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Is JP 225 index ready for bearish correction? RSI and Stochastics indicate downward wave in short term The JP 225 stock index (cash) stormed higher after the bounce off around the 35,700 region in late January. Although the price jumped to its highest level since 1990 at 38,868, it has been range bound since then, appearing unable to extend its advance.

Technical Analysis – Gold encounters resistance at 50.0% Fibo

Gold rebounds strongly from 2-month bottom Price breaks above 50- and 200-period SMAs Oscillators tilt to the positive side Gold had been trading within a range in the four-hour chart, but a hotter-than-expected US inflation report triggered a downward spike to a fresh two-month low of 1,984. However, bullion managed to post a swift recovery, jumping above both 50- and 200-period simple moving averages (SMAs) before encountering strong resistance at 2,030. For the rebound to resum

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD prepares to switch to a bull market

NZDUSD prints bullish trend pattern Constraining 50-day SMA under examination again FOMC meeting minutes due for release at 19:00 GMT   NZDUSD is looking to complete a bullish double bottom pattern above the 0.6155 neckline and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the February-October 2023 downtrend. Technically, the bulls could dominate in the coming sessions as the RSI has extended its upward pattern above its 50 neutral mark and the MACD continues to strengthen above its red

EURGBP holds in sideways move in short-term MACD and RSI suggest more gains EURGBP has been in a bullish corrective mode over the last week, meeting the 0.8570 resistance level once again. Entering the 0.8600 area has been a struggle over the past month, and there might be another tough obstacle between the 50-and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at 0.8585 and 0.8615. Specifically, the RSI is crossing above its 50 neutral mark, gaining some pace, and the MACD oscillator is ho

Technical Analysis – USDJPY hovers above a key trendline

USDJPY trades sideways, hovering around the 150 level It remains close to its recent peak and it is comfortably above a key trendline Momentum indicators are mixed, all eyes on the stochastic oscillator USDJPY is trying to record a green candle as it continues to range trade and to respect the aggressive December 28, 2023 ascending trendline.

Apple shares slide after rejection at 50-day SMA Price violates 200-day SMA and ascending trendline Momentum indicators deep in their negative zones   Apple’s stock has been very volatile in the past few months, opening frequently with significant price gaps. In the near term, the stock has been facing downside pressures, which led to a decline below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the upward sloping trendline that connects its recent higher lows.

Technical Analysis – ETHUSD unlocks 21-month high just shy of 3,000

ETHUSD extends structure of higher highs Posts 21-month peak a tad below 3,000 psychological mark Momentum indicators point to overbought conditions ETHUSD (Ethereum) has been developing within a bullish channel since late October, surging to consecutive higher highs. On Tuesday, the price leaped to a fresh 21-month peak of 2,984, but traders should be cautious as the momentum indicators are hinting at overbought conditions .

Technical Analysis – Is the US 100 cash index close to a correction?

US 100 index is in red today, testing the support set by a key trendline It remains a tad below its all-time high as the market looks for new bullish catalysts Stochastic oscillator is trying to send a bearish message  The US 100 cash index is lower today, testing the support set by the October 26, 2023 ascending trendline but remaining very close to its February 12, 2024 high of 18,041. The journey higher has almost been a straight line, raising questions on the soundness of thi

Technical Analysis – Nvidia stock consolidates ahead of earnings

Nvidia hovers around its record high of 745.70 Exponential year-to-date rally seems overstretched Stochastics exit but RSI stays in overbought area Nvidia has been surging since the beginning of the year, posting consecutive all-time highs. However, the price seems to be in a consolidation phase in the past few daily sessions as traders are bracing for the upcoming Q4 earnings report on Wednesday.

AUDUSD hovers slightly below the falling trend line Momentum indicators are not extremely excited by the current upside move AUDUSD is moving higher again today after bouncing off the June 20-period simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6520 in the 4-hour chart. In the meantime, the momentum indicators are somewhat supportive of this up leg.

