Aussie, kiwi rally to recent peaks as traders bet on rate hikes



SINGAPORE, Oct 20 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars hit multi-month highs on Wednesday and bond yields scaled peaks in both countries as investors wagered surging inflation will hasten rate hikes.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 rose as much as 0.2% to touch a three-month high of $0.7489, before settling around a resistance level at $0.7480.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 rose 0.3% to a four-month top of $0.7176. Both currencies have bounced hard from one-month lows a few weeks ago and are each up more than 3.5% on the dollar and more than 6.5% on the yen in October so far.

"They were pretty beaten down up until about a week or two ago," said Jason Wong, a strategist at BNZ in Wellington.

"There's a bit of a risk-on mood and, in New Zealand's case the CPI out earlier in the week has just reinforced RBNZ rate hikes and that has driven Aussie rates higher as well as people are looking (for something similar) in Australia."

Monday data showed New Zealand consumer prices rising at decade-high speed and the kiwi has gained 1.4% this week and blasted through its 200-day moving average as rates markets have priced in extra hikes.

New Zealand's 10-year sovereign yield NZ10YT=RR now stands well above pre-pandemic levels and on Wednesday rose 5.5 basis points (bps) to 2.408%, its highest since January 2019.

In Australia, rates markets are beginning to aggressively challenge the Reserve Bank of Australia's intention to hold the cash rate steady until 2024. Swaps have priced in 100 bps of hikes before the end of 2023 and yields are rising. RBAWATCH

Three-year Australian government bond futures YTTc1 steadied at 99.055 after the RBA on Tuesday raised the cost of shorting April 2023 and April 2024 bonds, seen as a signal it intends to keep downward pressure on short-term yields.

Ten-year Australian government bond futures YTCc1 fell as far as 15 ticks to a seven-month low as the yield AU10YT=RR hit a seven-month high of 1.864%.
Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Kim Coghill

免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務,允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容,但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限,並受以下條款與條例約束:(i)條款與條例;(ii)風險提示;(iii)完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊,僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意,我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成,也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。

所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料,僅適用於教育/資訊類用途,不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議,或是交易價格紀錄,或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。

本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容,包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接,皆爲‘按原狀’,並作爲一般市場評論所提供,而非投資建議。請理解和接受,所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容,並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性,而根據法律要求所編寫,而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊,相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。

我們運用 cookies 提供您最佳之網頁使用經驗。更改您的cookie 設定跟詳情。

風險提示: 您的資金存在風險。杠杆商品可能不適合所有客戶。 請詳細閱讀我們的風險聲明