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Noticias

Friday's U.S. inflation data poses big challenge for dollar shorts

BUZZ-COMMENT-Friday's U.S. inflation data poses big challenge for dollar shorts March 30 (Reuters) - U.S. spending and inflation data due on Friday will be a big test for the dollar which traders have sold during recent banking turmoil on the assumption that U.S. interest rates will turn lower. The last data published on Feb. 24 showed a surge in spending and a rise in inflation, spurring expectations for much higher U.S.
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Cheaper USD may be best way to hedge against current uncertainty

BUZZ-COMMENT-Cheaper USD may be best way to hedge against current uncertainty March 23 (Reuters) - The dollar has tumbled during the current banking crisis - that is still ongoing - providing an opportunity to use the world's reserve currency as a way to hedge against the uncertainty. A bounce is likely for the dollar index, which is stretched below the base of 20-day Bollinger bands, and is closing on 21-MMA at 101.09 and the 2023 low at 100.80. These are levels that should attract buyers.
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Need to support financial markets may see Fed surprise

BUZZ-COMMENT-Need to support financial markets may see Fed surprise March 22 (Reuters) - With officials exploring the possibility of U.S. government backing for First Republic, the Federal Reserve may surprise traders by holding interest rates in order to support financial markets. A Fed surprise could also spur a surprise reaction in currency markets as support for a U.S.
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Fed might hold and the dollar bounce back

BUZZ-COMMENT-Fed might hold and the dollar bounce back March 21 (Reuters) - Given market turmoil and the resulting fall in commodity prices, the Federal Reserve might not raise interest rates on Wednesday. Should it hold, speculators may turn on the dollar, but if any weakness follows, investors will be able to buy the most liquid of higher yielding currencies more cheaply - and it should bounce back.
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It's worrying that FX traders are ignoring the rules

BUZZ-COMMENT-It's worrying that FX traders are ignoring the rules March 20 (Reuters) - Currency traders are ignoring steep drops in equity and commodities markets , holding on to their bets and even gambling that other risky assets rise as a result of risk aversion. During periods of uncertainty it's prudent to pare exposure, so with traders sitting on a huge bullish EUR/USD position , this should quickly have become evident.
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Significant retracement leaves SEK sitting pretty

BUZZ-COMMENT-Significant retracement leaves SEK sitting pretty March 17 (Reuters) - An impressive turnaround in the crown's fortunes this week and despite longer-term Swedish growth concerns the SEK could cement a larger recovery following this week's significant EUR/SEK retracement. Swedish growth data for January, released last week, surprised to the upside, and could be taken as hawkish for the Riksbank, supporting a 50-basis point rate hike in April and a further 25-basis point rise in June.
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Swedish inflation soars in February, Riksbank under pressure

UPDATE 4-Swedish inflation soars in February, Riksbank under pressure Headline inflation 9.4%, in line with c.bank forecast Ex-energy, inflation 9.3% exceeds Riksbank's forecast of 8.0% Next rate decision on April 26 C.bank forecast is for 25 or 50 bps hike Adds Fin Min comment By Simon Johnson STOCKHOLM, March 15 (Reuters) - Broad inflation jumped in Sweden in February, data showed on Wednesday, putting pressure on the central bank to hike aggressively at its next meeting in April and to keep t
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If you fear a crisis, don't sell dollars

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-If you fear a crisis, don't sell dollars Adds chart March 13 (Reuters) - If you fear a crisis you definitely should not sell dollars because when there is turmoil, the world's reserve currency will rally. Should the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank prove contagious, the results would rapidly become obvious for currency traders with the dollar likely to perform similarly to that seen at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic or during the global financial and euro zone crises.
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Swedish c.bank to start selling government bond portfolio on April 4

UPDATE 1-Swedish c.bank to start selling government bond portfolio on April 4 Adds background, detail OSLO/STOCKHOLM, March 13 (Reuters) - Sweden's central bank will start selling Swedish government bonds on April 4 as part of a plan first announced l ast month , it said on Monday. "The aim of this is to tighten monetary policy and thus safeguard the inflation target," the Riksbank said in a statement.
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This year should see greater divergence in FX markets

