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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD ticks down to new 5-month low

GBPUSD slips below trading range MACD and RSI indicate more losses Is it time for a bearish retracement? GBPUSD is falling from the long-term consolidation range of 1.2520-1.2820, meeting the 1.2495 support level. The pair is posting a new five-month low, suggesting that more decreases may be on the cards. According to technical oscillators, the MACD is extending its negative momentum beneath its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI is pointing down, approaching the 30 threshold
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Bitcoin holds above $70,000 as halving event looms – Crypto News

Bitcoin trades sideways after posting 3-week high on Monday Cryptos seem resilient to expectations of fewer rate cuts Spot Bitcoin ETFs could soon get approval in Hong Kong Halving to occur next week, will it be a sell-the-fact event?   Bitcoin stable around all-time highs Bitcoin has been in a steady upside trajectory since the beginning of the month, surging to a fresh three-week high of $72,730 on Monday.
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Week Ahead – More inflation data on the way as rate cut bets thrown into disarray

CPI numbers due in the UK, Japan, Canada and New Zealand China to also come into the spotlight as Q1 GDP eyed US retail sales to kickstart the week as earnings season gets underway CPI figures to headline UK data flurry After yet another hot CPI report in the United States, inflation data will remain at the forefront of the upcoming week’s releases, including in the United Kingdom.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD plummets after US CPI and ECB decision

As US CPI comes hotter than expected EURUSD tumbles After ECB interest rate decision EURUSD continues the fall Where is the next stop for the pair? How did EURUSD reacted after the US CPI release on Wednesday and the ECB interest rate decision on Thursday? EURUSD fell more than 100 pips after the US CPI data Since June 2023, both consumer price index (CPI) and producer prices have been relatively stable without significant changes.
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Will US retail sales add juice to the dollar’s rally? – Preview

US retail sales will hit the markets at 12:30 GMT Monday  Early Easter holiday likely boosted consumer spending  Another solid dataset could put more wind in the dollar’s sails   US economy outperforms By most indications, the US economy finished the first quarter on a high note. Incoming data point to a robust labor market, which has helped bolster consumer demand and in the process, reignited inflationary pressures.  The Atlanta Fed estimates real economic growth hit
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD outlook worsens after rapid fall

GBPUSD prints new low for this year Bearish continuation is likely below 1.2480-1.2500   GBPUSD suffered a freefall in the face of hotter-than-expected US CPI inflation data on Tuesday and dropped to a new low of 1.2504 on Friday, retracing back to December’s lows and to the bottom of a broader range area. Despite the consolidation phase, the rejection from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October 26-March 8 uptrend suggests another bearish wave is likely.
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Market Comment – Dollar pulls back; ECB sends clearer cut signals

Dollar takes a breather, but Fed bets remain unchanged Euro suffers as ECB points to June rate cut Yen intervention warnings intensify S&P 500 and Nasdaq rebound, gold hits fresh record high Fed officials say rate cut not imminent The US dollar pulled back against most of its major peers yesterday, taking a breather following Wednesday’s CPI-related rally, perhaps as the softer-than-expected PPI numbers allowed traders to lock in some profits.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD reaches new 2024 high; could this move continue?

USDCAD trades higher again, tests strong resistance level It is the bulls' first attempt to break above the current trend channel Momentum indicators are mixed with a possible bearish divergence developing USDCAD is trading higher again today, recording its fourth consecutive green candle and reaching a new 5-month high. USDCAD is trying to break decisively above the upward sloping trend channel that has been in place since the start of 2024 and it is now testing the resistance
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Technical Analysis – ETHUSD finds support at 50-day SMA

ETHUSD slides after recording 1-month peak But the 50-day SMA curbs its retreat Momentum indicators ease in positive zones ETHUSD (Ethereum) experienced a strong pullback from its 2024 peak of 4,090, dropping to as low as 3,060. This week, the price recorded a fresh one-month high of 3,410 before reversing lower to find solid support at the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD surges to new almost 5-month high

