomy predictions start to turn to reality Reality has come back to bite the markets, taking the steam out of the relief rally in stocks, as investors grapple with the prospect of economic devastation from the virus pandemic. Data released in the United States on Wednesday showed a record slump in retail [..]

Earnings season: The good, the bad, and the very ugly – Special Report

Posted on April 14, 2020 at 3:37 pm GMT

This earnings season will be pivotal. With so little post-virus economic data so far, the real-time guidance by corporate executives could be invaluable. In a nutshell, while earnings and guidance will probably be gloomy overall, there might be huge contrasts between sectors. Industries like travel and energy will likely be decimated, whereas online retailers and home entertainment companies might have made a killing. All told, while significant downside risks remain for the market overall, some ‘value plays’ are also arising. [..]


US big four banks may give a depressing start to earnings season – Stock Market News

Posted on April 13, 2020 at 3:59 pm GMT

The four largest US banks will kick off the earnings season after the Easter break on Tuesday and Wednesday but for the first time after a long time markets will be indifferent whether the results will beat or miss forecasts as investors are aware that the path of earnings is a one-way direction to the downside thanks to the virus-led lockdown. Yet, any indication of how badly the financial sector may suffer could be the trigger for another volatile session [..]


Technical Analysis – US 500 stock index holds in upward sloping channel after bounces off 39-month trough

Posted on April 13, 2020 at 10:06 am GMT

The US 500 cash index has been developing within an upward sloping channel, following the rebound on the 39-month trough, achieved on March 23. The price had a successful jump above the simple moving averages (SMAs) in the 4-hour chart, while the technical indicators are moving sideways, with the MACD crossing just below its trigger line and the RSI flattening above the 50 level. If price action jumps above the 50.0% Fibonacci level of the downward move from 3,396.64 – [..]

Daily Market Comment – OPEC cuts, but oil and stocks don’t ‘buy it’

Posted on April 13, 2020 at 8:18 am GMT

OPEC+ agrees to an almost 10 million barrels/day supply cut Oil opens higher, but surrenders most gains as compliance doubts set in Stocks turn red, yen and gold inch higher in holiday-thinned trading OPEC cuts, but oil can’t stay afloat The world’s biggest oil producers finalized a historic deal to cut their production over the weekend, in an attempt to stabilize a market that has been ravaged by collapsing demand. After a few hiccups with Mexico, OPEC and its allies [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed lifts stocks, sinks dollar, turbocharges gold

Posted on April 10, 2020 at 8:31 am GMT

Fed goes ‘all in’ – unveils new $2.3 trillion lending program Stocks climb, dollar drops, and gold goes into overdrive But are markets realistic about the long-term damage? Oil falls after OPEC deal disappoints in size and scope Fed pulls out all the stops to cushion economy, stocks smile The US central bank rode to the rescue once again on Thursday, rolling out a gigantic $2.3 trillion lending package to help smaller and medium sized businesses as well as local [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil firms as OPEC hypes deal, stocks cheer

Posted on April 9, 2020 at 8:20 am GMT

Hopes for a production-cut deal by OPEC today catapult oil higher Deal will likely get done, yet any positive reaction in oil may be short lived Stocks climb with crude, but watch out for US jobless claims today Euro will stay tuned to the Eurogroup meeting – are Eurobonds on the menu? Oil jumps on signs a deal is near, but caution warranted The energy market has come back into the spotlight ahead of the meeting between OPEC and Russia [..]

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