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Shares gain, dollar slips as Fed's Powell sounds caution



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Updates with prices at 11:25 a.m. ET/1625 GMT

By Sinéad Carew and Amanda Cooper

NEW YORK/LONDON, Dec 1 (Reuters) -MSCI's global stock index gained ground on Friday, while the U.S. dollar slipped after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed to move "carefully" on interest rates.

Treasury yields were down in choppy trading after data showed a continued slump in manufacturing and Powell said the risks of hiking interest rates too much and slowing the economy more than necessary, have become "more balanced" with the risks of not hiking enough to control inflation.

"Powell did his utmost to subtly convince markets of the Federal Reserve's commitment to holding rates in restrictive territory for a prolonged period of time," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay in Toronto.

"But we doubt this will deter investors betting on a dramatic pivot in early 2024," he added citing comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller earlier this week. Widely seen as a more hawkish policymaker, Waller flagged the possibility of lower interest rates if inflation continued to ease.

"By providing the terms - and the timeline - for a rules-based reduction in policy rates next year, Governor Waller earlier this week cleared the way for a sustained, data-driven decline in yields and the dollar."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 85.32 points, or 0.24%, to 36,036.21, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 5.88 points, or 0.13%, to 4,573.68 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 7.74 points, or 0.05%, to 14,218.48.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 0.97%, while MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS was up 0.21% after registering its biggest monthly gain in three years for November.

Earlier, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 46.7 last month. It was the 13th consecutive month that the PMI stayed below 50, indicating a contraction in manufacturing and the longest such stretch since the period from August 2000 to January 2002.

Mona Mahajan, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones said the data supported the idea of lower inflation and a gradually cooling economy.

"We're encouraged that markets aren't pulling back in any meaningful way after the strong November and may have scope to build on those gains if we continue to see these fundamental drivers play out," said Mahajan.

In Treasuries, benchmark 10-year notes US10YT=RR were down 8.4 basis points to 4.266%, from 4.35% late on Thursday. The 30-year bond US30YT=RR was last down 6.3 basis points to yield 4.448%. The 2-year note US2YT=RR was last was down 11.7 basis points to yield 4.5984%.

In currencies, the dollar index =USD fell 0.058%, with the euro EUR= down 0.2% to $1.0864. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.64% versus the greenback at 147.25 per dollar.

Sterling GBP= was last trading at $1.2665, up 0.34% on the day supported by expectations that the Bank of England will take longer than either the Fed or the ECB to cut rates.

Oil prices extended losses slightly after Thursday's 2% drop, with the market unconvinced that the latest round of OPEC+ production cuts will be able to lift prices from a recent slump.

U.S. crude CLc1 recently fell 0.13% to $75.86 per barrel and Brent LCOc1 was at $80.75, down 0.14% on the day.

In precious metals, spot gold XAU= added 1.1% to $2,058.19 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCc1 gained 0.64% to $2,051.10 an ounce.


Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA


Reporting by Sinéad Carew, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed in New York, Amanda Cooper in London and Stella Qiu; Editing by Jamie Freed, Miral Fahmy, William Maclean and Alexander Smith

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
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