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Technical Analysis – US 100 index slows down near September’s high

US 100 index holds within bullish area but lacks steamBulls need a close above 20,325-20,500 to strengthen uptrendThe US 100 stock index is about to open mildly lower on Friday despite upbeat US banking earnings, weighed by Tesla’s disappointing guidance on its self-driving robotaxis.The index stabilized around September’s high and near the constraining ascending line from September 2022 at 20,316 following its bounce off the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA).
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Cryptocurrencies remain on the back footEthereum is still trading below its 50-day SMAMomentum indicators could turn bullishEthereum is recording a green session today, but it remains firmly below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which continues to act as strong resistance at this stage. The muted rally in stocks has failed to inspire crypto investors with yesterday's headlines that another crypto exchange is targeted by the SEC adding to the overall negative sentiment.In the meantime
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Technical Analysis – Will GBPUSD battle with 1.3000 again?

 GBPUSD’s bearish wave may come to an end soonStochastics and RSI indicate upside retracementGBPUSD is still retreating from the two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3433, with the next strong key level coming from the 1.3000 psychological mark. The price also dropped beneath the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), and if the bearish correction continues, the pair may lead toward the medium-term ascending trend line at 1.2900. A penetration of the diagonal line could take the bears toward
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WTI oil futures turn up, create bullish candlestick patternOptimism could resurface if bulls break above 77.16-79.00WTI oil futures bounced swiftly up to 76.23 on Thursday, revealing that the bulls have not left town yet.While the price was struggling to find fresh buyers at the time of writing, the bullish doji candlestick pattern created over the past two days retained hopes for a bullish continuation.
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Week Ahead – ECB headed towards another cut, CPI on the agenda elsewhere

The ECB is expected to deliver its first back-to-back rate cut on ThursdayCPI data incoming in Canada, China, Japan, New Zealand and UKChina GDP and US retail sales also high on investors’ radarIs an ECB rate cut a done deal?Following the RBNZ, which cut interest rates by 50 basis points this Wednesday, the central bank torch will be passed next week to the ECB.
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What’s in store for gold in Q4?

Gold outperforms other asset classes; provides protection against risk eventsTailwinds could persist as Q4 agenda includes US election, Fed policy, and geopolitical risksTechnical outlook remains positive; another bull run could commencePreviously in Q3It’s a golden age for gold which has been exhibiting an unprecedented performance so far this year, adding another 14% to its value in the third quarter despite global central bank reserves stabilizing, to trade up by 42% year-on-year.
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Daily Comment – Dollar baffled after mixed data and Fedspeak

Jobless claims contradict the stronger CPI reportFed’s Bostic talks about a November Fed pauseDollar trades sideways as the market still expects a November cutOil and gold in the green, pound doesn’t enjoy today’s dataCPI and jobless claims jump, but Fed’s Bostic makes the headlinesThe US inflation report managed to produce an upside surprise with both the headline and core indicators accelerating by an additional 0.1% on an annual basis compared to the economists’ forecasts.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY moves within consolidation area

EURJPY struggles to drop beneath 38.2% FibonacciMACD and RSI have weak momentumEURJPY has been developing within a trading range of 155.15-164.00 over the last couple of months, with strong resistance coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around 164.40.Technically, the RSI is pointing slightly above the neutral threshold of 50; howeve
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD extends its bullish rally to new 2-month high

USDCAD completes 8 green daysMACD and RSI indicate strong positive momentumUSDCAD skyrocketed to another fresh two-month high of 1.3774 during yesterday's session, adding more than 2.5% following the rebound from the double bottom pattern around 1.3420. The aggressive buying activity above the 1.3650 barrier, which served as a neckline, completed the latest formation.Currently, the price is experiencing its eighth straight green day, with the technical oscillators showing more room for impro
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Quick brief – US core CPI ticks higher; jobless claims increase

