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AUDNZD

Noticias

Reuters - Hace 14 horas

FX options wrap - Damp vol, CNH 7.30, EUR trap, ZAR risk, MXN

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Damp vol, CNH 7.30, EUR trap, ZAR risk, MXN The majority of G10 FX option implied volatility is languishing close to long-term lows and reflects a lack of FX realised volatility/expectations . Very short dated expiry contracts hold slightly higher levels in recognition of impending event risks, but without a big surprise versus expectations, those prices should also fall thereafter.
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Reuters - Hace 4 días

FX options wrap - Risk recovery weighs USD and implied vol

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk recovery weighs USD and implied vol A bout of mid-week risk aversion reignited demand for options/implied volatility , but it is reverting amid a subsequent risk recovery, aided by a slightly softer than forecast monthly U.S. PCE inflation print. There's plenty of impending event risk to keep an underlying bid below shorter dated expiry FX implied volatility for now, however.
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Reuters - Hace 4 días

Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead May 31 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are large ones worth noting for today and for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0805 on 1.4-billion euros, between 1.0850-60 on 1.5-billion euros and at 1.0870 on 1.4-billion euros.
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Reuters - Hace 5 días

FX options wrap - Risk off, ECB and Fed, long-end, ZAR bids

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk off, ECB and Fed, long-end, ZAR bids Risk aversion boosted USD, JPY and CHF and lifted FX option implied volatility into Thursday's session, with an uncharacteristic and significant increase in 1-year expiry EUR/USD and USD/JPY, too. Implied volatility eased marginally as the day progressed and FX spot markets consolidated overnight moves.
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Reuters - Hace 6 días

FX options wrap - Carry, shackle, ZAR, intervention, insight

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Carry, shackle, ZAR, intervention, insight FX option implied volatility is languishing at long term lows in many of the major G10 currency pairs and reflects the lack of FX realised volatility/expectations that is favouring carry trades . EUR/USD is the most liquid and highly traded currency pair, but a now familiar 1.08-1.09 range is getting more congested and harder to break as related strikes and their hedging flows dominate.
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Reuters - Hace 1 semana

Australia, NZ dollars subdued ahead of inflation tests at home and abroad

Australia, NZ dollars subdued ahead of inflation tests at home and abroad SYDNEY, May 27 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were struggling to gain traction on Monday as traders braced for inflation tests at home and abroad, while bonds steadied after taking a hit in the previous week. The Aussie held at $0.6630 AUD=D3 amid thin liquidity thanks to a holiday in the U.S., having tumbled 1% last week to as low as $0.6589. It failed to hold a key $0.6650 chart level last week which
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

FX options wrap - Fear gauge, so low, hedging, NFP

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Fear gauge, so low, hedging, NFP As an FX market fear gauge , the very low levels of FX option implied volatility should reassure investors, especially those holding carry trades, that a familiar low FX volatility environment looks set to persist for now. Strong risk appetite and lack of policy divergence are playing their parts, while a long holiday weekend in the UK and U.S.
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

Australia, NZ dollars on defensive, markets run away from rate cuts

Australia, NZ dollars on defensive, markets run away from rate cuts By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, May 24 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were ending the week on the defensive on Friday as upbeat economic data lifted their U.S. counterpart, while debt markets further lengthened the odds on early rate cuts at home. The Aussie faded to $0.6596 AUD=D3 , having failed to hold a key $0.6650 chart level.
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

FX options wrap - Low risk, UK vote, 11 bln euros, CAD 1.40

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Low risk, UK vote, 11 bln euros, CAD 1.40 FX volatility measures are low , especially very short dated expiries, which reflects a lack of FX realised volatility, both past and expected. One-week daily realised volatility is just 2.0 in EUR/USD and GBP/USD and 3.0 in USD/JPY. Benchmark 1-month implied volatility edges closer to long term lows from March, with EUR/USD just 0.3 above a multi year low of 4.9. One-month expiry looks attractive at lower levels given its inclusio
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

New Zealand dollar holds ground as RBNZ out-hawks Fed

New Zealand dollar holds ground as RBNZ out-hawks Fed SYDNEY, May 23 (Reuters) - The New Zealand currency held its ground on Thursday in the face of a firm U.S. dollar, as an unexpected rise in local retail sales further pushed out bets of rate cuts this year following strongly hawkish guidance from its central bank. The kiwi dollar NZD=D3 rose 0.2% to $0.6107, having managed to hold steady overnight as the greenback made broad advances thanks to hawkish Federal Reserve minutes showing that "var
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

