Technical Analysis – Gold consolidates, capped by SMAs

Posted on October 14, 2019 at 10:10 am GMT

Gold buyers are attempting to tackle the converging simple moving averages (SMAs) in the sideways market. The 20-period SMA, from a flattened state deflected off the horizontal 100-period SMA completing a bearish crossover of the 50-period SMA, suggesting that the commodity is leaning more towards a short-term negative outlook. The short-term oscillators reflect weakening negative momentum. The MACD although below its red trigger line in the negative zone, looks to cross above it, while the RSI beneath its 50-level, is [..]


Daily Market Comment – Trade optimism lifts risk assets; pound soars after UK and Ireland see “pathway” to deal

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 8:08 am GMT

Risk sentiment boosted after Trump says negotiations were “very, very good” Safe havens retreat along with US dollar, but caution keeps gold elevated Pound skyrockets after UK and Irish PMs say they see “pathway to possible deal” Renewed optimism that US and China can de-escalate tensions Signs that the US and China were making much-needed progress in their long-running trade dispute lifted market sentiment on Friday, leading to a broad-based risk-on mood. President Trump told reporters the talks are “going [..]


Daily Market Comment – Markets calm but choppy amid mixed signals on trade talks

Posted on October 10, 2019 at 8:28 am GMT

Conflicting reports on state of US-China trade talks pull sentiment in all directions Hope of a partial trade deal sees calm restored before top-level talks are set to start Euro shoots higher ahead of ECB minutes Pound not holding its breath for breakthrough as UK and Irish PMs meet for last-ditch Brexit talks Trade talks still dominating markets’ attention There’s no escaping the US-China trade war saga not even for a single day this week as the headlines keep rolling [..]


Daily Market Comment – Dollar holds firm even as Powell signals more rate cuts; trade optimism fades

Posted on October 9, 2019 at 8:23 am GMT

Fed’s Powell announces expansion of balance sheet, possible rate cuts but dollar supported by trade gloom Trade talks continue amid worsening US-China relations as US imposes more restrictions Pound slumps again as Brexit talks are close to collapse Dollar unshaken by dovish Powell The dollar index – a measure of the US currency against a basket of six rivals – edged up towards last week’s 2½-year peak of 99.67 as dimming hopes of a breakthrough in this week’s Sino-US trade [..]


Daily Market Comment – Subdued tone ahead of US-China trade talks; pound slips as Johnson given week to revise Brexit plan

Posted on October 7, 2019 at 8:08 am GMT

US-China trade talks dominate markets’ attention as hopes are low for a deal Yen edges up as trade and political uncertainties build up and growth outlook worsens Pound inches lower as Johnson given one week to revise proposed Brexit plan Trade talks in focus but optimism runs low The safe-haven yen and gold pushed higher on Monday as the week got off to a cautious start ahead of much-anticipated high-level trade discussions between the United Stated and China later this [..]


Technical Analysis – Gold may adopt a softer tone in short-term

Posted on October 7, 2019 at 7:20 am GMT

Gold is sending neutral signals in the daily chart as reflected by the sideways move in the RSI and the MACD. The weakening 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which is ready to cross below the 50-day SMA, and the recent breakout of the ascending channel are also discouraging signs, indicating that the yellow metal may likely follow a softer path in coming sessions. The bears could retake control under the 1,458 level, especially if this occurs comfortably below the Ichimoku cloud. Traders could [..]


Daily Market Comment – Pandemonium in markets after dismal data; US payrolls may disappoint too

Posted on October 4, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

Yen climbs, dollar drops as dismal ISM non-manufacturing survey stokes recession worries Risk sentiment recovers by end of US session however, on stimulus hopes US nonfarm payrolls may also disappoint today; Fed chief Powell speaks too Market havoc continues as weak ISM PMI keeps investors wary The US services sector is starting to catch the cold that’s been tormenting the manufacturing sector in recent months, according to the latest ISM data. The non-manufacturing PMI for September fell by more than [..]


Daily Market Comment – Manufacturing recession and Brexit ultimatum

Posted on October 2, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Stocks tank as disappointing US PMI data fuel recession fears Pound remains under pressure as Johnson’s Brexit ‘ultimatum’ is leaked Mood turns sour as ISM manufacturing PMI drops further into contraction Global markets went into turmoil yesterday, with risk aversion dominating after the US ISM manufacturing PMI unexpectedly dropped to a decade low of 47.8 in September, missing the forecast for a rebound to 50.1. Any reading below 50 suggests the sector is contracting, so the considerable decline in this [..]


Daily Market Comment – Trade war goes financial

Posted on September 30, 2019 at 8:59 am GMT

Markets stay in risk-off mode as US considers financial sanctions against China Kiwi drops to new 4-year low after weak business confidence numbers Pound tumbles on hints of BoE rate cut, but may get some relief from politics   Sentiment turns sour on fears trade war may spread into finance The main story on Friday was that the Trump administration is examining whether to restrict US financial flows into China. According to reports, Washington is considering delisting Chinese companies from [..]


Technical Analysis – Gold consolidates; bears flirting with 23.6% Fibonacci level

Posted on September 30, 2019 at 8:35 am GMT

Gold sellers are testing the 1488 level once again, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the up leg from 1266.20 to 1556.92. The precious metal had deflected off the 1535 resistance, collapsing after a two-week consolidation period. The commodity faces a level which is part of a support region from 1488 – 1480, which has held from the beginning of August. The short-term oscillators reflect negative momentum intact, as the MACD has distanced itself below its red trigger line [..]

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