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Week Ahead – BoJ, Fed and BoE meetings: a hike, a hold and a cut?

A trio of central bank decisions coming up from the BoJ, Fed and BoE One might hike, one might stand pat and the other cut rates ECB to also be in focus as Eurozone flash GDP and CPI data are due Week will culminate with crucial US jobs report BoJ expected to taper; will it hike too? The Bank of Japan has barely left the headlines lately.
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Bitcoin displays high volatility as correlation with stocks frays – Crypto News

Bitcoin rises on Friday in an overall volatile week Correlation between cryptos and tech stocks weakens Ethereum fails to capitalise on spot Ether ETF launch   Crypto market floods with fresh catalysts Bitcoin has exhibited some wild swings lately, while its traditional strong correlation with other risk-sensitive assets has ebbed significantly.

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD pauses downside movements

GBPUSD finds support at 20-day SMA Holds well above rising trend line Stochastics and RSI indicate upside moves GBPUSD pulled back from the one-year high of 1.3045 in the previous week, meeting the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which may act as strong support level for traders. According to the technical oscillators, the stochastic is standing in the oversold area, but posted a bullish crossover within its %K and %D lines, while the RSI is ticking up above the neutral thresh
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD eases after aggressive rally to 1.3845

USDCAD exits from consolidation area Momentum oscillators indicate bearish correction USDCAD rallied towards the 1.3845 high and completed the seventh consecutive green day on Thursday following the bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 1.3600. The pair climbed above the medium-term trading range, suggesting more gains may be on the cards.
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Market Comment – Dollar trims losses against yen, core PCE on tap

Dollar/yen rebounds after US GDP data Core PCE the next test for Fed rate cut bets Yen rally losing steam ahead of BoJ next week Wall Street extends slide, more earnings awaited GDP data adds fuel to dollar’s engines The dollar traded higher against most of its major counterparts on Thursday, trimming losses against the yen and extending its rally versus the wounded aussie, kiwi and Loonie.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY extends decline to a fresh 2-month low

GBPJPY pulls back from its 16-year peak of 208.10 The pair falls to its lowest level since May 16 RSI and MACD warn of an overstretched retreat GBPJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since early 2024, posting a 16-year high of 208.10 on July 11. However, the pair has been undergoing a pullback since then, with the price violating both the supportive trendline in place since January and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Can Amazon’s earnings pause the stock retreat? – Stock Market News

Amazon unveils earnings on Thursday August 1 after the market close Impressive earnings growth expected, fueled by advertising and AWS Valuation at historically low levels amid stock’s short-term pullback Strong start to the year Amazon has been having a relatively strong year amid an overall tech outperformance. Firstly, the firm’s e-commerce business has been more than resilient as the US economy appears to be headed for a soft landing.
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What to expect from markets in the run up to US elections?

Presidential race dominates headlines and complicates Fed’s job Equities suffered in the two months leading up to the last six presidential elections Market’s performance in the 2016 pre-election period could be a useful guide Dollar strengthened in 2016 but equities were under pressure Significant developments in the race lately  The recent gun attack against Donald Trump and US President Biden's candidacy withdrawal last weekend have raised even more the profile of
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY plunges towards 200-day SMA

USDJPY hits lowest since May Immediate support at 200-day SMA Technical oscillators indicate more losses USDJPY has been declining considerably after the pullback from the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 157.90, sending the markets towards a fresh almost two-month low near the 200-day SMA. The losses over the past four sessions have reached 3.8%, taking the price well below its uptrend line.
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Midweek Technical Look – USDJPY, GBPUSD, EURGBP

USDJPY confirms bearish trend reversal after brutal decline; key support nearby GBPUSD escapes broad sell-off with little injuries, but downside risks remain EURGBP set the ground for a bullish pivot within bearish channel
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Technical Analysis – WTI crude oil creates bearish wave

WTI crude oil tests 77.70 support Price holds beneath SMAs RSI and MACD indicate more losses WTI crude oil futures have been in a bearish movement after the pullback off the 84.70 resistance level. It has since slipped below the simple moving averages (SMAs) in the daily timeframe and the market is currently testing the 77.70 support level before diving towards the long-term ascending trend line near 74.80. A successful break beneath this region could open the door for more los
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Market Comment – Stock market correction picks up speed

Fed expectations and US election affect sentiment Euro remains on the back foot against the dollar PBoC announces a surprise rate cut Gold suffers, aussie and kiwi losses pile up Stocks’ weakness intensifies Stocks are under severe pressure as the main US equity indices recorded yesterday their worst daily performance since late-2022. Considering the fact that yesterday’s US PMI surveys were mixed, and therefore not the trigger for this move, the cause of the continued w
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD pulls back towards converging SMAs

EURUSD retraces lower after hitting 4-month high The bears eye converging 50- and 200-day SMAs Oscillators deteriorate but remain in positive zones   EURUSD had been rising steadily following its bullish breakout from a downward sloping trendline in early July, posting a fresh four-month peak of 1.0947 last week. However, the pair has been experiencing a correction since then, with the price approaching the converging 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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EURGBP fails to touch 2-year low Momentum oscillators suggest a positive move EURGBP finally reversed to the upside before touching the two-year low of 0.8382, with immediate resistance coming from the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) near the 0.8430 bar. The downward pattern started at the end of April, however, and may not change unless the market manages to crawl substantially above the descending trend line.
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Technical Analysis – Will USDCAD exit the range?

USDCAD meets strong resistance near 1.3800 Momentum oscillators suggest bullish moves USDCAD is flirting with the upper boundary of the short-term consolidation area of 1.3600–1.3790 ahead of the BoC interest rate decision later in the day. The strong rebound off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) acted as a significant turning point, adding some optimism for further bullish actions.
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Technical Analysis – Gold seeks new buyers to trim rapid downfall

Gold turns up again after brutal downfall Short-term risk is positive, but caution required near 2,430-2,438 US S&P Global PMIs could generate fresh volatility at 13:45 GMT   Gold found fresh buying interest after its aggressive pullback from a record high of 2,483 paused at 2,383. The precious metal is currently looking to gain more ground following its close above the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest upleg at 2,410.
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Technical Analysis – ETHUSD trades flat after ETF debut

ETHUSD has been rangebound in the past few sessions Spot ETF launch did not trigger much volatility Momentum indicators remain positively tilted ETHUSD (Ethereum) has experienced a strong rally in July, breaking above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). However, the leading altcoin has been trading sideways for more than a week now, even though the short-term oscillators have been hovering deep in their positive zones.

Technical Analysis – USDJPY edges lower near 2-month low

USDJPY holds beneath diagonal line Stochastics and RSI suggest more bearish moves USDJPY tumbled to a new two-month low of 154.50 following a significant pullback from the long-term ascending trend line and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) near 157.90. The stochastic oscillator created a bearish crossover, diving to just above the oversold region, while the RSI is also pointing downwards near the 30 level.
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Market Comment – Dollar remains strong ahead of key data, yen surges

Dollar keeps marching north, PMIs on tap Yen extends rally as traders unwind carry trades Aussi and kiwi slide on China concerns, loonie awaits BoC Stocks trade in the red, tech earnings in the spotlight Traders continue to buy the US dollar The dollar traded higher against all but one of its major peers on Tuesday and continued to do so today.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD plunges to new multi-week low

NZDUSD dives almost 4% from the July high of 0.6150 Price may rebound off 0.5875 20- and 200-day SMAs record a bearish cross Momentum oscillators indicate upside correction NZDUSD has been creating an aggressive bearish rally since the break beneath the short-term uptrend line, diving almost 4% after the pullback from the 0.6150 resistance.
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