With less than two weeks to go until the US election, markets are on red alert as opinion polls in key battleground states have tightened. In the meantime, there are three central bank meetings and a ton of data to keep things exciting. The ECB could steal the show by opening the door for more stimulus, to negate the risk of a double-dip recession as the virus rampages through Europe. The central banks of Canada and Japan will meet too, [..]
USDCAD is continuing its downside movement in the longer timeframe after it found resistance around the 1.3420 barrier and the upper surface of the Ichimoku cloud once again. In the very short-term, the pair has been developing in a horizontal trajectory over the last couple of weeks, trading below the 20- and 40-day simple moving average (SMA). In the technical picture, the RSI indicator is pointing slightly higher, while the stochastic is heading north after the bullish cross within the [..]
Talks on US stimulus package continue but deal in doubt after Trump slams Democrats Dollar regains some footing, equities drift lower as final presidential debate eyed Brexit progress supports euro and pound as virus cases spiral out of control Stimulus setback after Trump throws a tantrum Hopes for a quick deal on a new coronavirus aid package in the United States have faded somewhat as negotiations between the White House and the Democrats drag on. Disagreement over funding for state [..]
USDCAD seems to have stalled its negative dive under the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) as the pair improves slightly from the 1.3075 – 1.3086 support section. Nonetheless, the falling 50- and 100-period SMAs are promoting extra price deterioration, while the bearish crossover of the 200-period SMA by the 100-period one may boost the broader negative structure. However, the short-term oscillators reflect improvements in positive momentum. The MACD, in the negative region, is slowing below its red trigger line, while [..]
Canada will publish its inflation data for the month of September at 1230 GMT on Wednesday together with retail sales figures for August. The recovery in retail sales has been V-shaped, with sales in June and July rebounding and surpassing February’s pre-pandemic levels. There is a critical juncture in the economic recovery from Covid-19 that implies more attention is needed on CPI changes as the loonie continues to head north. Will CPI and retail sales figures help the loonie? The projection for the monthly CPI is for it to remain negative at [..]
USDCAD has pushed over the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of 1.3204 and is ready to face the mid-Bollinger band at 1.3267, following a recent bounce off the lower Bollinger band. The gliding 50- and 100-day SMAs appear to be escorting the price into a neutral-to-bearish structure. Nonetheless, the short-term oscillators are continuing to exhibit improving momentum. The MACD, marginally below its red trigger line and zero mark, looks set to return above them, sponsoring extra gains in the pair. [..]
USDCAD is currently at a standstill near the red Tenkan-sen line after its retreat under the Ichimoku cloud and simple moving averages (SMAs). The subsiding 50-period SMA and the intact negative demeanour of the Ichimoku lines are endorsing a deteriorating picture. That said the horizontal 100- and 200-period SMAs favour a more neutral tone. Nonetheless, the flattened blue Kijun-sen line and the short-term oscillators propose slight improvements in momentum. The MACD, deep below zero, is strengthening above its red trigger [..]
Trump flip-flops on stimulus bill, reviving hopes of pre-election fiscal boost But stocks up only moderately amid caution about talks and global recovery worries Dollar drifts lower, loonie soars ahead of jobs data as oil turns bullish Trump U-turns on relief package but uncertainty about deal lingers Talks between the White House and the Democrats on a new virus relief bill have restarted after President Trump reversed his decision from just two days earlier to end them. Trump had instead [..]
USDCAD recently redirected back under the mid-Bollinger band and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), after its progress was curbed by the 100-day SMA and upper Bollinger band. The slipping 50- and 100-day SMAs continue to back the prevailing bearish picture. The short-term oscillators mirror the increase in negative momentum, suggesting further weakening in price. The MACD, in the positive region, has slipped below its red signal line and is nearing its zero mark, while the downward-sloping RSI continues falling [..]
The Canadian dollar is gaining some ground against the US dollar with weak momentum as investors are waiting for the employment report on Friday at 1230 GMT. It’s noteworthy that the currency is moving up despite recording the highest single-day increase in Covid-19 cases since the pandemic began, on Monday. Stronger figures in employment may provide some relief to the domestic currency, helping it surpass the two-week high. A reduction in unemployment is expected In the previous release, the unemployment rate in Canada decreased to 10.2% in August from 10.9% [..]
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