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Technical Analysis – BTCUSD’s rocket rally runs out of steam

BTCUSD at the highest levels in more than a year Overbought conditions threaten a negative reversal Sellers could come back into play below 41,770   BTCUSD (Bitcoin) had a rocket start to the week, stretching its uptrend from September’s low of 24,915 to a one- and-a-half year high of 44,497 on Thursday before turning slightly negative.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD pauses selling interest

GBPUSD rebounds off 1.2545 20- and 200-day SMAs post golden cross GBPUSD is supported by the 1.2545 barrier following the downward wave from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the bearish wave from 1.3140 to 1.2035 at 1.2720. Technically, the 20- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) posted a golden cross in the preceding days, suggesting more gains in the next few sessions.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 cash index on the brink of a bearish move

US 500 index is trading sideways amidst key market events It failed to record a new 2023 high, denting bullish sentiment Momentum indicators point to increasing bearish pressure The US 500 cash index is trying to record a green candle today as it trades in the busy 4,533-4,550 area. The aggressive move from the October 27 low appears to have run out of steam, especially after the US 500 index failed to record a new 2023 high, above the July 27, 2023 high of 4,607. The current bull
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP moves sideways after significant plunge

EURGBP fails to extend negative structure 20- and 200-SMAs post death cross EURGBP is stubbornly fighting the nearby 0.8555 support level for the fifth consecutive trading day, after the strong sell-off from the 0.8765 resistance. The pair is holding well below the penetrated uptrend line and the 20- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are ready for a death cross.
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Market Comment – Yen flies as BoJ’s Ueda talks ultra-loose policy exit

BoJ Governor Ueda discusses options after ending negative rates Yen rallies as speculation for BoJ pivot intensifies Dollar defies weak labor market data again Wall Street slips, oil falls 4% on gasoline stock build BoJ’s Ueda adds fuel to yen’s tanks The US dollar continued gaining ground against most of its major peers yesterday, but today the protagonist was the yen, which rallied following remarks by BoJ Governor Ueda on exiting negative interest rates.
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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures: Is the sell-off overdone?

WTI oil futures test critical 2023 support zone Technical signals point to oversold levels Sellers await a weekly close below 70   WTI oil futures were sold dramatically on Wednesday, extending their weekly losses to a more than a four-month low of 69.10. The bears are leading for the seventh consecutive week, increasing speculation that a bullish correction could soon take place as the RSI and the stochastic oscillators are looking for an upside reversal near their oversold le
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY’s 2023 performance is positive

USDJPY remains above uptrend line Bearish correction may be on the cards RSI and stochastic indicate negative move USDJPY has been in ascending movement since the beginning of 2023, but now is creating the fourth consecutive red week after the pullback off the 13-month high of 151.90. Technically, the bulls might still be in the town as the market is developing above the long-term uptrend line.
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Technical Analysis – Dollar index on the rise again, but for how long?

Dollar index tests immediate resistance at 104.00 MACD and RSI indicate more gains The US dollar index is rallying back above the 200- and the 20-day simple moving averages (SMAs) after the pullback off the 102.35 support level. The price is regaining some ground from the sell-off that started after the test of the eleven-month peak of 107.00 and is currently testing the 38.2% Fibonacci of the up leg from 99.20 to 107.00 at 104.00. Technically, the MACD oscillator is standing above it
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD ends 2023 in bullish area

GBPUSD finds strong resistance near 200-week EMA Technical signals are negative Will 2024 be a negative year for the pair? With the year 2023 drawing to a close, GBPUSD could not carry the impressive rally of the last three weeks above the bullish crossover within the 50- and the 100-week simple moving averages (SMAs) and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward wave from 1.0325 to 1.3140 at 1.2480. Also, the pair found strong resistance near the 200-week exponenti
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Market Comment – Dollar extends recovery despite US job openings drop

