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Фондовые рынки

Technical Analysis – US 30 index on the slide for the second week

US 30 index creates a double top pattern near 40,000; slips below key support levels A step beneath 37,847 could motivate more selling US Q1 GDP figures revised down; core PCE inflation next on the agenda   The US 30 index (cash) has been suffering the most on Wall Street over the past two weeks. Having topped twice near the 40,000 psychological mark last Monday, the index lost around 4.4% to trade near 38,050 ahead of Friday’s core PCE inflation data.
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Meta shares in a steady recovery after Q1 earnings plunge Stock remains rangebound below 50-day SMA in past few sessions Momentum indicators fail to turn positive Meta’s (Facebook) stock has been attempting a rebound in the short term following a 15% drop in the aftermath of its Q1 earnings announcement on April 24. However, the recovery has been on hold in the past few sessions as the price is trading sideways a tad beneath its 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Euro suffers when ECB announces the first rate cut of the cycle

ECB prepares to cut rates for the first time ahead of the Fed History points to strong possibility of back-to-back rate cuts Both the euro and German DAX tend to underperform on meeting day The ECB is on the brink of announcing its first rate cut since March 2016 as the overall rhetoric from ECB officials leaves little doubt about next week’s rate decision, with even the most hawkish members of the Governing council acknowledging the need for rate cuts.
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US stock markets rally but volatility plunges – Stock Markets

Wall Street remains buoyant near record highs Solid Q1 earnings aid, focus shifts on inflation and Fed outlook Volatility remains historically low as bears get repeatedly burned Stock rally shows no signs of easing This year has been sensational for the US equity markets as macroeconomic data out of the US have been constantly reinforcing the soft-landing narrative.
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US 500 prints new record high thanks to Nvidia’s upbeat earnings Better-than-expected US PMIs weigh on the market Technical outlook positive above 5,280   The US 500 stock index has been moving from record high to record high over the past week, surging to a new high of 5,350 on Thursday following Nvidia’s upbeat Q1 earnings report.
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Nvidia set to propel Wall Street to new highs but Fed uncertainty weighs – Stock Markets

Nvidia earnings skyrocket on soaring demand for AI chips Boost could fuel next leg of Wall Street’s rally But Fed’s ‘higher for longer’ stance is a growing headwind The AI effect The Q1 earnings season is almost coming to an end and one of the last big names to report is Nvidia. The chip maker just announced a staggering 461% year-on-year jump in earnings per share for the first fiscal quarter of 2024. Revenue is up an equally impressive 262% as the company struggles to ke
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Technical Analysis – Can Nvidia unlock 1,000 level?

Nvidia’s stock flatlines as FOMC minutes, Q1 earnings eagerly awaited Stock fluctuates within short-term bullish channel; support at 910-920   Nvidia’ stock bounced off its 20-period simple moving average (SMA) in the four-hour chart on Monday with scope to start a new bullish phase, but the 950 zone came to cap the action ahead of the company’s Q1 earnings due later on Wednesday.
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Key notes ahead of Nvidia’s Q1 2025 earnings - Stock Markets

Nvidia’s Q1 2025 earnings to be announced on Wednesday after the market closes Analysts expect triple-digit earnings growth as Nvidia dominates AI industry Profitability metrics, forward guidance, and spending plans will be closely watched Nvidia might initiate another bull run if it renews AI optimism     AI buzzword fails to boost stocks this season More than 80% of businesses have already reported their earnings, presenting better-than-expected statements and a rosy guidance f
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Commodities' volatility jumps due to geopolitics – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility eases aggressively Volatility in gold and silver skyrockets US equities enjoy low volatility amidst weekly gains Euro/dollar volatility has dropped aggressively as the market is adjusting to a quieter data calendar that nevertheless includes a plethora of Fed speakers. Similarly, volatility in yen crosses remains moderate as market participants, especially in dollar/yen, appear unwilling to further provoke the BoJ and risk significant losses.
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 US 100 index holds above uptrend line and SMAs MACD and RSI move within positive areas Next obstacle at 261.8% Fibo extension The US 100 cash index reached another all-time high of 18,704.55 yesterday as the index extended its move after the rebound off the 16,980 support level. The price broke above the 18,470 level for the first time on May 15 and is trading above its moving averages.

