Euro climbs as ECB eyes rate hikes, dollar slides
* ECB's Lagarde says negative rates to end soon
* Dollar drops across the board, follows selloff last week
* Swiss franc gains on hawkish comments
* Aussie rises though election reaction muted
By Sinéad Carew
NEW YORK, May 23 (Reuters) - The dollar index fell on Monday while the euro rallied after the European Central Bank indicated a move from negative interest rates, and riskier currencies gained ground along with equities.
ECB President Christine Lagarde said in a blog post that the bank was likely to lift the euro area deposit rate out of negative territory by the end of September and could raise it further if it saw inflation stabilizing at 2%.
After declining last week, U.S. equities followed European stocks higher on Monday.
The euro's rally came as the dollar fell broadly after already selling off last week.
Investors had more appetite for riskier assets on Monday as they reacted to Lagarde's comments and easing worries that a European recession was imminent while the U.S. outlook looked less inspiring, according to Erik Nelson, macro strategist at Wells Fargo, New York.
"We're seeing more optimism around global growth - European growth, Chinese growth, UK growth, and a little bit less optimism about U.S. growth. So the growth divergence theme is really a big thing and moving out of favor for the dollar," Nelson said.
The euro was the big gainer, last up 1.13% at $1.0687 EUR=EBS , having risen as much as 3.4% from its multi-year intraday low of $1.0349 on May 13.
The U.S. dollar index =USD , which had hit a two-decade high of 105.01 on May 13, was last down 0.82% at 102.09.
"Investors are still interested in the greenback, but foreign currency pressure to the upside has created a little bit of a headwind for the U.S. dollar," said JB Mackenzie, managing director of futures and forex at Charles Schwab.
In particular, Mackenzie pointed to the euro's rise after the ECB indication that it would become more hawkish.
"Everybody else has been hiking interest rates. The ECB has been the last one to do that so that was what put pressure on the euro. Now all of a sudden, you're starting to hear that they're going to be changing their policy route," Mackenzie said.
Whether the dollar is taking a breather or keeps falling will depend on news from the U.S. Federal Reserve, according to Mackenzie, who will be watching closely for policy clues in minutes from the Fed meeting, due to be released this week.
The greenback has already soared this year but with expectations for repeated rate hikes already priced in, Wells Fargo's Nelson said it may trade sideways for some time.
Last week speculators' net long positioning on the U.S. dollar slipped, after hitting their highest level since late November in the previous week, according to calculations by Reuters and U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.
The Australian dollar, which initially showed a muted reaction to the victory for the center-left Labor Party in national elections at the weekend, was up 0.77% at $0.7106 AUD=D3 .
SWISS FRANC GAINS
Meanwhile the Swiss franc was gaining against the dollar after Swiss National Bank governing board member Andrea Maechler said in an interview published on Monday that the bank will tighten monetary policy if inflation in Switzerland remains persistently high. The dollar was last down 0.89% against the Swiss franc after hitting its lowest level since late April.
Sentiment around China also helped riskier currencies. Shanghai is edging out of a pandemic-related lockdown, and an unexpectedly big rate cut in China last week reassured investors. Also China will broaden its tax credit rebates, postpone social security payments and loan repayments, roll out new investment projects and take other steps to support the economy, state television quoted the Cabinet as saying on Monday.
The yuan had its best week since late 2020 last week and in offshore markets on Monday firmed to 6.704 per dollar CNH=EBS , its strongest since early May.
Geopolitics are also in focus in Asia this week as U.S. President Joe Biden tours the region.
