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Apple breaks long-term range to mark record high within 200 territory Short-term steep rally could take a breather as overbought signals strengthen   On Tuesday, Apple unveiled its own AI tools, propelling its stock to uncharted territory. Weaker-than-expected US CPI inflation data added fresh impetus to the stock on Wednesday, extending the rally above the resistance line, which connects the 2021 and 2023 highs, and towards an all-time high of 220. The stock’s gains were trimme
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Can stocks keep defying gravity? – Stock Markets

US stock indices sail towards successive record highs Hawkish Fed doesn’t scare bulls as volatility remains inexistent Valuations are historically stretched but earnings keep growing   High after high All major US indices are having an astonishing year, recording consecutive all-time highs as the economy seems more and more likely to achieve a soft-landing.
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JP 225 index has been rangebound in the past month But has violated 50-day SMA and has advanced in latest sessions Momentum indicators are skewed to the upside The JP 225 index (cash) has been trading without clear direction since early May, fluctuating around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). In the near term, the price broke above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), with the short-term oscillators indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
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Technical Analysis – Tesla stock stuck below restrictive trendline

Tesla shares trade sideways in the past few sessions Momentum indicators suggest a cautiously negative tone Tesla is still among the worst performing stocks of the S&P 500 in 2024, even though it has gained more than 20% from its recent low. In the short term, the price has been trading within a range, but the momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces are strengthening.
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Could stronger US data force a Fed rate cut?

Markets crave weaker US data to support their rate cut expectations Strong data this week could cause an acute market reaction The Fed might find it easier to act if financial stability is under threat The key question in the market participants’ minds is when the Fed is going to start easing its monetary policy stance. The year started with the market pricing in at least five rate cuts by the Fed in 2024, but with inflation remaining above 3% since July 2023, expectations have t
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US 100 index edges higher, not far from its all-time high Volatility drops ahead of some key US data Momentum indicators could be turning bearish The US 100 cash index is in the green again today, trading a tad below its recent all-time high of 18,494 and recouping a good part of last week’s losses. Monday’s weak US data prints have boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut ahead of the November elections, with the US stock indices now focusing on Friday’s labour market data.
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Is the equity market headed for a summer rally? – Stock Markets

S&P 500 finishes May 4.8% higher in an overall solid year Rally could resume as rate cuts are just around the corner Valuations remain stretched but earnings beat estimates   Stocks defy seasonality and strive for summer rally The S&P 500 index clocked its best May performance since 2020 in an overall strong year for equity markets.
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index on the slide for the second week

US 30 index creates a double top pattern near 40,000; slips below key support levels A step beneath 37,847 could motivate more selling US Q1 GDP figures revised down; core PCE inflation next on the agenda   The US 30 index (cash) has been suffering the most on Wall Street over the past two weeks. Having topped twice near the 40,000 psychological mark last Monday, the index lost around 4.4% to trade near 38,050 ahead of Friday’s core PCE inflation data.
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Meta shares in a steady recovery after Q1 earnings plunge Stock remains rangebound below 50-day SMA in past few sessions Momentum indicators fail to turn positive Meta’s (Facebook) stock has been attempting a rebound in the short term following a 15% drop in the aftermath of its Q1 earnings announcement on April 24. However, the recovery has been on hold in the past few sessions as the price is trading sideways a tad beneath its 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Euro suffers when ECB announces the first rate cut of the cycle

ECB prepares to cut rates for the first time ahead of the Fed History points to strong possibility of back-to-back rate cuts Both the euro and German DAX tend to underperform on meeting day The ECB is on the brink of announcing its first rate cut since March 2016 as the overall rhetoric from ECB officials leaves little doubt about next week’s rate decision, with even the most hawkish members of the Governing council acknowledging the need for rate cuts.
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US stock markets rally but volatility plunges – Stock Markets

