Weekly Comment – USD loses altitude; can NFP report rekindle summer rally?



USD finally caught up with tumbling real yields in the past week, with the Fed’s stubbornly dovish inclination intensifying the selloff mid-week. However, USD bulls shouldn’t lose hope as the June jobs report is coming up next week, along with more central bank meetings.

The highlights:
  • Nonfarm payrolls are due on Friday in the US and could jump by 900k in July. But how much of a boost would this be for the battered USD when the Fed is nowhere near committing to a taper timeline?
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday, which could spell more trouble for AUD as policymakers may backtrack on tapering plans amid ongoing lockdowns in Australia.
  • But it might be a better week for GBP as ‘Super Thursday’ lurks for the Bank of England. The BoE will likely give clues as to whether more QE is on the way after December, though its forecasts may be more telling if they imply the next round will be the last.
  • It’s been a relatively strong week for CAD and there could be more gains ahead if Friday’s employment report out of Canada points to a further jobs recovery in July. However, New Zealand’s jobs numbers on Wednesday may spur greater volatility for NZD as the RBNZ’s August rate decision may rest on the strength of the data.
  • With most of Wall Street’s heavyweights having already reported their Q2 earnings, stocks might struggle for direction in the coming days. Tech stocks in particular are on shaky ground right now.

免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務,允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容,但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限,並受以下條款與條例約束:(i)條款與條例;(ii)風險提示;(iii)完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊,僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意,我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成,也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。

所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料,僅適用於教育/資訊類用途,不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議,或是交易價格紀錄,或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。

本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容,包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接,皆爲‘按原狀’,並作爲一般市場評論所提供,而非投資建議。請理解和接受,所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容,並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性,而根據法律要求所編寫,而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊,相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。

我們運用 cookies 提供您最佳之網頁使用經驗。更改您的cookie 設定跟詳情。

風險提示: 您的資金存在風險。杠杆商品可能不適合所有客戶。 請詳細閱讀我們的風險聲明