BUZZ-COMMENT-This year should see greater divergence in FX markets March 9 (Reuters) - The current tightening cycle in the United States has differed from the past with some central banks resisting pressure to follow the Federal Reserve and others striving to go far beyond it, resulting in big divergence for currencies that may increase this year.
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Stronger dollar can help to tame US inflation

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stronger dollar can help to tame US inflation March 7 (Reuters) - A stronger dollar should help to solve the inflation issue in the United States as it effectively tightens monetary policy allowing the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates at a lower level than might otherwise be necessary. Between October and February the dollar index plummeted more than 12% with measures of inflation and expectations for it remaining stubbornly high .
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U.S. payrolls data likely to determine next dollar move

BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. payrolls data likely to determine next dollar move March 3 (Reuters) - The March 10 payrolls report is likely to determine the next dollar move following the release of hugely surprising data at the start of February which has fuelled the notion that U.S. rates will rise further. Since Feb 3, and news that the U.S. added a massive 517k jobs in January, the dollar index has gained over 4 percent with the expected peak for U.S.
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The dollar has been set up to fall

BUZZ-COMMENT-The dollar has been set up to fall March 1 (Reuters) - The dollar has been set up for a fall after a rally on the last day of February that was probably fuelled by one-off rebalancing flows was followed by a notable drop on the first day of March. The end of each month is often influenced by flows that are related to the rebalancing of equity and bond portfolios.
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Dollar little changed, but headed for 1st monthly gain since September

FOREX-Dollar little changed, but headed for 1st monthly gain since September Adds U.S. data, FX table, analyst comment, bullets, NEW YORK dateline, byline, updates prices U.S. data shows growing economic weakness, dollar weakens French inflation rises, euro gains U.S. dollar strength is "exaggerated" - analyst By Alun John and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss LONDON/NEW YORK, Feb 28 (Reuters) - The dollar was flat to slightly lower against major currencies on Tuesday in choppy trading, after a round of
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Dollar heading for first monthly gain since September

FOREX-Dollar heading for first monthly gain since September By Rae Wee and Alun John SINGAPORE/LONDON, Feb 28 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar steadied on Tuesday, having lost ground a day earlier, climbing particularly against the Japanese yen, and on track for its first monthly gain since September. The greenback's rally gathered momentum in recent weeks as upbeat economic data led to mounting expectations that the U.S.
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Signs the Swedish crown may have seen its best

BUZZ-COMMENT-Signs the Swedish crown may have seen its best Feb. 28 (Reuters) - A strong February for the Swedish crown with a near 4% recovery from the Feb. 2 11.4410 low versus the EUR, but there are indications that EUR/SEK may have put in a short-term base just below its daily Ichimoku cloud. The daily candlestick chart is showing a few long, lower shadows, highlighting demand on dips.
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A story of three clouds for the U.S. dollar

BUZZ-COMMENT- A story of three clouds for the U.S. dollar Feb 22 (Reuters) - Uncertainty surrounding the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy outlook might be stalling the dollar's move higher versus its basket but, from a technical perspective, there are bullish pointers showing up on the daily and weekly Ichimoku charts. Daily price action moved inside its cloud on Feb.
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Dollar rally loses steam as traders wait on Fed, data

FOREX-Dollar rally loses steam as traders wait on Fed, data By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Feb 21 (Reuters) - The dollar was parked below recent peaks on Tuesday, as a three-week rally faded and traders waited on economic data to figure out whether it's warranted to push the dollar up any further. Strong U.S. labour data and sticky inflation have raised U.S.
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Dollar rally loses steam as traders wait on Fed, data

FOREX-Dollar rally loses steam as traders wait on Fed, data By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Feb 21 (Reuters) - The dollar was parked below recent peaks on Tuesday, as a three-week rally faded and traders waited on economic data to figure on whether it's warranted to push the dollar up any further. Strong U.S. labour data and sticky inflation have raised U.S.
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Dollar edges down from six-week peak, Swedish crown jumps

FOREX-Dollar edges down from six-week peak, Swedish crown jumps By Samuel Indyk LONDON, Feb 20 (Reuters) - The dollar edged lower on Monday but kept close to Friday's six-week high, after a flurry of economic data reinforced market expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. The U.S. dollar index =USD , which measures the dollar against six other major currencies, slipped 0.2% to 103.81. It is still up almost 1.8% for the month, on track for its first monthly gain since Sep
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