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FX options wrap - Israel-Iran drives risk sentiment/volatility

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Israel-Iran drives risk sentiment/volatility A busy week for FX option markets and a roller coaster ride for implied volatility amid swings in risk sentiment concerning Iran-Israel frictions. Implied volatility and its USD call premiums surged higher between Friday and Tuesday as Iran followed through with its threat to attack Israel.
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Are FX fear gauges downplaying Middle East conflict risk?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are FX fear gauges downplaying Middle East conflict risk? April 19 (Reuters) - FX implied volatility gauges FX realised volatility expectations when determining an FX option premium, but is pricing being too dismissive of a wider conflict in the Middle East? Implied volatility had been languishing at multi-year lows until late March when interest rate policy appeared more likely to diverge.
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China's yuan hits 5-month low on renewed Middle East tensions

China's yuan hits 5-month low on renewed Middle East tensions SHANGHAI, April 19 (Reuters) - China's yuan weakened to a five-month low against the dollar on Friday, pressured by reports of an Israeli attack on Iran that sparked rising safe haven bets. The latest developments prompted concerns over a widening of the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza to include other countries in the Middle East, supporting traditional safe haven assets including the U.S.
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FX options wrap - Premiums drop for now as calm returns

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Premiums drop for now as calm returns The USD is off its peak as policy divergence is questioned and Middle East tensions subside for now, but it's consolidating rather than retreating . The recovering risk appetite and lack of actual spot volatility are assurance enough for option sellers , with front end expiry USD/JPY implied volatility leading a broad based and rapid retreat since the panic demand seen earlier this week .
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U.S. dollar strength dims as key drivers weaken

BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. dollar strength dims as key drivers weaken April 18 (Reuters) - U.S. dollar strength is waning due to weakening drivers of risk aversion and policy divergence. While concerns about inflation have delayed and reduced expected U.S. rate cuts, last week's U.S. CPI data has prompted a reassessment. Reassessments are also occurring in other major economies including the European Union and Britain, where officials are cautious about premature policy loosening.
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