US CPI inflation shows stickiness, but the focus falls on rising jobless claimsUSDJPY loses momentum; gold erases Wednesday’s declineThe US CPI inflation for all items arrived softly higher than analysts expected at 2.4% y/y on the back of increased shelter and food costs in September, although it was lower than August’s reading of 2.5%. Likewise, the core measure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, edged up unexpectedly to 3.3% y/y, to the highest point since June, marking it
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD continues to ease below 1.0950

EURUSD may find strong support at 200-day SMAPrice loses 2.5% from 1.1200 levelMomentum oscillators near oversold conditionsEURUSD is still developing beneath the 1.0950 support level, after the completion of the double top pattern below the 1.1000 key level, which suggests a reversal of the trend. Currently, the price is also standing between  the penetrated short-term uptrend line and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.0870.If the selling interest continues, the price may rebou
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Daily Comment – Wall Street hits new record after Fed minutes, CPI eyed next

Fed minutes show split over September cut but Wall Street ralliesDollar eases from near 2-month high as focus turns to CPI reportGold and oil steadier after recent lossesFed minutes add little clarity The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting published on Wednesday did little to end the uncertainty about the pace of rate reductions over the coming months.
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Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, USDCAD, gold

EURUSD retains selling interest beneath 1.0950USDCAD declines after aggressive buying interest to 2-month highGold finds support at 2,600 critical level
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF looks promising ahead of US CPI data

USDCHF finds fresh buying near 50-day SMA; rises to six-week highShort-term outlook remains positive, but a pullback cannot be ruled outUS CPI inflation data may create fresh volatility at 12:30 GMTUSDCHF secured strong footing near 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and extended its bullish break out of the monthly range to a six-week high of 0.8609 on Wednesday.Despite the current weak price momentum, the technical indicators suggest there could be more bullish potential.
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Bitcoin in tepid rebound as geopolitical woes ease – Crypto News

Inflows lift Bitcoin on Monday, but rebound faltersImproved sentiment holds price action above 50-day MABut geopolitical and election risks keep bulls in checkA short-lived bounce?Digital assets took a significant hit last week from the geopolitical turmoil, as Iran’s missile attack on Israel drove investors to safe-haven assets such as gold, leading to the first outflow in three weeks.
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Wall Street hovers near record highs ahead of earnings season – Stock Markets

Stocks remain supported despite recovery in US dollar and yieldsEarnings are expected to grow in Q3, but at a slower pace than in Q2 Investors remain cautious ahead of US electionBut VIX suggests increasing volatility around the eventGood news is actually good newsAlthough investors have significantly scaled back their Fed rate cut bets lately, Wall Street’s benchmark indices did not suffer.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD unlocks 2-month high

USDCAD adds almost 2% from the end of SeptemberDouble bottom pattern completedMACD and RSI head northUSDCAD is skyrocketing to a fresh two-month high of 1.3675 as it added almost 2% from the bounce off the 1.3420 trough, achieved on September 25. A double bottom formation has been completed following the break above the 1.3650 line.The momentum
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EURGBP is trading sideways, below the 0.8400 levelUpleg stopped at a downward sloping trendlineMomentum indicators could turn bullishIt has been a rather quiet session in EURGBP today as the market prepares for today’s Fed minutes release and tomorrow’s US inflation report. Euro bulls tried to extend the recent upleg, but their efforts stopped at the April 23, 2024 trendline with EURGBP now trading below the key 0.8400 area.
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY hovers near 38.2% Fibonacci level

USDJPY creates bullish correction from 14-month lowRSI and MACD stand above their mid-levelsUSDJPY is holding above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 161.94 to 136.56 at 148.10 but is failing to extend its rebound from the 14-month low of 139.56 above the previous peak of 149.35.Having a look at the technical oscillators, t
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Daily Comment – Dollar seeks direction amidst tepid market conditions

Fed speakers and minutes in the spotlight todayDollar’s rally pauses, but oil and gold suffer lossesRBNZ cuts rates by 50bps, kiwi weakensChina schedules another press conference as local stocks plungeFed members continue to support a November rate cutThe public discussion regarding the Fed’s next steps continues, as a plethora of Fed members are on the wires almost on a daily basis.
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