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Reuters - 13 uur geleden

FX options wrap - Expiries gain significance before key U.S. CPI

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Expiries gain significance before key U.S. CPI Price action in FX and FX options is limited whilst markets wait for next Wednesday's U.S. CPI data for direction, increasing the significance of some very large impending expiries and their related cash hedging flows . EUR/USD 1.0750 remains a big expiry level over the next week and there are some huge AUD/USD strikes around 0.6600 and GBP/USD 1.2500 due to expire before Wednesday's data.
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Reuters - 17 uur geleden

Dollar fundamental and technical factors are bullish

BUZZ-COMMENT-Dollar fundamental and technical factors are bullish May 10 (Reuters) - A combination and fundamental and technical factors points to much bigger dollar gains in the days and weeks ahead. The dollar steadied on Friday after losing ground overnight to the euro and sterling on the back of U.S. data showing further signs of a cooling labour market and hence higher odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
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Reuters - 18 uur geleden

EUR/USD may not reach parity but on course to drop

BUZZ-COMMENT-EUR/USD may not reach parity but on course to drop May 10 (Reuters) - EUR/USD may not fall as far as parity - which is a long way from current levels - but interest rate differentials are set to exert downward force at a time when carry trades are growing in popularity. It would take a big change in fundamentals to drive EUR/USD out of the 1.05-1.10 area that has seen the bulk of trading since the start of last year.
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Reuters - 19 uur geleden

Options alert to U.S. CPI and risk of big FX moves

BUZZ-COMMENT-Options alert to U.S. CPI and risk of big FX moves May 10 (Reuters) - Recent price action in the forward looking FX options market has been focused around the May 15 U.S. CPI data and shows that traders are on alert for increased FX volatility and potential directional moves in its wake. FX volatility is a key, yet unknown parameter of an option premium so dealers use implied volatility as a stand in.
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Reuters - 19 uur geleden

Take Five: Go your own way

GRAPHIC-Take Five: Go your own way May 10 (Reuters) - Global central banks are starting to break away from the pack as rate cuts roll out across Europe while borrowing costs in the U.S. may stay higher for longer, which is lifting the dollar. A key test of U.S. inflation is at the heart of the data calendar and could be the deciding factor in the near-term direction for markets.
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Reuters - 20 uur geleden

Stand out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead May 10 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are large ones worth noting for today and for the week ahead. EUR/USD strikes at 1.0750 feature all week with the largest expiring on Monday in 3.4-billion euros, beside another 1.4-billion euros at 1.0755. Tuesday has 1.4-billion euros at 1.0750, 1-billion at 1.0800 an
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Reuters - 21 uur geleden

mBank's Q1 profit jumps 84% on interest income, lower taxes and NPL provisions

mBank's Q1 profit jumps 84% on interest income, lower taxes and NPL provisions GDANSK, May 10 (Reuters) - Poland's fifth largest bank by assets mBank MBK.WA posted an 84% rise in first-quarter net profit on Friday, mainly on rising interest income, lower taxes, and declining provisions for non-performing loans (NPL). Net profit for the period amounted to 242.5 million zlotys ($60.95 million), while net interest income (NII) rose 15 % year-on-year to 2.34 billion.
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Reuters - 2 dagen geleden

FX options wrap - Euro shackles, JPY flows, value, CPI risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Euro shackles, JPY flows, value, CPI risk FX option implied volatility has given back the bulk of the gains seen during early April when risk aversion and USD demand were the main drivers. When compared with historic/realised volatility - benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility appears to offer value, but historics will fall when April's realised data drops out.
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Reuters - 2 dagen geleden

Interest rates start to fall in Europe as the Fed lags

GRAPHIC-Interest rates start to fall in Europe as the Fed lags By Harry Robertson and Naomi Rovnick LONDON, May 9 (Reuters) - Global central banks that moved together to battle inflation are starting to scatter, with European rate setters turning dovish while the U.S. Federal Reserve stays cautious about cutting too soon. Following the most aggressive global monetary tightening cycle in decades, here's where leading central banks stand and what they are expected to do next.
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Reuters - 2 dagen geleden

Strong dollar may encourage Swiss cenbank to sell

BUZZ-COMMENT-Strong dollar may encourage Swiss cenbank to sell May 9 (Reuters) - The strong dollar may encourage the Swiss Natoinal Bank (SNB) to restart the reserve operations that saw it slash its massive holdings of foreign currencies last year. Thirty nine percent of Switzerland's 720 billion francs of FX reserves are held in dollars, and the bulk of all reserves are held in bonds.
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Reuters - 2 dagen geleden

