市場評論

Daily Market Comment – Dollar firms as Fed’s hawkish drumbeat gets louder ahead of NFP

Fed destroys all hopes of an early pivot even before latest jobs report is out Dollar climbs to one-week high as stocks turn negative again Pound under renewed pressure, yen won’t budge from the 145 level Hawkish Fed takes shine off September jobs report After some very mixed readings on the US economy this week, the latest nonfarm payrolls report will take centre stage today, with investors hoping for some signs of a cooldown in the red-hot labour market.

Daily Market Comment – Markets shrug off OPEC+ cut and solid US data, await US jobs report

Oil rally fizzles out despite steep output cut by OPEC+ as impact seen limited Yields climb as Fed pivot hopes fade further after upbeat US data But Wall Street holds judgement, pares losses as investors look to payrolls report OPEC+ cut adds to winter energy concerns OPEC and its non-OPEC partners decided to cut oil production by two million barrels per day on Wednesday in a bid to stem the decline in prices, which have fallen by more than 30% from their March peak.

Daily Market Comment – Stocks catch fire on Fed hopes, but dollar halts slide

Drop in US job openings points to cooling labour market, boosts risk appetite Stocks stage massive rally but may have hit a snag as Fed stands firm Dollar retraces some losses but kiwi bucks the trend after RBNZ hike Oil prices steady ahead of OPEC+ output decision Risk rally starts to fade amid doubts about Fed pivot The market euphoria around the hopes that the Fed is nearing a turning point with its policy tightening began to fade slightly on Wednesday after policymakers reinforced their resolve in bringing inflation down.

Daily Market Comment - Equities begin the last quarter on positive note; RBA delivers smaller hike

Wall Street rebounds on worse than expected ISM PMI Pound extends recovery on UK government’s U-turn RBA hikes by 25bps, RBNZ takes the torch Gold gains on sliding bond yields Wall Street rebounds, yields slide on ISM PMI miss Equities finished the first trading day of this year’s final quarter on a positive note, with all three of Wall Street’s main indices gaining more than 2% as Treasury yields pulled back on the larger-than-expected slide in the ISM manufacturing PMI.

Daily Market Comment – Yen flirts with intervention level, UK budget U-turn lifts pound

Dollar mixed as yen and euro struggle, pound extends rebound on budget hopes Stocks lack direction as Credit Suisse woes add to outlook worries US ISM and jobs data eyed as Fed reiterates inflation-busting policy stance Recession fears run high but UK’s Kwarteng offers some relief The third quarter got off to a subdued start on Monday as there was no respite for equity markets from the worsening economic landscape globally, though major currencies were able to bounce back amid a more cautious dollar and some positive headlines out of the UK.

Daily Market Comment – Fed officials fire another shot at stocks, sterling recovers

Fed warnings and solid US data deal another blow to equity markets  Dollar takes another step back as euro and sterling reclaim lost ground Russia set to annex Ukrainian territories, Fed vice chief deliver remarks Wall Street selloff A stormy quarter is drawing to a close.

Daily Market Comment – Bank of England intervenes to calm market stress

BoE announces emergency intervention in UK bond markets Global yields come crashing down, stock markets rally in relief Dollar surrenders some ground, but yen cannot capitalize properly BoE steps in  The Bank of England hit the panic button on Wednesday, announcing it will step into the UK government debt market to buy £65bn in bonds over the next two weeks to restore stability.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar goes ballistic, sterling licks wounds, stocks slide

Dollar reigns supreme over FX space as traders rush to safety Sterling stabilizes near record lows, gold threatens another break  Stock markets slide, valuations still too expensive for this regime Bonds implode, dollar shines A selloff in global bond markets has snowballed into a meltdown, sending shockwaves across every asset class.

Daily Market Comment – Pound rebounds on BoE bets; Dow enters bear market

Sterling rebounds as traders ramp up BoE bets Rate hike expectations keep hurting equities Oil and gold claw back some losses after hitting new lows Traders expect more than 100bps hike by the BoE The US dollar continued outperforming all its major counterparts on Monday, with the dollar index hitting a fresh 20-year high.

Daily Market Comment – Pound crashes, stocks pummelled after UK budget

Pound leads declines in FX markets, approaches parity, as UK budget sparks panic UK yields soar, Italian yields jump too as far-right win adds to uncertainty Dollar scales fresh highs, stocks sink but some signs of recovery today UK budget gets big thumbs down from investors Markets reacted in the worst possible way to the UK’s economic plan unveiled on Friday, sending the pound to rock-bottom levels against the US dollar, while dumping UK gilts.

