Growth in China decelerated to the slowest pace since 1990 last year, underlining the challenges the country faces amid sluggish global demand and a more protectionist United States. China’s leaders haven’t been sitting on their hands, however, as an abundance of policy measures have been initiated since last summer when the first wave of US tariffs struck. But with the fiscal and monetary loosening being stepped up amid a continuing downtrend in growth, is the government risking undoing the progress [..]
China will publish monthly trade numbers on Friday with exports seen to have fallen back in February after January’s unexpected surge. But with the country’s negotiators closing in on a trade deal with the United States and the government announcing further fiscal measures to stimulate growth in the economy, the trade figures may not generate much reaction even if it surprises to the downside. In January, exports jumped by 9.1% year-on-year as they were boosted from companies front-loading their shipments [..]
USDCNH had a strong bearish start on Thursday, with the price falling below a crucial support of the 38.2%Fibonacci retracement level of the upleg from 6.2350 to 6.9781, near 6.6949, creating a fresh seven-month low of 6.6861. From the technical point of view, the RSI is flattening in bearish territory, while the MACD also supports a bearish picture, since it continues to hold beneath the zero line and trigger lines. Should prices drop below the seven-month low, they could hit the support area between6.5980 – 6.6061, which [..]
USDCNH had a bearish start on Monday, with the price touching a crucial support at the six-month low of 6.7360. The price dropped beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upleg from 6.2350 to 6.9781, however, currently, it is paring some of the lost ground. The RSI is pointing up near oversold levels, slightly above 30, indicating that the market could strengthen a little bit in the short-term until the index falls back below that threshold, while the MACD supports a bearish to [..]
USDCNH plunged to a new six-month low of 6.7360 in Friday’s session, creating three straight negative days. The price dropped beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upleg from 6.2350 to 6.9781, however, currently, it is paring some of the lost ground. The RSI is pointing up near oversold levels, slightly below 30, indicating that the market could strengthen a little bit in the short-term until the index falls back below that threshold, while the MACD supports a bearish picture as well, since [..]
The coming week will be significant both in terms of data releases as well as for central bank meetings. November nonfarm payrolls out of the US will likely be the most anticipated report but it’s going to be a big week for the Australian dollar too as Q3 GDP numbers are due along with an RBA meeting. The Bank of Canada will be the other central bank holding a scheduled meeting, though the Canadian dollar will probably be paying more [..]
Chinese official PMI data for November are due on Friday at 0100 GMT. Aussie traders will be eyeing the numbers given Australia’s China-dependency, which has rendered the currency a liquid proxy for Chinese “plays”. More pivotal for the Aussie though is likely to be the outcome of the Trump-Xi weekend meeting on trade at the G20 summit. The manufacturing PMI, which is expected to attract the lion’s share of attention on Friday, is projected to remain at 50.2 in November, its lowest since July 2016. On [..]
Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The euro was slowly rising versus the US dollar (+0.15%) below 1.1500 on Thursday ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision later in the day, where the Bank is expected to keep policy unchanged but is likely to give some growth hints. The pair pared some losses after sliding to a fresh 2-month low of 1.1377 on Wednesday. Earlier in the day, the German Ifo business climate index for October dropped [..]
Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Sterling was declining by 0.25% against the US dollar on Monday as uncertainties around the Irish border weighed on hopes that a Brexit deal is close ahead of the UK Prime Minister’s speech in the Parliament. Pound/yen was fairly steady, while euro/pound increased by 0.23%. Euro/dollar reversed earlier gains to trade at 1.1494 (-0.16%) after Italy’s Finance Minister backed the 2019 draft budget even after EU’s warning letter last week (see below). Dollar/yen traded [..]
Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The US dollar ran to a new 1-week high against the Japanese yen earlier on Thursday after FOMC minutes from the September 24-25 policy meeting affirmed the prospect of additional rate hikes until the end of 2019. However, the pair eased by 0.18% soon after to trade at 112.47. The US dollar index reversed lower as well, last seen at 95.51 (-0.07%). British retail sales fell by 0.8% in September, posting a larger decline than the 0.4% [..]
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