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Australia, NZ dlrs on defensive as RBNZ, inflation data loom

Australia, NZ dlrs on defensive as RBNZ, inflation data loom By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 27 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the defensive on Tuesday as risk aversion dominated ahead of a raft of global inflation data, and a local policy meeting that might just see a fresh hike in interest rates. Markets are pricing in a one-in-three chance the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will raise its 5.5% official cash rate (OCR) on Wednesday to combat stubborn inflation.
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NZ dollar falls ahead of RBNZ, Aussie braces for CPI test

NZ dollar falls ahead of RBNZ, Aussie braces for CPI test SYDNEY, Feb 26 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar fell on Monday as traders pared back bets the central bank could surprise with an interest rate hike this week, while the Australian dollar was also vulnerable ahead of a monthly inflation test. The kiwi NZD=D3 fell 0.5% to $0.6164, after jumping 1.2% last week on risk that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) may hike this week.
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Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gains as yen carries the can

Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gains as yen carries the can By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 23 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was aiming for a third straight week of gains on Friday as it benefits from carry demand against the yen, while the New Zealand dollar weathered a dire report on retail sales that raised the risk of recession. The Aussie was up 0.4% for the week so far at $0.6562 AUD=D3 , having topped out at $0.6595 overnight.
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Australian dollar retreats from resistance, nears 8-mth trough on kiwi

Australian dollar retreats from resistance, nears 8-mth trough on kiwi SYDNEY, Feb 22 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar recoiled from a key hurdle against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday and hovered near an eight-month low against the kiwi on the risk of another near-term interest rate hike in New Zealand. The Aussie and the kiwi also hit fresh nine-year peaks on the yen as markets wagered that the Bank of Japan will keep policy accommodative.
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Australia, NZ dollars break resistance, reach 9-year highs on yen

Australia, NZ dollars break resistance, reach 9-year highs on yen By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 21 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars inched higher on Wednesday after cracking resistance offshore, while both held near nine-year peaks on the yen amid a spate of downbeat data on the Japanese economy. The Aussie was a fraction firmer at $0.6554 AUD=D3 , having been as high as $0.6579 overnight after clearing the $0.6550 barrier.
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Australia, NZ dollars slip as China rate cut fails to excite

Australia, NZ dollars slip as China rate cut fails to excite SYDNEY, Feb 20 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars edged lower on Tuesday as China's big mortgage rate cut failed to draw much excitement from investors, while a still cautious central bank Down Under reinforced bets that any rate relief could be some way off. The Aussie AUD=D3 slipped 0.2% to $0.6525, having eked out a modest 0.1% gain overnight.
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Australia, NZ dlrs find some comfort as China markets reopen higher

Australia, NZ dlrs find some comfort as China markets reopen higher SYDNEY, Feb 19 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars found some solace on Monday as Chinese markets returned from a long holiday with modest gains, although fading chances for early rate cuts globally will weigh in the months ahead. Volumes in the foreign exchange were subdued through the day thanks to the Presidents' Day holiday in the U.S.
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Australia, NZ dollars try to steady; markets pare RBNZ rate hike risk

Australia, NZ dollars try to steady; markets pare RBNZ rate hike risk By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were looking on Friday likely to end a tough week on a steadier note after their U.S. counterpart was sideswiped by surprisingly soft retail data , which also offered a helping hand to bonds. The Aussie was holding at $0.6517 AUD=D3 , leaving it steady on the week and well away from a three-month low of $0.6443. It now faces stiff resistance around
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Australian dollar eases, bonds bounce as jobs data disappoint

Australian dollar eases, bonds bounce as jobs data disappoint By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 15 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar slipped on Thursday after a surprisingly weak set of jobs numbers led investors to price in more chance of rate cuts this year, pulling bond yields lower. Employment rose just 500 in January, when analysts had looked for a bounce of 30,000 after a steep fall in December.
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Australia, NZ dlrs tumble as hot US inflation forces rate cut rethink

Australia, NZ dlrs tumble as hot US inflation forces rate cut rethink By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, Feb 14 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars took a beating on Wednesday and bonds were hammered after U.S. inflation surprised on the high side, upending market expectations for early interest rate cuts. The Aussie AUD=D3 was stumbling at $0.6453, the lowest level in three months , having tumbled 1.2% overnight to break key support at $0.6469. It has found a tentative floor at $0.6452, a lev
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Kiwi slips as rate-hike talk ebbs, Aussie struggles on mixed data

