Forex Market Review (Asian Session) – Dollar flat following losses on Fed perceived dovishness; thin trading on Thanksgiving holiday

Posted on November 23, 2017 at 8:29 am GMT

As the Asian session was nearing completion, the dollar was little changed on the day relative to major rival currencies after yesterday posting sizable losses following the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s October 31-November 1 meeting which showed differing views within the FOMC, casting doubts about the timing of delivery of future rate hikes. Trading activity is relatively thinner today as Japan is closed for Labor Thanksgiving Day and US markets will also be closed for the [..]


Forex Market Review (Asian Session) – Dollar on the backfoot as Treasury yield gap flattens; oil heads to two-year high

Posted on November 22, 2017 at 8:48 am GMT

The dollar was on the backfoot in Asia on Wednesday as the US yield curve flattened to its lowest spread in a decade, while dovish comments from the Fed chief late on Tuesday dragged the currency even lower ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Energy markets also posted significant moves during the session, with oil prices heading towards two-year high levels. The difference between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields touched the lowest since November 2007 on Tuesday, spreading fears of a possible economic downturn. This [..]


Forex Market Review (European Session) – Aussie bounces after RBA Lowe says next rate move is up; Turkish lira hits record low

Posted on November 21, 2017 at 4:25 pm GMT

The aussie overperformed its peers during the European session, posting a strong rebound after the RBA governor ruled out the possibility of expanding stimulus monetary policy. On the other hand, the Turkish lira hit a record low against the greenback after the Turkish president threatened to take control of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT). Speaking at a dinner event in Sydney, the RBA governor underlined that “there is not a strong case for a near-term adjustment [..]


Forex Market Review (European Session) – Euro fails to rebound after Draghi’s dovish words; pound gains on Brexit hopes

Posted on November 20, 2017 at 4:22 pm GMT

Political noise in Germany continued to draw markets’ attention during the European trading hours as the economic calendar was lacking major releases and any progress on the US tax reforms was expected only after the Thanksgiving holidays. The euro was on track to erase losses made in the previous session but dovish remarks by the ECB President pressured the currency.  The dollar was in the green during the session while the pound drifter higher as hopes on Brexit negotiations moving [..]


Forex Market Review (Asian Session) – Dollar struggles as Mueller subpoenas Trump’s campaign; safe havens jump on risk aversion

Posted on November 17, 2017 at 8:44 am GMT

The dollar opened weaker on Friday in Asia on news that several officials from Trump’s campaign were subpoenaed for Russia-linked documents despite markets relief on the US tax story after lawmakers approved the tax plan in the House of Representatives. Consequently, investors turned risk-averse during the session, pushing the safe-haven assets higher. According to the Wall Street Journal on Thursday, the Special Counsel, Robert Mueller, who has been appointed to investigate possible Russian meddling in Trump’s 2016 campaign, issued subpoenas to more than a dozen [..]


Technical Analysis – USDCAD in a consolidation phase after rejection at key resistance

Posted on November 17, 2017 at 7:20 am GMT

USDCAD has been in a consolidation phase during the last two weeks. The market is soft and is trapped between the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Trend signals are weak and momentum is neutral. The recent bullish bounce found resistance at the 50% Fibonacci of the decline from 1.3793 to 1.2061. Prices are currently pivoting around the 38.2% Fibonacci level in the mid-1.2700 handle. If the market can re-test the 50% Fibonacci (1.2922), prices would meet further resistance at a [..]


Forex Market Review (European Session) – Dollar flat as US House puts tax plan to vote; pound steady after retail sales surprise

Posted on November 16, 2017 at 4:23 pm GMT

Major currencies were moving sideways during the European session on Thursday as investors were widely anticipating whether Republicans would pass their tax code in the House of Representatives later today. Economic releases out of the Eurozone, the US, the UK, and Canada were also in focus but had a moderate impact on the markets. The US lawmakers were preparing for a crucial vote on tax reforms in the House of Representatives on Thursday after 1830GMT, with Republicans feeling confident that [..]


Forex Market Review (Asian Session) – Pound slides as UK parliament votes on Brexit bill; aussie bounces on business confidence

Posted on November 14, 2017 at 8:56 am GMT

Ahead of a busy day in terms of economic data out of the UK, the US and the Eurozone, the pound moved lower as doubts over May’s leadership continued weighing on the currency, while markets were also cautious whether British lawmakers would approve the government’s Brexit bill. The aussie was the biggest winner of the session, gaining on business confidence despite disappointing figures out of China pressuring the currency. With the UK Prime Minister Theresa May facing increasing political challenges following a report published by the Sunday Times newspaper and stating that [..]


Forex Market Review (European Session) – Sterling performs worst among majors on added cloud of uncertainty; dollar higher

Posted on November 13, 2017 at 3:37 pm GMT

In the absence of major economic releases during today’s European session trading, forex markets were focused on upcoming data, a central banking conference set to take place tomorrow and developments on the political front, in particular Brexit and the US tax reform. Sterling was the worst performing major currency. The dollar’s index against a basket of currencies was 0.1% higher at 1520 GMT. On Friday, it hit 94.26, its lowest since October 26 as developments on the US tax front [..]


Week Ahead – Inflation, jobs and retail sales in focus; Japanese GDP also eyed

Posted on November 10, 2017 at 2:38 pm GMT

Economic data will move to the forefront next week as the focus moves away from central bank meetings to price, employment and consumer spending indicators. Canada, the Eurozone, the UK and the US all release CPI numbers. Jobs reports are due from Australia and the UK, and retail sales figures will be published in China, the UK and the US. GDP data will also attract attention as investors get the first glimpse of third quarter economic performance in Japan. Australian [..]

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