Daily Market Comment – Yen skyrockets after intervention; SNB and BoE hike by less than expected

Japan intervention boosts yen, but will the effect last? Franc tumbles as SNB hikes by 75 and not 100bps BoE sees economy falling into recession this quarter Equities extend tumble, yields climb higher Japan comes to the yen’s rescue; will it succeed? The US dollar finished Thursday’s session slightly higher or near its opening levels against most of the other major currencies, with the exceptions being the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.

Daily Market Comment – Fed hike, Powell’s recession warning roil markets; dollar shoots up

Dot plot signals Fed not done with 75 bps hikes, Powell warns of pain ahead S&P 500 goes back into bear market, dollar destroys everything in its path Yen slips past 145 after BoJ doesn’t flinch, but jumps after intervention SNB hikes by 75 bps, BoE expected to follow suit, gold see-saws Fed declares war on inflation, spooks markets The Federal Reserve delivered its third consecutive 75-basis-point rate increase on Wednesday and flagged more sharp hikes in the remainder of the year.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar at fresh highs ahead of Fed as Russia jitters sink euro

Russia-Ukraine tensions flare up, knocking the euro and boosting safe havens Stocks subdued but losses contained as investors await Fed decision Yields fall back slightly and gold climbs on Russia worries Tense mood amid Fed and geopolitical risks    The US dollar extended its gains on Wednesday, while stocks stayed largely in the red as investors weighed the risks from the Fed’s upcoming policy decision as well as the possible impact from Russia’s latest warmongering, which is adding to the uncertainty.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar takes a breather; loonie traders lock gaze on CPIs

Dollar’s rally pauses ahead of FOMC decision Equities rebound somewhat on short covering Canada’s inflation expected to slow more Gold rebounds, but gains stay limited Dollar pulls back, equities rebound ahead of FOMC The US dollar traded slightly lower against most of its major peers on Monday, stabilizing somehow during the Asian session today.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar reigns as big week for central banks kicks off

Dollar starts Fed week on the front foot amid elevated rate hike expectations Bank of England and Swiss National Bank also poised to deliver large hikes Yen stays subdued as Bank of Japan not expected to join in Overtightening fears weigh on stocks, oil and gold slip too Markets brace for more tightening, led by Fed Trading got off to a cautious start on Monday, with equities still reeling from last week’s brutal selloff, while the US dollar kept advancing on the anticipation that the Federal Reserve will stick to its hawkish rate path when it sets policy on Wednesday.

Daily Market Comment – Dollar stands tall ahead of upcoming Fed decision, equities resume slide

Dollar stays strong as bets of 100bps Fed hike remain on table US retail sales rebound, initial jobless claims fall Equities resume drop on hike bets and rising recession fears Oil slides on agreement to avert a rail strike Investors maintain bets of a 100bps Fed hike The US dollar stood tall against most of the other major currencies on Thursday and during the Asian session Friday, with traders maintaining their bets with regards to an even more aggressive Fed elevated.

Daily Market Comment – Yen defies intervention warnings, gold loses its shine

Threats of FX intervention don’t do much to boost the yen Currency pairs trapped in narrow ranges, stocks lick wounds Gold under heavy pressure, US retail sales coming up next Yen dismisses intervention The battle for the yen continues to rage in the FX arena, with Japanese officials using every trick at their disposal to stabilize the devastated currency.

Daily Market Comment – US inflation surprise pummels stocks, boosts dollar

US inflation comes in hot, fueling bets of a more forceful Fed  Stock markets tank, dollar fires up as terminal rates increase  Yen finds some support after Japan threatens FX intervention Inflation shock Hopes that the Federal Reserve is about to ease off the brakes got crushed yesterday under the boot of another shockingly hot US inflation report, sending shockwaves across global markets.

Daily Market Comment – Hopes of softer inflation report lift Wall Street, hurt dollar

Investors bet that August CPI data will confirm inflation has peaked in the US Wall Street rallies for a fourth day, dollar selloff accelerates Euro and pound maintain positive momentum despite doubts over energy plans Market optimism ahead of US CPI Risky assets were either extending or holding onto their gains on Tuesday as investors awaited the latest inflation report out of the United States due at 12:30 GMT.

Daily Market Comment – Yen selling resumes, euro engines fire up

Yen back under selling pressure as FX intervention hopes fade   Euro advances, buoyed by energy price cap and ECB signals Dollar down but not out, stock markets defend recent gains  Yen resumes slide It has been an excruciating year for the Japanese yen, which has lost almost 25% of its value against the US dollar, crushed by one of the greatest episodes of monetary policy divergence in modern history.



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