FX options wrap - Central bank dates tempt value hunters

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Central bank dates tempt value hunters FX option implied volatility is mean reverting back toward long term lows but tempting value hunters, especially for dates that include the June 12 Fed and other key central banks. Improved risk sentiment, a lack of any real policy divergence and low FX realised volatility have all combined to pressure implied volatility and the subsequent cost of options.
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

New Zealand dollar surges on surprisingly hawkish RBNZ

New Zealand dollar surges on surprisingly hawkish RBNZ By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, May 22 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar rose almost 1% on Wednesday to its highest level in two months as the central bank lifted its forecasts for peak interest rates and pushed back when it expects cuts, in a hawkish surprise that also sent the kiwi flying on its Aussie counterpart.
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

FX options wrap - RBNZ and UK CPI premium, mega EUR, JPY risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - RBNZ and UK CPI premium, mega EUR, JPY risk FX option implied volatility is under broad based pressure, especially shorter dated expiries, as FX spot markets consolidate within familiar ranges before a long UK/US weekend holiday. Current implied volatility levels are much closer to long term lows from March than their April highs.
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

FX options wrap - Price action forecasts the FX outlook

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Price action forecasts the FX outlook FX options are forward looking and thrive on FX volatility and rapid directional moves, so their current price action is very telling about the near term FX outlook. Implied volatility gauges FX realised volatility/expectations and is a key determinant of an FX option premium, it's under pressure across the board.
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Reuters - Hace 2 semanas

Australian dollar buoyant near 4-month highs as commodity prices surge

Australian dollar buoyant near 4-month highs as commodity prices surge SYDNEY, May 20 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar hovered near a four-month top on Monday, supported by a surge in commodity prices after China unveiled huge steps to stabilise the property market, while the kiwi was on edge ahead of its central bank policy meeting. The Aussie AUD=D3 rose 0.1% to $0.6700, after gaining 1.4% last week to as high as $0.6714, the strongest since early January.
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Reuters - Hace 3 semanas

FX options wrap - Key dates stand out as FX risk premiums drop

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Key dates stand out as FX risk premiums drop FX option implied volatility has extended its post U.S. CPI declines toward longer term lows from March, with little interest to buy options other than those after key data and subsequent central bank policy announcements. The sharp decline in FX option implied volatility is consistent with lower realised volatility within familiar ranges and improved risk sentiment.
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Reuters - Hace 3 semanas

FX options wrap - FX trend, JPY calls, EUR 1.10, cen-bank risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX trend, JPY calls, EUR 1.10, cen-bank risk FX option implied volatility is broadly lower since Wednesday's U.S. data risk was priced out, with a weaker USD and improved risk appetite playing their part . Implied volatility for the majority of the G10 FX pairings is closer to its mid-March and long-term lows than early/mid April and long-term highs.
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Reuters - Hace 3 semanas

FX options wrap - USD puts justified by weak U.S. data

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts justified by weak U.S. data Overnight expiry implied volatility was trading at, or close to, 2024 highs and there was increased demand for short dated expiry USD put options, all of which proved justified by the weaker than forecast U.S. CPI data. Weak U.S. retail sales also played its part in igniting a spike in realised volatility and hurting the USD.
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Reuters - Hace 3 semanas

FX options wrap - CPI and Fed boost FX risk premium

BUZZ-FX options wrap - CPI and Fed boost FX risk premium Wednesday's eagerly awaited U.S. CPI data is now included by overnight expiry options, with a significant rise in the level of implied volatility recognising the increased FX realised volatility risk. EUR/USD overnight expiry implied volatility from 7.0 on Monday to 12.5 early Tuesday - a premium/break-even of 54 USD pips from 31 USD pips in either direction.
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Reuters - Hace 4 semanas

FX options wrap - Expiries gain significance before key U.S. CPI

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Expiries gain significance before key U.S. CPI Price action in FX and FX options is limited whilst markets wait for next Wednesday's U.S. CPI data for direction, increasing the significance of some very large impending expiries and their related cash hedging flows . EUR/USD 1.0750 remains a big expiry level over the next week and there are some huge AUD/USD strikes around 0.6600 and GBP/USD 1.2500 due to expire before Wednesday's data.
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Activos populares

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