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AUDUSD

Análisis XM

Análisis XM - Hace 2 días

Week Ahead – A decisive week for USD with NFP and more; BoJ meets

A crucial week lies ahead with US jobs report, advance GDP and PCE inflationThe Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates, but will it flag a year-end hike?Flash GDP and CPI data for the euro area are also hotly anticipatedAustralian quarterly CPI and UK budget on the agenda tooAll eyes on US data as Fed turns hawkish againThe Federal Reserve’s surprise decision in September to cut rates by a larger-than-expected 50-basis-points seems like a distant memory now, as policymakers are once again sen
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasBearish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD battles with 200-day SMA

AUDUSD may pause downside moveStochastic and RSI still show negative signsAUDUSD has been battling with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.6630 over the last couple of days, and selling interest has started after its pullback off the 20-month high of 0.6940.According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is trying to cross beneath the 20 level, and the RSI is sloping slightly south below the neutral threshold of 50.If the price successfully falls below the 200-day SMA and the
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasNeutral

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD: Will September’s bullish vibes return?

AUDUSD tests support area near 200-day SMAShort-term bias remains on the negative sideAUDUSD has been on a downward slide again, marking its fourth consecutive week in the red. It recently dipped to a two-month low of 0.6612 but held above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the constraining falling line from February 2023, which increases speculation as to whether the sell-off is finally hitting a bottom.Remember back in September when those support lines gave the price a nice boost?
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 semanaNeutral

Week Ahead – BoC to speed up rate cuts; flash PMIs eyed for growth clues

Bank of Canada meets; may opt for bigger 50-bps cutOctober flash PMIs to set the mood amid some growth concernsA relatively quiet week otherwise, with mostly second-tier releasesBoC to likely cut by half a pointExpectations that the Bank of Canada will cut rates by 50 basis points at its October meeting firmed up after the latest CPI data. Nevertheless, markets are not fully convinced of an outsized move, hence, there is a little bit of uncertainty heading into Wednesday’s decision by Canada��
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 semanasNeutral

Daily Comment – Dollar edges up, stocks muted as China stimulus underwhelms

China announces more stimulus details but no word on size of packageAttention turns to week’s other events as stocks unimpressedEuro and pound flat as ECB decision and UK CPI awaitedChina pledges more support, stocks steadyChinese officials unveiled more measures to shore up the country’s embattled property sector while also pledging further support for businesses and consumers in two separate announcements on Saturday and Monday.
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Análisis XM - Hace 3 semanasNeutral

Daily Comment – Risk appetite ebbs as markets fret over China stimulus, Fed rate cuts

Risk sentiment dented as China refrains from fresh stimulus measuresFed officials give cautious green light to more rate cutsDollar and equities turn lower after recent gains as US CPI awaitedMarkets consolidate as China announcement disappointsOptimism about China’s newfound love for bold stimulus policies faded slightly on Tuesday as a much-anticipated press briefing by the country’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) ended without any significant new measures being announce
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Análisis XM - Hace 3 semanasBearish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD pauses bullish rally for a while

AUDUSD may find support at 0.6800Stochastic and RSI suggest more declinesAUDUSD has found strong resistance at the 20-month high of 0.6940 and is retreating towards the immediate 20-day simple moving average at 0.6800.The technical oscillators currently confirm the recent bearish correction. Following the pullback from the overbought area, the stochastic oscillator is moving lower, while the RSI is moving horizontally slightly above the neutral threshold of 50.A move to the downside could drive
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 semanasNeutral

Daily Comment – PCE inflation corroborates dovish Fed bets

Softer PCE data keep chances of another 50bps Fed cut elevatedFed Chair Powell speaks, ISM PMIs and NFP on this week’s agendaYen rally pauses after Ishiba says policy should stay accommodativeAussie, kiwi and Chinese stocks celebrate PBoC’s measuresMarket assigns decent chance for back-to-back 50bps Fed cutThe dollar slipped against most of its major peers after Friday’s data revealed that the headline PCE price index slowed more than expected in August, although the more important core PC
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 semanasNeutral

Week Ahead – NFP on tap amid bets of another bold Fed rate cut

Investors see decent chance of another 50bps cut in NovemberFed speakers, ISM PMIs and NFP to shape rate cut betsEurozone CPI data awaited amid bets for more ECB cutsChina PMIs and BoJ Summary of Opinions also on tapWill the Fed opt for a back-to-back 50bps rate cut?Although the dollar slipped after the Fed decided to cut interest rates by 50bps and to signal that another 50bps worth of reductions are on the cards for the remainder of the year, the currency traded in a consolidative manner this
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 semanasNeutral

Technical Analysis – Will the AUDUSD rally pause prove temporary?