Wall Street remains buoyant near record highs Solid Q1 earnings aid, focus shifts on inflation and Fed outlook Volatility remains historically low as bears get repeatedly burned Stock rally shows no signs of easing This year has been sensational for the US equity markets as macroeconomic data out of the US have been constantly reinforcing the soft-landing narrative.
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US 500 prints new record high thanks to Nvidia’s upbeat earnings Better-than-expected US PMIs weigh on the market Technical outlook positive above 5,280   The US 500 stock index has been moving from record high to record high over the past week, surging to a new high of 5,350 on Thursday following Nvidia’s upbeat Q1 earnings report.
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Nvidia set to propel Wall Street to new highs but Fed uncertainty weighs – Stock Markets

Nvidia earnings skyrocket on soaring demand for AI chips Boost could fuel next leg of Wall Street’s rally But Fed’s ‘higher for longer’ stance is a growing headwind The AI effect The Q1 earnings season is almost coming to an end and one of the last big names to report is Nvidia. The chip maker just announced a staggering 461% year-on-year jump in earnings per share for the first fiscal quarter of 2024. Revenue is up an equally impressive 262% as the company struggles to ke
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Technical Analysis – Can Nvidia unlock 1,000 level?

Nvidia’s stock flatlines as FOMC minutes, Q1 earnings eagerly awaited Stock fluctuates within short-term bullish channel; support at 910-920   Nvidia’ stock bounced off its 20-period simple moving average (SMA) in the four-hour chart on Monday with scope to start a new bullish phase, but the 950 zone came to cap the action ahead of the company’s Q1 earnings due later on Wednesday.
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Key notes ahead of Nvidia’s Q1 2025 earnings - Stock Markets

Nvidia’s Q1 2025 earnings to be announced on Wednesday after the market closes Analysts expect triple-digit earnings growth as Nvidia dominates AI industry Profitability metrics, forward guidance, and spending plans will be closely watched Nvidia might initiate another bull run if it renews AI optimism     AI buzzword fails to boost stocks this season More than 80% of businesses have already reported their earnings, presenting better-than-expected statements and a rosy guidance f
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Commodities' volatility jumps due to geopolitics – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility eases aggressively Volatility in gold and silver skyrockets US equities enjoy low volatility amidst weekly gains Euro/dollar volatility has dropped aggressively as the market is adjusting to a quieter data calendar that nevertheless includes a plethora of Fed speakers. Similarly, volatility in yen crosses remains moderate as market participants, especially in dollar/yen, appear unwilling to further provoke the BoJ and risk significant losses.
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 US 100 index holds above uptrend line and SMAs MACD and RSI move within positive areas Next obstacle at 261.8% Fibo extension The US 100 cash index reached another all-time high of 18,704.55 yesterday as the index extended its move after the rebound off the 16,980 support level. The price broke above the 18,470 level for the first time on May 15 and is trading above its moving averages.

Equities rally as US data softens – Stock Markets

US stock indices reach new highs as chances of a Fed rate cut jump Extra focus on US retailers’ earnings Utility stocks record the strongest monthly rally since 2022 Could US car manufacturers benefit from the new EV tariffs? Equity markets continue their advance boosted by the softer US data. In particular, Wednesday’s weaker US inflation report is keeping the door firmly open to a Fed rate cut during the summer, supporting the current risk appetite, despite the fact that
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Higher euro/dollar volatility ahead of US CPI report – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar enjoys strong volatility ahead of key data releases Gold and silver see higher volatility amidst muted price rally Volatility drops in US equities as risk appetite returns Euro/dollar volatility has jumped higher as the market is preparing for some key US data prints. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains moderate after the recent Japanese interventions, with market participants trying to avoid further provoking the BoJ at this stage.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index swings to all-time high

UK 100 hits record high after the BoE rate decision; up 8% year-to-date Next target at 8,500, but fears of an overbought market might delay rally The UK 100 stock index (cash) has been performing incredibly well over the past four months, staging another exponential rally this week to unlock an all-time high of 8,393 on Thursday. The index has surpassed a couple of targets, including the 2023 top of 8,045 that temporarily ceased bullish actions on April 12. The spotlight is now on t
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