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 3:09PM (1909 GMT) Description
RIC
Last
U.S. Close Pct Change
YTD Pct
High Bid
Low Bid
Previous
Change
Session
Dollar index
=USD
102.0900
102.9500
-0.82%
6.718%
+102.9500 +102.0400 Euro/Dollar
EUR=EBS
$1.0687
$1.0569
+1.13%
-5.99%
+$1.0697
+$1.0559 Dollar/Yen
JPY=EBS
127.9150
127.9200
-0.01%
+11.11%
+128.0550 +127.1600 Euro/Yen
EURJPY=
136.70
135.03
+1.24%
+4.90%
+136.8000 +134.6700 Dollar/Swiss
CHF=EBS
0.9660
0.9743
-0.89%
+5.85%
+0.9751
+0.9629 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3
$1.2577
$1.2496
+0.68%
-6.98%
+$1.2601
+$1.2482 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3
1.2774
1.2846
-0.55%
+1.04%
+1.2842
+1.2767 Aussie/Dollar
AUD=D3
$0.7106
$0.7052
+0.77%
-2.24%
+$0.7127
+$0.7046 Euro/Swiss
EURCHF=
1.0324
1.0289
+0.34%
-0.43%
+1.0335
+1.0266 Euro/Sterling
EURGBP=
0.8495
0.8457
+0.45%
+1.13%
+0.8504
+0.8434 NZ
NZD=D3
$0.6463
$0.6410
+0.84%
-5.57%
+$0.6491
+$0.6400 Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway
NOK=D3
9.5905
9.7400
-1.64%
+8.75%
+9.7330
+9.5800 Euro/Norway
EURNOK=
10.2510
10.2923
-0.40%
+2.38%
+10.3123
+10.2207 Dollar/Sweden
SEK=
9.8115
9.9285
-0.13%
+8.80%
+9.9711
+9.8023 Euro/Sweden
EURSEK=
10.4850
10.4983
-0.13%
+2.45%
+10.5190
+10.4595
World FX rates Link
FX market positions Link
Reporting by Sinéad Carew in New York
and Tommy Wilkes in London
Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore
Editing by Jan Harvey, Will Dunham and Matthew Lewis
متعلقہ اثاثے
تازہ ترين خبريں
دستبرداری: XM Group کے ادارے ہماری آن لائن تجارت کی سہولت تک صرف عملدرآمد کی خدمت اور رسائی مہیا کرتے ہیں، کسی شخص کو ویب سائٹ پر یا اس کے ذریعے دستیاب کانٹینٹ کو دیکھنے اور/یا استعمال کرنے کی اجازت دیتا ہے، اس پر تبدیل یا توسیع کا ارادہ نہیں ہے ، اور نہ ہی یہ تبدیل ہوتا ہے یا اس پر وسعت کریں۔ اس طرح کی رسائی اور استعمال ہمیشہ مشروط ہوتا ہے: (i) شرائط و ضوابط؛ (ii) خطرہ انتباہات؛ اور (iii) مکمل دستبرداری۔ لہذا اس طرح کے مواد کو عام معلومات سے زیادہ کے طور پر فراہم کیا جاتا ہے۔ خاص طور پر، براہ کرم آگاہ رہیں کہ ہماری آن لائن تجارت کی سہولت کے مندرجات نہ تو کوئی درخواست ہے، اور نہ ہی فنانشل مارکیٹ میں کوئی لین دین داخل کرنے کی پیش کش ہے۔ کسی بھی فنانشل مارکیٹ میں تجارت میں آپ کے سرمائے کے لئے ایک خاص سطح کا خطرہ ہوتا ہے۔
ہماری آن لائن تجارتی سہولت پر شائع ہونے والے تمام مٹیریل کا مقصد صرف تعلیمی/معلوماتی مقاصد کے لئے ہے، اور اس میں شامل نہیں ہے — اور نہ ہی اسے فنانشل، سرمایہ کاری ٹیکس یا تجارتی مشورے اور سفارشات؛ یا ہماری تجارتی قیمتوں کا ریکارڈ؛ یا کسی بھی فنانشل انسٹرومنٹ میں لین دین کی پیشکش؛ یا اسکے لئے مانگ؛ یا غیر متنازعہ مالی تشہیرات پر مشتمل سمجھا جانا چاہئے۔
کوئی تھرڈ پارٹی کانٹینٹ، نیز XM کے ذریعہ تیار کردہ کانٹینٹ، جیسے: راۓ، خبریں، تحقیق، تجزیہ، قیمتیں اور دیگر معلومات یا اس ویب سائٹ پر مشتمل تھرڈ پارٹی کے سائٹس کے لنکس کو "جیسے ہے" کی بنیاد پر فراہم کیا جاتا ہے، عام مارکیٹ کی تفسیر کے طور پر، اور سرمایہ کاری کے مشورے کو تشکیل نہ دیں۔ اس حد تک کہ کسی بھی کانٹینٹ کو سرمایہ کاری کی تحقیقات کے طور پر سمجھا جاتا ہے، آپ کو نوٹ کرنا اور قبول کرنا ہوگا کہ یہ کانٹینٹ سرمایہ کاری کی تحقیق کی آزادی کو فروغ دینے کے لئے ڈیزائن کردہ قانونی تقاضوں کے مطابق نہیں ہے اور تیار نہیں کیا گیا ہے، اسی طرح، اس پر غور کیا جائے گا بطور متعلقہ قوانین اور ضوابط کے تحت مارکیٹنگ مواصلات۔ براہ کرم یقینی بنائیں کہ آپ غیر آزاد سرمایہ کاری سے متعلق ہماری اطلاع کو پڑھ اور سمجھ چکے ہیں۔ مذکورہ بالا معلومات کے بارے میں تحقیق اور رسک وارننگ ، جس تک رسائی یہاں حاصل کی جا سکتی ہے۔