US job openings fall to lowest in more than 2-1/2 years Treasury yields slide, but dollar extends recovery Schnabel points to end of ECB’s tightening crusade Gold becomes attractive again after hitting $2,010 Dollar defies weak labor data The dollar traded higher against all but one of the other major currencies on Tuesday, with the only currency holding its ground being the Japanese yen.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD slows down before BoC rate decision

USDCAD halts near last week's limits Bias remains skewed to the downside BoC policy announcement awaited   USDCAD opened with mild losses on Wednesday after Tuesday’s remarkable rally stalled near last week’s resistance of 1.3593. Traders were also in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the Bank of Canada’s rate decision at 15:00 GMT.
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Technical Analysis – Can NZDUSD bulls keep the rally alive?

NZDUSD in the green today but sentiment mixed Key market events increase possibility of stronger moves Momentum indicators on the brink of giving bearish signals NZDUSD is edging higher today, reacting to the previous two sizeable red candles. It has been an aggressive rally from the November 1 low of 0.5788 as NZDUSD bulls took advantage of the widespread USD weakness and the relative hawkishness of the RBNZ to record a 3-month high of 0.6222. In the meantime, the convergence of t
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Gold recoups some losses of the preceding days Very short-term bias skewed to the upside, but caution needed Gold prices are recovering somewhat after the aggressive selling interest that was posted in the preceding two days. The yellow metal skyrocketed to a fresh record high of 2,145 on Monday but it failed to continue the upside rally and fell back near the 2,000 round number.
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Nvidia in a steady decline since its record high In November But the 50-day SMA curbs the retreat for now Momentum indicators are turning negative Nvidia has been the best performing stock of the S&P 500 in 2023, storming to a fresh record peak of 505.00 on November 20. Although the price has been experiencing a downside correction since then, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) seems to be acting as a strong floor in the near term.
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Technical Analysis – Palladium futures return to multi-year lows

Palladium futures at risk of broad bearish trend resumption Oversold signals detected, eyes on the 945 floor   Palladium futures (March delivery) confirmed a bearish double top pattern near the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) in the four-hour chart after the slump below the 1,045 neckline last week. The price slid as low as 961 on Monday, bringing November’s five-year low of 945 on the radar again.

Technical Analysis – EURUSD looks red after 3-month peak

EURUSD completes 5 red days Price hits 200-day SMA, which acts as support RSI crosses 50 level to the downside EURUSD is plunging from the more-than-three-year high of 1.1015 and is currently posting the fifth straight red day, hitting the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). In the meantime, the momentum indicators are somewhat supportive of this down leg.
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Technical Analysis – ETHUSD posts a fresh 18-month high

Ethereum jumps to its highest since May 2022 Advance eases as oscillators point at overbought conditions ETHUSD (Ethereum) has experienced a strong rally since late October, which propelled the price to a fresh 18-month peak of 2,274 on Monday. However, the uptrend seems to be losing some steam, with both the RSI and stochastics touching their overbought territories.
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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD plummets below uptrend line

AUDUSD posts several red candles Holds below the SMAs Technical oscillators hold in negative areas AUDUSD has been in a bearish corrective mode during the week, penetrating the short-term uptrend line to the downside with strong momentum. Entering the 0.6570 area has been a struggle over the past three days, and there might be another tough obstacle within the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 0.6338 to 0.6690 at 0.6555, but the bears may not give the battle ye
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Market Comment – Gold and equities retreat from recent peaks

Gold reverses lower after leaping to record highs Dollar recovers, turns to ISM survey for direction Stock markets pull back, led by big tech shares Gold loses altitude  The world’s oldest safe-haven asset started the week in an explosive manner, shooting up to new record highs only to get rejected and close the session sharply lower.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD bulls hit a wall; support nearby

GBPUSD reaches overbought area near key resistance Sellers could take control of the market below 1.2588   GBPUSD flatlined around the familiar 1.2720 resistance region, which was last tested at the end of August, after three constructive bullish weeks. The area also overlaps with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downleg.
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