Kiwi slips as rate-hike talk ebbs, Aussie struggles on mixed data By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, Feb 13 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar slipped on Tuesday after an easing in inflation expectations trimmed some of the bets around a possible rate hike, while the Australian dollar struggled amid mixed local data. The kiwi dollar NZD=D3 fell 0.5% to $0.6098, having also eased 0.3% overnight as the talks of another rate hike faded a little.
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Low cost options to hedge vulnerable AUD/USD

BUZZ-COMMENT-Low cost options to hedge vulnerable AUD/USD Feb 12 (Reuters) - There could be a greater chance of AUD/USD extending its setback than regaining lost ground, which could reward those tempted to buy related FX options from current 2-year lows. A hawkish hold from the Reserve Bank Australia last week failed to boost the AUD and AUD/USD is still vulnerable to a stronger USD and risk aversion.
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Australia, NZ dlrs subdued in holiday thinned trade, Orr awaited

Australia, NZ dlrs subdued in holiday thinned trade, Orr awaited SYDNEY, Feb 12 (Reuters) - The Australian and kiwi dollars were subdued in holiday thinned trade on Monday, while traders looked ahead to a central bank speech in New Zealand that could make or break market bets for another hike given the huge shift in market pricing last week. Most of Asia including China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia are closed for holidays.
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Big FX option positions have consequences for EUR/USD

BUZZ-COMMENT-Big FX option positions have consequences for EUR/USD Feb 9 (Reuters) - There are some FX option strategies that will thrive in the current FX environment and while plenty of those are in play in EUR/USD, their presence will have consequences for the FX spot market. USD call/EUR put Reverse-knock-out (RKO) options will benefit from USD gains/EUR losses by allowing the holder to buy the USD at more favourable level (strike) if a preset trigger (below spot) hasn't traded before expiry
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Australia dlr in doldrums, kiwi climbs on RBNZ rate risk

Australia dlr in doldrums, kiwi climbs on RBNZ rate risk By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 9 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was heading toward a fourth straight week of losses on Friday as concerns about China's economy provided an excuse to sell, while its New Zealand counterpart bounced on talk rates there might yet rise again. The Aussie was stuck at $0.6490 AUD=D3 , having eased 0.3% for the week so far and touched a three-month low of $0.6469. All attempts at rallying have been thwarted by resis
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Aussie should perform but it won't be a smooth ride

BUZZ-COMMENT-Aussie should perform but it won't be a smooth ride 08 Feb (Reuters) - The Australian dollar has potential to outperform the U.S. dollar and euro while the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintains its higher for longer rate stance. However, until there is stronger evidence of growth within the Chinese economy, the outlook for AUD/USD and EUR/AUD will remain cloudy.
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Australia, NZ dollars sidetracked by China disinflation struggle

Australia, NZ dollars sidetracked by China disinflation struggle By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 8 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars struggled to extend recent gains on Thursday as disappointing Chinese inflation data underlined the economic problems plaguing the Antipodeans' largest trading partner. China's consumer price index rose a smaller-than-expected 0.3% in January month-on-month and the annual pace fell to minus 0.8%, the weakest reading since September 2009. While all of the
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Australia, NZ dlrs extend gains as kiwi jobs data dims rate cuts hopes

Australia, NZ dlrs extend gains as kiwi jobs data dims rate cuts hopes SYDNEY, Feb 7 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars extended gains on Wednesday, buoyed by hopes of more China market support and a pullback in the greenback, while stronger-than-expected kiwi jobs data dimmed the prospects of early rate cuts. The Aussie AUD=D3 rose 0.2% at $0.6534, after climbing 0.6% overnight to move back in the familiar range of $0.6520 and $0.6625. It has been helped by a still-hawkish Reser
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Australia dlr off the floor as RBA keeps door ajar for rate hike

Australia dlr off the floor as RBA keeps door ajar for rate hike By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Feb 6 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar pared some of its recent hefty losses on Tuesday after the country's central bank held rates steady as expected but warned a further hike could not be ruled out given inflation was still too high. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its cash rate at a 12-year high of 4.35% for a second meeting and noted inflation had eased a little faster than expected in the fourth
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FX options signal expectations for EUR/USD

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options signal expectations for EUR/USD Feb 5 (Reuters) - FX options are forward looking and thrive on volatility, so their price action can offer clues on the outlook, which hasn't changed a great deal in EUR/USD of late. Implied volatility, the option market gauge of realised volatility over a certain time frame, trends higher when realised volatility is high or is expected to increase, and vice versa.
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