Daily Market Comment – Markets rattled as Trump says “no deadline” for trade deal; gold jumps

Posted on December 4, 2019 at 9:29 am GMT

Risk mood darkens after Trump hints he’s in no hurry to sign trade deal with China US bill on China’s treatment of Muslim minorities further raises tensions between the two countries Safe havens soar as stocks and Treasury yields slide US ISM non-manufacturing PMI awaited; BoC decision eyed too Trump sends markets spinning as trade deal hopes fade Risk sentiment was dealt another blow on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump dampened hopes of an early resolution to the long-running [..]


Technical Analysis – USDCHF breaks uptrend line, but negative bias not confirmed yet

Posted on December 3, 2019 at 3:12 pm GMT

USDCHF penetrated below a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the August lows, with the bears picking up significant momentum. However, the price structure on the daily charts still appears neutral, with trading action taking place between 1.0000 and 0.9840 in recent months. A clear close below the 0.9840 zone is needed to turn the bias negative. Short-term oscillators concur with the darkening picture. The RSI has pierced below its neutral 50 zone and is pointing lower, while the MACD – [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar powers higher; trade hopes boost risk appetite

Posted on November 25, 2019 at 9:34 am GMT

Greenback soars after latest PMIs reaffirm US economic outperformance Risk appetite recovers as China reportedly prepares to crack down on IP issues Pound slips on soft PMIs, but recovers as polls show Tories extending lead Dollar rips higher after promising PMIs, capitalizes on euro softness The world’s reserve currency outperformed on Friday, after the preliminary US Markit PMIs for November rose by more than anticipated, prompting traders to scale back bets that the Fed will cut rates in the coming [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk appetite softens on mixed US signals about trade deal; pound slips after BoE

Posted on November 8, 2019 at 9:20 am GMT

Markets remain optimistic of a US-China deal but US officials cast doubt over tariff rollback Dollar set for weekly gains as yen on the pull back Pound skids after Bank of England signals possible rate cut Confused messages on tariff concession Risk appetite cooled off slightly on Friday as confusing signals by US officials on whether the White House is ready to accept the roll back of some of the tariffs on Chinese imports raised question marks about China’s assertion [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadier after US data boost; stock market rally cools

Posted on November 6, 2019 at 9:18 am GMT

US dollar surges on strong ISM non-manufacturing PMI before steadying Stocks get off to softer start as trade deal euphoria starts to fade Euro pressured by stronger dollar; kiwi up despite disappointing jobs numbers Dollar hits 3-week high on upbeat PMI Better-than-expected economic data and optimism that the US and China are nearing a ‘phase one’ trade deal lifted the US dollar to the highest in three weeks against a basket of currencies on Tuesday. The dollar index reached a [..]


Technical Analysis – USDCHF gains bullish traction, but still below descending trendline

Posted on November 5, 2019 at 11:39 am GMT

USDCHF rebounded forcefully after failing to cross under the October trough of 0.9839, with the price running as high as 0.9907 on Tuesday. On the four-hour chart, the upward-sloping RSI which is comfortably above its 50 neutral mark and the improving MACD endorse the positive momentum in the price. Should the bullish action stretch above the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud and the 38.2% Fibonacci of 0.9911 of the downleg from 1.002 to 0.9839, the focus will shift straight to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks rally on rising trade deal hopes; yuan hits 3-month high

Posted on November 5, 2019 at 9:03 am GMT

Growing optimism that a partial trade deal between the US and China is within reach boosts risk assets Yen and Swiss franc extend losses, yuan climbs to highest in three months Aussie edges up after RBA keeps rates steady; dollar eyes ISM non-manufacturing PMI US may roll back some China tariffs Optimism around a ‘phase one’ US-China trade deal continued to boost risk appetite on Tuesday, lifting stocks and other risk assets, while dampening demand for safe havens such as [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trade optimism lifts markets; strong NFP helps too but dollar subdued

Posted on November 4, 2019 at 9:16 am GMT

US and China reportedly close to agreeing a ‘phase one’ trade deal; stocks rally Safe havens retreat but still some caution, dollar subdued Euro eyes Lagarde speech Interim US-China trade deal within reach Growing signs that the partial US-China trade deal is close to being finalized drove market sentiment on Monday with Asian stocks getting a lift from another record close on Wall Street on Friday. The White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow told reporters on Friday that “enormous progress” [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar goes for a ride as Fed baffles markets

Posted on October 31, 2019 at 9:01 am GMT

Dollar ends lower, stocks soar as Fed can’t convince markets it will hit ‘pause’ Loonie hammered as BoC drops neutral stance, hints at ‘insurance cut’ BoJ strengthens easing bias, but yen yawns Eurozone, US, and Canadian data coming up today Fed cuts rates and signals a pause, but markets don’t buy it The Fed cut rates by another quarter-point yesterday, as widely expected, but refrained from signaling that any more cuts are coming. The phrase “will act as appropriate to [..]


Technical Analysis – USDCHF trend signals turn negative after double bearish crossovers

Posted on October 21, 2019 at 12:54 pm GMT

USDCHF tumbled near the key 0.9843 support level that strongly rejected downside corrections in late September. The double bearish crossovers marked by the 20- simple moving average (SMA) falling below the 50- and 200-day SMAs flag that the trend is likely to extend to the downside. Yet in the short-term, some consolidation cannot be ruled out as the RSI seems to be pushing efforts to deviate above its 30 oversold mark and the MACD looks to be turning upwards in the negative territory and [..]

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