Daily Market Analysis

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Daily Market Comment – Recovery hopes pull stocks higher as US-China row put aside

Posted on May 26, 2020 at 8:38 am GMT

Growth optimism drives equities higher as outlook brightens on lockdown easing Dollar slips on risk-on mood, pound and aussie shine But gold supported by lingering US-China tensions Stocks buoyed by economic reopening Global equities extended yesterday’s strong gains with Asian indices adding between 1-3% on Tuesday and European and US futures surging by 2%. The recovery theme continues to support risk assets as more businesses around the world are given the green light to reopen, fuelling hopes of a sustainable [..]

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Daily Market Comment – No panic but Hong Kong tensions keep markets on edge

Posted on May 25, 2020 at 8:59 am GMT

US threatens sanctions on China over Hong Kong security bill as tensions simmer But optimism from reopening of economies keeps risk aversion in check Euro and pound on the backfoot again as policy easing and political risks weigh US anger at China mounts; new cold war looming? US-China relations continued to sink to new lows as the US Senate rushed through legislation that would place tougher trading rules on Chinese-listed companies on American stock exchanges and after the White House [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Hong Kong leads global markets lower as tensions spike

Posted on May 22, 2020 at 9:22 am GMT

Risk aversion deepens as China announces new security laws in Hong Kong Dollar and yen edge higher, global stocks sell off on fears of US retaliation Range breakouts rejected across multiple charts – S&P 500, euro, aussie, loonie Hong Kong sparks worries of new chapter in US-China tensions Global risk appetite crumbled on Friday, after China announced plans to establish an ‘enforcement mechanism’ for ‘safeguarding national security’ in Hong Kong. The news came hot on the heels of legislation to [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Nasdaq charges higher, pound feels heat of negative rates

Posted on May 21, 2020 at 10:42 am GMT

Stocks defy economic gravity; Nasdaq closes in on record highs But markets more cautious Thursday, after Trump’s twitter storm vs China Pound rebound falters as BoE Governor doesn’t rule out negative rates Dollar finds its footing ahead of speeches by Fed’s top echelon Nasdaq approaches all-time high, but futures retreat Close your eyes and you wouldn’t know we are in the middle of a deep recession. At least not by looking at the Nasdaq 100 (+2%), which closed less than [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Stocks trapped in ‘no man’s land’, but yen slides

Posted on May 20, 2020 at 9:15 am GMT

Equities pull back as vaccine doubts set in, still stuck in a range Yet broader FX market in a ‘risk on’ mood, yen bruised by BoJ news Bank of England speakers in focus today ahead of Fed minutes Markets look for another catalyst as vaccine rally falters The vaccine-powered euphoria that propelled stocks higher at the start of the week gave way to skepticism on Tuesday, as reports blasted the lack of data in Moderna’s vaccine study, stressing that the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Vaccine hopes power markets higher, can Powell add more fuel?

Posted on May 19, 2020 at 9:17 am GMT

Vaccine headlines, Fed stimulus bets, and EU recovery package propel stocks higher Yen, dollar, and franc suffer as euro and commodity currencies cheer Fed chief testifies before US Senate today (14:00 GMT), can he keep the ‘party’ going? Perfect storm for stocks Risk appetite returned with a vengeance to global markets on Monday, with the S&P 500 (+3.15%) having its best day in weeks amid a perfect storm of news around a virus vaccine, more Fed stimulus, and a European [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Stocks and gold climb as Fed hopes overpower trade fears

Posted on May 18, 2020 at 9:23 am GMT

US equities set to open higher, gold soars after Fed chief’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment But escalating US-China tensions & second wave fears lurking in the background Pound sinks as investors brace for Brexit talks to fall apart Powell turbocharges gold, lifts stocks Global markets are in a good mood on Monday, with commodity currencies recovering and Wall Street set for a ~1.5% higher open, following a ‘whatever it takes’ moment from Fed Chairman Powell. In remarks published over the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – US-China tensions simmer but markets still betting on recovery

Posted on May 15, 2020 at 8:55 am GMT

Trump threatens to “cut off” relationship with China as row over virus spread escalates But market fallout limited as hopes of recovery and more stimulus prevail Dollar headed for weekly gains, eyes US retail sales data Trump continues attack on China President Trump stepped up his fierce criticism of China as he continued to blame the country for failing to stop the spread of the coronavirus. Speaking to Fox Business Network on Thursday, Trump cast doubt on future trade links [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Powell warns of lasting virus damage, empowers dollar but sinks stocks

Posted on May 14, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Fed Chair Powell delivers bleak assessment of US economy but rules out negative rates Dollar stands tall as Wall Street takes a dive, pulling global stocks with it Pound and kiwi slip to multi-week lows, aussie and loonie also on the backfoot Powell’s dire warnings kill hope of speedy recovery Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s much anticipated speech took centre stage on Wednesday as the head of the world’s most powerful central bank delivered a detailed but grim view of the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – RBNZ flags negative rates, Powell expected to do opposite

Posted on May 13, 2020 at 8:42 am GMT

Kiwi plunges after RBNZ signals negative rates are an option But Fed’s Powell unlikely to embrace negative rates in upcoming speech Warnings of second virus wave hit stocks RBNZ could be next to tiptoe into negative rates The New Zealand dollar fell about 1% on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand doubled its bond buying plan at its policy meeting today and gave its clearest indication yet that negative interest rates could become “an option in future”. As [..]

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