Equities rally as US data softens – Stock Markets

US stock indices reach new highs as chances of a Fed rate cut jump Extra focus on US retailers’ earnings Utility stocks record the strongest monthly rally since 2022 Could US car manufacturers benefit from the new EV tariffs? Equity markets continue their advance boosted by the softer US data. In particular, Wednesday’s weaker US inflation report is keeping the door firmly open to a Fed rate cut during the summer, supporting the current risk appetite, despite the fact that
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Higher euro/dollar volatility ahead of US CPI report – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar enjoys strong volatility ahead of key data releases Gold and silver see higher volatility amidst muted price rally Volatility drops in US equities as risk appetite returns Euro/dollar volatility has jumped higher as the market is preparing for some key US data prints. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains moderate after the recent Japanese interventions, with market participants trying to avoid further provoking the BoJ at this stage.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index swings to all-time high

UK 100 hits record high after the BoE rate decision; up 8% year-to-date Next target at 8,500, but fears of an overbought market might delay rally The UK 100 stock index (cash) has been performing incredibly well over the past four months, staging another exponential rally this week to unlock an all-time high of 8,393 on Thursday. The index has surpassed a couple of targets, including the 2023 top of 8,045 that temporarily ceased bullish actions on April 12. The spotlight is now on t
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US 500 cash index attempts to erase latest pullback Jumps above crucial 123.6% Fibo and eyes record peak       Oscillators recover drastically and approach overbought levels The US 500 stock index (cash) has been staging an impressive rally after bottoming out in October 2023, generating consecutive all-time highs. Despite experiencing a strong pullback from its record high of 5,281, the index quickly found its feet and rotated back higher.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index might hit lower levels after Tuesday’s slump

US 500 index exposed to more downside after Tuesday’s pullback Short-term risk is negative. Will the bears crack the floor at 4,965-5,000?   The US 500 stock index (cash) traded flat at the start of the US open as investors waited for the FOMC policy announcement today at 18:00 GMT. Despite the current muted tone in the market, the short-term outlook does not look promising, especially after the price got hammered near the resistance line from April’s record high for the fourth ti
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What do Q1 earnings hold for Disney’s stock? – Stock Markets

Walt Disney reports earnings before Wall Street’s opening bell on May 7 Solid profit growth is expected despite a minor revenue jump Stock price experiences a pullback amid an overall strong 2024 performance Impressive start to the year After lagging against the broader market for the past three years, Disney’s stock has started the year on a firm note, outperforming major US indices.
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Technical Analysis – Is US 100 setting course for new record highs?

US 100 enters recovery mode, stays above uptrend line MACD and RSI suggest that momentum may turn positive A break above 18,350 will take the index into uncharted territory A break below 15,700 may turn the broader outlook bearish The US 100 cash index entered a recovery mode last week, after hitting support near the 16,980 zone.
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Apple stock has been in a steady downtrend in 2024 But rebounds from 1-year bottom ahead of earnings Momentum indicators remain neutral-to-negative   Apple’s stock has been very volatile in 2024, opening frequently with significant price gaps. In the short term, the stock fell to a fresh one-year low of 163.90 on April 19 before paring some losses ahead of the Q1 earnings report on Thursday.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 cash index is in the green ahead of the Fed

US 500 index is edging higher, a tad below the 50-day SMA Bulls are feeling more confident following strong tech earnings  Momentum indicators are mixed at this stage The US 500 cash index is trying to record its third consecutive green candle today as the bulls are probably feeling relieved following the recent strong tech earnings and the lack of a significant upside surprise in last week’s PCE report.
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Will Apple finally drop its AI hint? - Stock Markets

Apple expected to publish gloomy Q2 earnings on Thursday May 2 after the bell Investors widely expect AI updates, but Apple has more important events on the calendar   Apple stock on the back foot Apple’s stock has had minimal gains, only to fall again this year, and is now on track to end its fourth straight month in the negative region.
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Торговые идеи

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