Technical Analysis – USDTRY trades like a rocket amid unstoppable rally
- Marios Hadjikyriacos
USDTRY has gone through the roof lately, breaking record high after record high. The pair has gone parabolic this week, with the price currently trading much higher than its upper Bollinger band and still rising.
Momentum oscillators are completely overwhelmed. The RSI is already above 90, miles beyond the ‘overbought’ region of 70. The MACD has skyrocketed as well. Both detect accelerating upside momentum.
In this environment, it’s difficult to say where resistance may be found. There hasn’t been any meaningful correction lately, so Fibonacci extensions aren’t very useful. Instead, sell orders might be found near psychological round numbers. The pair is currently trading near 10.62, so the next region to offer resistance may be around 10.70. If that’s breached too, the focus would turn towards 10.80 next.
Now if technical exhaustion kicks in and the pair corrects lower, the pullback could also be quite violent. The first major area to provide support may be near 9.84, which was a previous all-time high. If sellers manage to pierce below that, the 20-day moving average (MA) currently at 9.74 could come into the spotlight, ahead of the 9.46 zone.Summarizing, the rally is overextended by almost every metric, but that doesn’t mean much. If buyers keep going, the real battle may be fought around the psychological 11.00 region.
免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務，允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容，但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限，並受以下條款與條例約束：（i）條款與條例；（ii）風險提示；（iii）完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊，僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意，我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成，也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。