AUDUSD continues to experience high volatilityIt tests the resistance set by a long-term trendlineMomentum indicators send a mixed message AUDUSD is trading sideways today, following three very volatile sessions that pushed it to the highest level since February 2023. It is currently testing the resistance set by the February 25, 2021 downward sloping trendline, with today’s US PCE report potentially proving pivotal in the outcome of this battle.
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 semanasNeutral

Central banks easing: the race to the bottom has officially commenced

Fed to lead the easing spree in the fourth quarter of 2024A conservative approach is priced in for ECB and BoESNB, BoC and RBNZ to ease further; RBA could follow suitBoJ could surprise with another rate hike by year-end More rate cuts on the way in the fourth quarter of 2024Another round of central banks’ meetings has been completed with the Fed stealing the show by announcing the start of its easing cycle.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Daily Comment – China’s stimulus blitz supports positive equities sentiment

Dollar tries to recover as Fedspeak favors further cuts China announces new measures, positive initial market reaction Aussie benefits from another hawkish RBA meeting Gold, oil and pound rallies continue   Debate for the next Fed cut intensifies US stocks remain in a positive mood as Fed speakers continue to advocate for further rate cuts, despite the fact that the US data confirm the strength of the US economy.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD travels slightly below 9-month high

AUDUSD keeps bullish momentum Stochastics and RSI tick higher AUDUSD is flirting with the previous nine-month high of 0.6840 after the strong bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6620. More buying interest could send traders towards the next resistance zone of 0.6870-0.6900 taken from the highs in December and June 2023 correspondingly.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Daily Comment – Euro sinks on poor PMIs, dollar firms ahead of Fedspeak

Eurozone PMIs dip into contraction zone, euro takes a dive Stocks mixed as weak PMIs offset optimism about China stimulus Dollar edges up as after Waller comments; Powell and PCE inflation eyed next Euro tumbles as recession fears return Eurozone business activity unexpectedly contracted in September according to the flash PMI estimates for September, sparking fresh concerns about the health of the economy.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Weekly Technical Outlook - USDCHF, AUDUSD, EURUSD

SNB to cut rates as USDCHF holds within range RBA to hold steady with AUDUSD standing near 9-month high US core PCE index in the spotlight after Fed decision; EURUSD retreats to 1.1100 SNB interest rate decision --> USDCHF The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will announce its policy decision on Thursday, following the announcements made by major central banks last week.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

RBA policy meeting : It’s not time for a rate cut yet – Preview

RBA expected to deviate from the Fed and hold rates steady Inflation risks remain a concern; labor market is tight AUDUSD faces resistance near 0.6835; next barrier around 0.6875-0.6900   RBA to keep rates steady  It will be time for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to announce its rate decision when its policy meeting concludes on Tuesday, but don't expect a Fed-like rate surprise.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD stands beneath 8-month peak

AUDUSD creates several days of gains Prices added more than 3% since rebound off 200-day SMA Stochastic and RSI point down AUDUSD has been hovering near its opening levels today, after the new high of 0.6838 that was posted on Thursday. The pair bounced off the 200-day SMA near the 0.6620 support level, gaining more than 3%. According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is easing from the overbought area, while the RSI is ticking down above the 50 level.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Week Ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation September flash PMIs to do the rounds; spotlight on euro area SNB to keep trimming as strong franc bites The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be the final major central bank to announce its policy decision in September.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD posts new 9-month high

AUDUSD rally continues after bounce off 200-day SMA Technical oscillators are mixed AUDUSD has printed a fresh nine-month high of 0.6838 earlier today, creating the fourth consecutive green candle. The pair found significant support at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6620, continuing the medium-term bullish structure. The technical oscillators are showing some contradicting sings in the daily chart.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 mes

Week Ahead – Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals Let the Fed cuts begin Since the July US employment report, which sparked fears of recession, investors have been trying to figure out the size of the potential rate cut the Fed will deliver at its September gathering, and the moment of truth has finally come.
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