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Noticias

FX markets are waking up and traders may need to adjust

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX markets are waking up and traders may need to adjust June 14 (Reuters) - FX markets are waking up and traders may need to adjust for bigger moves in the future that result in a shift away from carry trades that have hitherto been popular. Volatility that has been suppressed for ages is rising, and crucially EUR/USD is at the heart of this change, with EUR/USD vol picking up quickly from below 5.0 at the start of this month toward 7.0. The speedy rise is an indication of the lack
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Norwegian crown's fortunes could be about to change

BUZZ-COMMENT-Norwegian crown's fortunes could be about to change June 14 (Reuters) - Norway's crown is holding a bullish bias versus the euro but has struggled to gain any meaningful ground versus its Swedish counterpart, and this despite policy divergence between the Norges Bank and Riksbank. This scenario might be about to change as NOK/SEK charts begin to improve.
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Don't rule out a Riksbank rate cut in June

BUZZ-COMMENT-Don't rule out a Riksbank rate cut in June June 7 (Reuters) - The Swedish central bank sounded a note of caution at its last policy meeting regarding back-to-back rate cuts, but the domestic backdrop, coupled with the European Central Bank's first rate cut , argues the case for a June move. The Riksbank meets on June 27 and board members will have already seen the inflation data for May, which is expected to show a further drop in prices.
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Swedish crown's impressive rally is due a correction

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swedish crown's impressive rally is due a correction June 5 (Reuters) - The crown has seen a steady improvement since late April, with a 3.7% gain versus the euro and the removal of key EUR/SEK support points, but the charts are suggesting the SEK bull run needs a period of consolidation or a correction. The daily relative strength index dropped below the 30-line on Monday, indicating oversold conditions.
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After trial, investors weigh Trump 2.0 factor as election looms

ANALYSIS-After trial, investors weigh Trump 2.0 factor as election looms By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed NEW YORK, June 3 (Reuters) - Donald Trump last week became the first former president convicted of a felony, but Wall Street believes he still has a solid chance of winning the November election and is gaming out how a second term for the Republican candidate could impact markets.
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Many reasons to remain bullish the U.S. dollar

BUZZ-COMMENT-Many reasons to remain bullish the U.S. dollar May 23 (Reuters) - Are a peak in US growth optimism and hawkish Fed pricing sufficient reasons to turn bearish on the USD? Deutsche Bank are not convinced and remain bullish on the dollar in a recently published note. 1. Still little policy divergence priced. Deutsche note that six of the Group of 10 central banks are all priced to cut a near-identical 130-140bps to the Fed through end-2025. With U.S.
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Current conditions continue to favour carry trades

BUZZ-COMMENT-Current conditions continue to favour carry trades May 23 (Reuters) - Current conditions where stocks are booming while currency markets are quiet continue to favour carry trades - and because the dollar is supported by the highest interest rate for a major currency, it should remain in demand. The turning point for the dollar will probably occur once speculative bets on its rise become too large, and there is currently room for bets to grow.
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Weekly resistance could spark a short-term SEK Rally

BUZZ-COMMENT-Weekly resistance could spark a short-term SEK Rally May 22 (Reuters) - On interest rate divergence alone NOK/SEK has been a long play since December and there is a case for further gains. However, the latest rally is currently stalling at technical resistance and the SEK might stage a brief recovery. The weekly Ichimoku cloud has contained the Viking cross, on a closing basis, since October 2023. The cloud base is at 1.0021 today.
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SEK charts beginning to favour the Riksbank

BUZZ-COMMENT-SEK charts beginning to favour the Riksbank May 20 (Reuters) - The Riksbank relaxed its position on the weak crown and cut its benchmark interest rate on May 8. This move might be rewarded with a bout of currency consolidation or even a period of crown appreciation if the bullish longer-term charts play out. There is still the threat of imported inflation and rhetoric from the Riksbank has not supported the idea of back-to-back rate cuts.
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Riksbank might have to settle for SEK consolidation