Technical Analysis – USDCHF regains some power, but is still at risk

USDCHF gets rejected near familiar resistance Short-term bias remains positive but probably too weak   USDCHF has been in the green almost every week since the plunge to a nine-year low of 0.8331 at the end of December, but the bullish wave was not strong enough to overcome the descending trendline from the 2022 top last week. The bulls, however, have not totally abandoned the battle.

Technical Analysis – EURJPY on the rise above 162.00, but for how long?

EURJPY posts new 3-month high Momentum indicators are gaining ground Positive structure remains intact above short- and long-term diagonal lines EURJPY is skyrocketing above the 162.00 round number, recording a fresh three-month high. The market is completing a strong bullish rally after the bounce off the 158.90 support level, posting the tenth consecutive green day.

CHFJPY is trading lower today, a tad below its recent high Intervention threat lingers as JPY fails to make sizeable gains across the board Momentum indicators are mostly on the sidelines at this stage CHFJPY is in the red today as it continues to trade a tad below its recent 171.81 high. The pair has been range trading since the start of 2024 as JPY bulls appear unable to record a decent correction, thus raising the possibility for further verbal interventions by Japanese authorit

EURCHF extends recovery to a fresh 2-month high Breaks above trendline but long-term downtrend remains intact Momentum indicators tilt to the positive side   EURCHF has been in a downtrend since the beginning of 2023, dropping to an all-time low of 0.9252 on December 29. However, the pair has been staging a rebound in 2024, violating the downward sloping trendline that connects its lower highs in the past year and posting a fresh two-month peak last week.

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD

Will USDJPY find its next bullish catalyst this week to resume its uptrend? EURUSD stays victim to the dollar; needs significant gains to violate downtrend GBPUSD supported, but not bullish yet; focus on 1.2700 region   FOMC meeting minutes, S&P Global business PMIs --> USDJPY In response to upbeat US data, investors have almost convinced themselves that the Fed will not deliver its first rate cut in spring while they are also undecided whether June’s policy meeting wi

Technical Analysis – US 500 index gets assistance after rejection from all-time high

US 500 holds above ascending trend line But technical oscillators losing some ground The US 500 (cash) index was challenging the all-time high of 5,050.96 in the previous sessions, before pulling lower near the 5,000 round number. The market is holding slightly above the steep ascending trend line, which has been drawn from October 27. Technically, the bulls might still be in town as the RSI is still clearly above its 50 neutral mark despite losing some ground.

Technical Analysis – Gold tests tricky area within 38.2% Fibonacci

Gold remains in trading range in short-term Price rebounds off 1,984 MACD and RSI suggest buying interest Gold is moving higher again today, recording its third consecutive green candle after bouncing off the 1,984 support level. It is currently testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 1,810 to 2,145 at 2,016 and the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 2,024. The market has been developing within a consolidation area over the last three months and contin

Technical Analysis – Natural gas dives to pandemic lows; near-term oversold

Natural gas futures reach pandemic lows Oversold signals present; confirmation above 1.65     Natural gas futures (March delivery) experienced another painful week, plummeting towards the pandemic floor of 1.50, which halted the 2014-2016 downtrend too. The RSI and the stochastics have detected oversold conditions, while Thursday’s candlestick, which seems to have the shape of an inverse hammer, is adding to the optimism that the price could soon change direction to the upside

Technical Analysis – USDCAD retains upside pressure in ascending channel

USDCAD starts a battle with 200-day SMA However, MACD and stochastic suggest bearish retracement USDCAD has been recouping some losses after the strong bearish movement in the preceding two sessions but is currently finding strong resistance near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.3480. The pair has been developing within an upward sloping channel over the last month.

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD stuck in a rectangle pattern

NZDUSD claims 200-day SMA and descending trendline But the pair fails to rally, extending sideways move Oscillators improve but remain in negative territories NZDUSD entered a downtrend after getting rejected at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 0.6536-0.5772 downleg in December. However, the pair has adopted a rangebound pattern around the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since mid-January, while the latest jump above it has failed to trigger a strong advance.

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