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JP225Cash


Analyses XM

Technical Analysis – JP 225 index in sight of historic peak

 JP 225 index approaches its 1989 record high Bulls might be exhausted as overbought signals detected   Japan’s 225 stock index (cash) marked another green day on Thursday despite GDP figures pointing to a recessionary economy, extending its weekly bull run closer to the 1989 record high of 38,915. While the upward pattern has shown no cracks so far, the market might be at risk of a downside correction.
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S&P 500 at all-time highs, expected to make bigger moves ahead – Volatility report

Volatility remains low across the FX spectrum with the exception of EUR/USD Gold volatility drops but silver remains at its midpoint; oil and Bitcoin set for small moves S&P 500 volatility rises significantly; remaining stock indices in calmer waters Volatility in EUR/USD has jumped as the pair recorded a sizeable correction last week following some key data releases.
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Volatility Report – January 23, 2024

Volatility remains significantly low across the currency board Commodity markets seem quiet as well, oil exhibits more volatility than metals US indices in the middle of volatility range, JP225 and Bitcoin are rather hot The recent range-trading in most major currency pairs has caused their expected volatility to drop to relatively low levels.
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Volatility Report – January 16, 2024

Volatility crashed across the FX spectrum including EUR/USD and JPY crosses Gold and Silver volatility drops; oil and Bitcoin set for sizeable moves Stock indices in turbulent waters, JP225 volatility records a new monthly high  The recent range-trading in EUR/USD has caused the expected volatility to drop to the lowest level of the past month, despite some key data releases.
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Technical Analysis – JP 225 index rockets to 34-year high

JP 225 index re-activates 2023 uptrend More upside likely but gains could be limited   Japan’s 225 stock index (cash) rocketed to a 34-year high of 34,827 on the back of a tech rally on Wednesday and there might be space for further progress. Both the RSI and the stochastic oscillators have surged into the overbought territory, but they have yet to show signs of weakness, reflecting a bullish bias.
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Volatility Report – December 19, 2023

EUR/USD volatility eases aggressively, major JPY crosses remain in turbulent waters Gold and oil volatility at their midpoints, silver expected to experience sizeable moves Volatility drops in stock indices except JP225; Bitcoin returns to calmer periods EUR/USD expected volatility dropped to the lowest level of the past 30 days as the market appears to be preparing for the much-needed break.
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JP 225 index halts its aggressive retreat at the 50-day SMA Its attempt to rebound though seems to be running out of juice Momentum indicators are skewed to the downside The JP 225 index (cash) advanced after validating a double bottom pattern around the 30,400 region in late October, breaking above the crucial descending trendline.
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Volatility Report – December 12, 2023

EUR/USD volatility in neutral zone, major JPY crosses in turbulent waters Gold and silver follow opposite volatility paths, oil remains quiet Volatility picks up in stock indices except S&P500; Bitcoin set for sizeable moves EUR/USD expected volatility remains subdued despite the crucial CPI print expected later today. Meanwhile, the Yen has disrupted a period of calmness across the currency board as its pairs are the only ones showing a jump in volatility relative to last w
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Volatility Report – Introducing our new weekly publication

Hello XM customers/viewers, Today we are introducing our new weekly post that helps you locate instruments that might make big moves in the coming sessions; the Implied Volatility Table. So, what is Implied Volatility and why it is important? Implied or expected Volatility is a forecast of a likely movement in a financial instrument's price, which is derived from market-traded option prices.
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Technical Analysis – JP225 cash index bears show signs of life

JP225 cash index dips lower after strong upmove Bulls still focused οn testing the June 16, 2023 high Momentum indicators show some early signs of trend reversal The JP225 cash index is trading lower again today as the bulls appear to be taking a breather from the recent strong rally. The JP225 is still around 10% higher than the end-of-October low of 30,380 and not far from the all-time high of 34,006. In the meantime, the momentum indicators are probably showing some early sig
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JP 225 index trades sideways after strong advance pauses Remains supported by the 50-day SMA and descending trendline Momentum indicators suggest more gains in the near term The JP 225 index (cash) stormed higher after validating a double bottom pattern around the 30,400 region in late October. Although the price jumped to its highest level since September 20, it has been rangebound since then appearing unable to extend its advance.
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Technical Analysis – JP225 cash index bulls’ appetite dented by external factors

JP225 cash index hovers below the 50-day SMA Geopolitical developments continue to affect sentiment Momentum indicators on the fence at this juncture The JP225 cash index is trading higher today with the bulls interested in canceling out last Friday’s sizable red candle. It has been a strong short-term upleg from the October 4 low at 30,273, but the bulls need a new peak, above the September 15 high at 33,649, in order to stop the developing bearish pattern of lower lows and lowe
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Technical Analysis – JP225 cash index bulls’ determination in question

The JP225 cash index is trying to register its fourth consecutive green candle but the rally seems to have halted temporarily at the June 16, 2023 downward sloping trendline. This is the third time that this trendline appears to limit the bulls’ appetite, allowing the formation of a bearish series of lower lows and lower highs. In the meantime, the momentum indicators remain mostly on the bulls’ side.
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Technical Analysis – JP225 cash index bulls reappear in the market

Following four red candles, the JP225 cash index is today recording an interesting candlestick called hammer that is usually interpreted as a bullish sign. The bulls would probably like to be given the chance for a rebound as the JP225 index has been on a downward trend since the June 16, 2023 high, and they are currently facing a bearish series of lower lows and lower highs.
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The JP225 cash index is recording another decent red candle as it is trying to register a lower low. Since reaching the 2023 high of 34,006 on June 16, 2023, the JP225 index has been under significant bearish pressure. However, today’s move has finally broken the March 15, 2023 upward sloping trendline, potentially opening the door to a more sizeable pullback.
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The JP225 cash index is trading lower today as the bulls are finding it difficult to regain control of the market. A series of lower highs and lower lows is already in place with the bears aiming for the next trough to occur below the latest low of 31,767, which coincides with a key support level. While the medium-term trend remains bullish, the current short-term downleg has managed to reset the momentum indicators. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) is edging lower, below its 25-th
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The JP225 cash index is trading lower today as the bulls are trying to overcome the first decent correction since the current uptrend started on March 15, 2023, and are mentally preparing for another all-time high. However, the overall upward movement remains overstretched and hence corrections might take place more often and be more forceful than the bulls would prefer.
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Technical Analysis – JP225 cash index ready for higher high but overall move looks overstretched

The JP225 cash index is hovering a tad below the all-time high of 32,705 as the bulls have successfully managed to limit the bearish pressure. It has been an explosive 32% rally from the March 15, 2023 low with almost no corrections taking place. The move appears to be overstretched and maybe a small pullback could be welcomed by both sides. The stochastic oscillator is confirming this overstretched nature as it continues to trade at its overbought (OB) territory, hovering around its moving ave
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Technical Analysis – JP225 cash index correction could morph into a bearish trend

The JP225 cash index is on a streak of downward moves, dropping from the all-time high of 31,664 and it is currently a tad above the 30,711 level. This correction was not unexpected considering the aggressive nature of the recent upleg. However, the momentum indicators might point to a stronger downwards move, and not just a short-term correction. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) is edging lower from its highest peak since the September 2021 rally.
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Japan’s 225 stock index (cash) flatlined near a 1½-year high of 29,918 and at the upper boundary of a bullish channel after a remarkable two-week rally. The RSI and the Stochastic oscillator in the four-hour chart seem to have peaked in the overbought region, flagging a potential downside reversal. The tiny candlesticks at the top of the uptrend could be another indication that the latest upswing is overdone.
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