USDCAD meets the upper boundary of ascending channel MACD extends its upside momentum above trigger line USDCAD skyrocketed to a fresh almost 5-month high of 1.3700 on Wednesday after the US CPI release. The market is challenging the upper boundary of the ascending channel and any movements even higher could endorse the bullish outlook in the short-to-medium-term timeframe.
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP’s double bottom still waits for confirmation

EURGBP faces difficulty in completing a double bottom pattern above 0.8579 Technical indicators reflect a lack of bullish momentum    ECB rate decision could generate fresh volatility at 12:15 GMT ECB governor Lagarde holds press conference at 13:45 GMT   EURGBP drifted lower after it got another rejection from November’s resistance trendline and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of December-February downleg at 0.8579 earlier this week.
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index slides below 50-day SMA

US 30 index in bearish mode in very short-term MACD and stochastics indicate negative correction The US 30 cash index has lost its positive momentum after the pullback from the all-time high of 39,985.85, easing beneath the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). In the short-term, the market could retain the range-bound trading as the MACD is falling beneath its trigger and zero lines, while the stochastic posted a bearish crossover.
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USDCHF rebounds off 0.9000 and remains bullish MACD crosses above its trigger line Stochastic moves towards overbought area USDCHF surged to a new six-month high of 0.9146 during yesterday's session, extending its bullish structure. The pair is holding well above its short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) and the medium-term ascending trend line.
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What’s behind the US economy’s resilience?

US economy is still sizzling, outperforming other regions Several factors behind this strength, such as heavy public spending  For US dollar to enjoy a massive rally, it may also need risk aversion    Why is the US economy still so strong?  One of the most striking developments over the past year has been the extraordinary resilience of the US economy, despite the highest interest rates in a generation.
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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD plummets in the US CPI aftermath

AUDUSD drops 1.7% on hotter-than-expected US CPI data Violates both 50- and 200-day SMAs before finding its feet Momentum indicators deteriorate drastically AUDUSD had been in a steady advance since the beginning of April, posting a fresh one-month high of 0.6643 on Tuesday. However, the pair experienced a strong decline and erased all its progress following a stronger-than-expected US inflation report on Wednesday.
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Technical Analysis – WTI oil pauses rally but remains supported

WTI oil futures step on 84.69 once again, hold near recent highs Technical indicators show some weakness, but trend signals are positive   WTI oil futures kept their footing on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the September-December downtrend at 84.69 on Wednesday and closed the day with mild gains at 86.24 after news that Iran may retaliate against Israel’s deadly attack on a diplomatic compound in Damascus.
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Market Comment – Dollar surges across the board on hot inflation data

Dollar rallies on hotter-than-expected US CPI numbers Dollar/yen breaks above 152 and triggers fresh warnings BoC opens the door to June rate cut ECB to stand pat; likely to signal June cut as well Is June off the Fed’s rate-cut map? The US dollar skyrocketed yesterday against all its major peers as the US CPI data for March revealed hotter-than-anticipated inflation.
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Is there a possibility of no Fed rate cuts this year?

A summer rate cut by the Fed hangs in the balance amid persistent inflation Rate cut bets have been scaled back from more than six to around two But limited fallout on Wall Street; can the risk rally survive no rate cuts? Waiting for the elusive rate cut Ever since the Fed signalled it was done hiking rates in November last year, the focus swiftly turned to rate cuts, with the timing and scope of policy easing consuming investors’ attention.
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Technical Analysis – Citigroup stock pulls back ahead of earnings

Citigroup shares post 25-month high in 2024 But experience a setback ahead of Q4 earnings on Friday Short-term oscillators soften in overbought territories Citigroup’s stock has been staging a V-shaped recovery since its 2023 bottom in October, posting consecutive multi-month highs. In the near term, the stock posted a fresh 25-month peak of 63.62 one week ahead of Q1 earnings, but quickly retraced lower due to reaching overbought conditions.
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY flies to new 34-year high

Will USDJPY test 153.00 soon? RSI and stochastics enter overbought regions USDJPY is skyrocketing towards a fresh 34-year high of 152.50 after the US CPI data. The market exited from the narrow range that was in during the previous 20 days with the technical oscillators confirming an upside tendency again. The RSI is crossing above the 70 level and the stochastics are moving towards the overbought region.
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