BUZZ-COMMENT-Riksbank might have to settle for SEK consolidation May 15 (Reuters) - Consolidation in the Swedish crown might be the best the Riksbank can hope for, at least while the SEK is disadvantaged by the lack of rate cuts by other G10 central banks. The Riksbank appears reluctant to cut its benchmark rate in June, but back-to-back rate moves cannot be ruled out, especially if EUR/SEK heads lower.
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The world can survive a strong dollar – for now

BREAKINGVIEWS-The world can survive a strong dollar – for now The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own. By Francesco Guerrera LONDON, May 13 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The dollar is casting a long shadow over the world. The U.S. currency has surged on the back of American economic resilience and higher interest rates.
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Stocks slip, dollar gains as market awaits inflation data

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slip, dollar gains as market awaits inflation data Adds closing U.S. prices Fed still is focus as market pauses ahead of CPI data European stocks hit record high, Wall Street ends mixed Dollar gains on U.S. exceptionalism trade Oil edges up after U.S. stockpiles fell last week By Herbert Lash and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - Global equity markets mostly faltered on Wednesday as investors await fresh inflation data to better assess the likelihood of Fed
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Dollar gains on rate outlook, yen weakens for third day

FOREX-Dollar gains on rate outlook, yen weakens for third day Updated at 1500 EDT By Karen Brettell and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK/LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - The dollar gained on Wednesday as investors bet on the U.S. economy outperforming peers and was higher for the third day against the Japanese yen, keeping investors wary of the risk of intervention from Tokyo.
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Stocks ease, dollar gains as market awaits CPI data

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks ease, dollar gains as market awaits CPI data Adds gold, oil settlement prices, comment in paragraphs 11-12, updates prices at 2:40 p.m. ET (1840 GMT By Herbert Lash and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - Global equity markets mostly faltered on Wednesday as investors await fresh inflation data to better assess the likelihood of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, while the dollar edged higher on expectations of U.S.
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Stocks ease, dollar edges higher as market awaits CPI data

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks ease, dollar edges higher as market awaits CPI data Adds dateline, byline, comment in paragraphs 5-6, Updates prices at 10:22 a.m. ET (1422 GMT By Herbert Lash and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - A gauge of global equity performance faltered on Wednesday as investors await new inflation data to assess the course of potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, while the dollar edged higher on expectations of U.S.
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Dollar gains on rate outlook, yen weakens for third day

RPT-FOREX-Dollar gains on rate outlook, yen weakens for third day Repeats to additional subscribers By Karen Brettell and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK/LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - The dollar gained on Wednesday as investors continued to bet on the U.S. economy outperforming peers and was higher for the third day against the Japanese yen, keeping investors wary of the risk of intervention from Tokyo.
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Dollar gains on rate outlook, yen weakens for third day

FOREX-Dollar gains on rate outlook, yen weakens for third day Updated at 1000 EDT By Karen Brettell and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK/LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - The dollar gained on Wednesday as investors continued to bet on the U.S. economy outperforming peers and was higher for the third day against the Japanese yen, keeping investors wary of the risk of intervention from Tokyo.
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Dollar gains ground; subdued yen prompts Japan warning

FOREX-Dollar gains ground; subdued yen prompts Japan warning Updates prices at 1127 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - The dollar edged up on Wednesday, recouping some of the losses stemming from renewed bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, while the yen weakened for a third day, keeping investors wary of the risk of intervention from Tokyo.
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Don't bank on a June Riksbank rate cut

BUZZ-COMMENT-Don't bank on a June Riksbank rate cut May 8 (Reuters) - Sweden's Riksbank delivered a widely expected 25-basis point rate cut on Wednesday, but with hawkish undertones which left prospects of a June easing in doubt. Weakness in the Swedish crown has always been a concern for the central bank as it tackled inflation and despite embarking on an easing cycle, the outlook for policy will continue to be clouded by the currency.
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Effect on crown of rate cut limited and likely short-lived, Riksbank chief says

Effect on crown of rate cut limited and likely short-lived, Riksbank chief says STOCKHOLM, May 8 (Reuters) - The Swedish crown weakened on the announcement of the Riksbank's first rate cut in eight years but the effect isn't large and is likely to be short-lived, central bank Governor Erik Thedeen said on Wednesday. He said the crown was one of the risks to the monetary policy outlook which points to two further rate cuts this year.
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