One currency pair stands out for value in FX options

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-One currency pair stands out for value in FX options Repeats with no changes May 8 (Reuters) - The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is a key yet unknown component of their premium, while historic volatility is past realised volatility and can provide a fair value measure for implied volatility. There's one particular currency pair where this volatility comparison suggests decent value.
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Reuters - 2 dagen geleden

Mexican rate decision may be Thursday's key event

BUZZ-COMMENT-Mexican rate decision may be Thursday's key event May 9 (Reuters) - Mexico's interest rate decision due at 19 GMT on Thursday may prove the most important event on the calendar. Gambling in favour of Mexico's peso is representative of the speculation that has fuelled surges for most stocks, crypto-currencies and gold this year. As such the rise of the peso gives an important insight into the mindset of traders who are currently driving risky assets higher.
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Reuters - 2 dagen geleden

As dollar remains buoyant, BofA recommends companies hedge

LIVE MARKETS-As dollar remains buoyant, BofA recommends companies hedge DJI edges green, Nasdaq, S&P 500 slip Euro STOXX 600 index up ~0.3% Dollar, gold, crude up; bitcoin falls U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield rises to ~4.48% Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com AS DOLLAR REMAINS BUOYANT, BOFA RECOMMENDS COMPANIES HEDGE Companies that are exposed to currency fluctuations w
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Reuters - 3 dagen geleden

FX options wrap - US CPI warning, BoE risk, Value, EUR 1.0750

BUZZ-FX options wrap - US CPI warning, BoE risk, Value, EUR 1.0750 FX option implied volatility is mean reverting toward lower levels as risk appetite recovers and FX realised volatility calms down. This may continue before U.S. CPI, where gains in 1-week implied volatility now show a market on alert for that data. Overnight expiry GBP related implied volatility is below levels seen ahead of last week's U.S.
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Reuters - 3 dagen geleden

Low volatility and robust risk appetite key for FX

BUZZ-COMMENT-Low volatility and robust risk appetite key for FX May 8 (Reuters) - Most currencies have been quiet while stocks and a number of commodities have soared, and this is key as it is the basis for carry trades which currently favour the dollar, and is particularly bad for the yen . As the highest yielding major currency, an environment conducive to carry trades favours the dollar which is also the most liquid currency.
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Reuters - 3 dagen geleden

One currency pair stands out for value in FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-One currency pair stands out for value in FX options May 8 (Reuters) - The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is a key yet unknown component of their premium, while historic volatility is past realised volatility and can provide a fair value measure for implied volatility. There's one particular currency pair where this volatility comparison suggests decent value.
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Reuters - 4 dagen geleden

FX traders have clear cause for concern

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX traders have clear cause for concern May 7 (Reuters) - FX traders have clear cause for concern with the dollar they hope will rise, falling far more easily than it had previously risen. During the period that traders bought over $46 billion, the USD index rose from around 102.50 to just above 106, but it has dropped toward 105 with less than $4 billion sold.
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Reuters - 4 dagen geleden

Geberit shares up after Q1 results and buyback announcement

UPDATE 4-Geberit shares up after Q1 results and buyback announcement Updates and recasts with positive share reaction By Louis van Boxel-Woolf and Mateusz Dobrzyniewski May 7 (Reuters) - Shares in Swiss plumbing supplier Geberit GEBN.S opened 4.3% up on Tuesday after it posted first-quarter results above expectations and announced a new share buyback programme worth 300 million francs.
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Reuters - 1 week geleden

Dollar speculative longs could well be wrong-footed

BUZZ-COMMENT-Dollar speculative longs could well be wrong-footed May 3 (Reuters) - U.S. dollar's setback this week could well have wrong-footed speculative longs and put them at risk of more pain. For the week ended April 23, the speculative long soared to its biggest position since May 2019 . A larger speculative long position means there is likely to be an increase in offers and vulnerable sell stops in the market.
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Reuters - 1 week geleden

Swiss CPI unlikely to move the needle for the SNB

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swiss CPI unlikely to move the needle for the SNB May 2 (Reuters) - Much hotter than expected Swiss inflation figures have fuelled a modest rally in the franc. However, the data is unlikely to alter the Swiss National Bank’s policy outlook, whereby a June rate cut remains the base case. As it stands, markets see a 60% chance of a June cut.
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