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Market Comment

XM Research - 18 hours ago

US Open Note – Stocks fail to recover, dollar remains resilient

Elevated yields favour dollar, Canadian inflation in spotlight The primary market focus remains centred around the Fed and how it will tackle inflation, with market participants juggling the premise of how many rate hikes will unfold this year.
XM Research - 21 hours ago

Daily Market Comment – Equities under fire, dollar shines as yields soar

Stocks remain under pressure as traders position for Fed hikes Dollar outperforms, yen benefits from risk aversion, euro hammered Oil prices keep going, Canadian inflation stats in the spotlight All about the Fed Bets that the Fed will take a sledgehammer to crush inflationary pressures continue to escalate.
XM Research - 2 days ago

US Open Note – Stocks retreat and dollar nudges higher as yields spike

Dollar and safe havens shine; loonie amongst the few winners The US dollar is storming higher today, heavily supported by surging Treasury yields, as markets seem to be pricing in four rate hikes by the Fed in 2022.
XM Research - 2 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Stocks roll over, dollar steady, oil storms higher

Markets fully price in four Fed rate hikes for this year, lifting yields Stocks under pressure, dollar recovers, gold surprisingly resilient Oil hits new highs, yen retreats after BoJ does nothing Fed worries hit stocks It has been a stormy couple of weeks for financial markets, with almost every asset class getting rocked by expectations that the Fed will need to normalize monetary policy more aggressively to cool inflation.
XM Research - 3 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Fed bets boost dollar, China cuts rates

Dollar stabilizes as markets price in faster Fed rate hikes In contrast, China cuts interest rates to power up growth US markets will stay closed today, focus turns to BoJ meeting Dollar unscathed by retail sales miss Markets are growing increasingly confident that the Fed will raise interest rates four times this year to bring inflation under control.
XM Research - 6 days ago

US Open Note – Ugly retail sales data question Fed tightening; dollar plummets to fresh lows

Stocks to close the week in the red; banking earnings beat estimates Fed policymakers keep throwing cold water on stock markets, highlighting that a faster pace of higher interest rates will be required to cool inflation from March onwards, as persisting pandemic-led supply bottlenecks might create additional price pressures in the coming months.
XM Research - 6 days ago

Weekly Outlook - BoJ meeting and US companies earnings take center stage

During the week that just ended, Fed officials made clear statements on the timing of the impending rate hike cycle, igniting downside pressures on stock markets.
XM Research - 6 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Stocks falter again as hawkish Fed frightens markets, dollar rout deepens

Wall Street headed for weekly losses as Fed and inflation worries weigh Fed officials set sights on March for liftoff, hawkish soundbites unnerve investors But dollar still sliding as terminal rate not seen going up much Fed rate hike talk takes toll on the markets Equity markets were back in the red on Friday after Wall Street’s rebound faltered on Thursday amid increasingly hawkish language from the Fed, a troubling inflation outlook and no let-up in the spread of Omicron.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Dollar speeds down a slippery slope; stocks steady

Dollar extends inflation decline; initial jobless claims tick higher The latest CPI inflation report out of the United States was not a big surprise on Wednesday.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – Dollar skids despite US inflation jump, euro cracks above range

US dollar is pummelled as strong CPI fails to galvanize the bulls More Fed officials flag March rate hike but yields go nowhere Wall Street extends rebound but earnings may hold the key to more gains US inflation hits 7%, markets take it in their stride It was another disconcerting inflation report out of the United States on Wednesday as headline CPI edged up to 7.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Inflation hits its fastest pace in four decades

Powell calms the markets Fears that the US economic expansion could be jeopardized by tighter monetary policy have been alleviated for now, as the Fed Chair Jerome Powell reassured investors that the central bank would bring down inflation without derailing the US economic recovery.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – Powell hawkish, but not hawkish enough to scare Wall Street

Powell signals rate hikes and balance sheet runoff but yields hold steady Nasdaq extends recovery, global stocks also rally Dollar steadier after tumble as focus shifts to US CPI data Powell gets serious about taming inflation The Fed took another significant step towards policy normalization this week, as Jerome Powell repeated the message of his colleagues, flagging higher interest rates and a smaller balance sheet in his confirmation hearing on Capitol Hill for a second term as Fed Chair.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Stocks set for opening gains; Powell’s testimony in focus

Powell testimony in focus; Bundesbank’s new chief warns on inflation Markets are anticipating Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s renomination hearing in Congress later today, waiting to find out his current views on inflation ahead of the CPI data release on Wednesday.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – Sentiment up after Wall Street stages late comeback

Nasdaq out of correction territory following late-session rally Asia mixed amid China lockdowns, but European stocks and US futures up Powell testimony eyed as March rate hike speculation intensifies Dip buyers return to save the day Equities were on a steadier footing on Tuesday as the selloff on Wall Street appeared to be cooling off following a miserable start to the New Year for the tech behemoths.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Stocks under pressure on faster stimulus withdrawal signals

Global bond yields hit fresh highs; stocks retreat The Fed’s new message, which sparked fears that inflation could be tough to contain, and hence could require faster-than-expected rate hikes during the year, continued to weigh on market sentiment on Monday, elevating global bond yields to fresh highs.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – US jobs report fuels bets for faster Fed hikes

Traders bet on faster Fed rate increases after solid jobs report Yields spike higher but the dollar cannot capitalize - euro flows? Stock markets take another hit as valuation rotation continues  Hot labor market  The US jobs market is approaching full employment conditions with impressive speed.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Weekly Comment – US inflation and Fed’s Chair testimony in the spotlight

Stocks staged a mid-week selloff in the aftermath of the FOMC minutes release, which revealed policymakers' discussions for faster rate hikes and policy normalization in terms of balance sheet reduction.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

US Open Note - Dollar holds firm after mixed NFP report

Dollar unsurprised by NFP miss Despite the dollar’s initial pullback after the NFP report came short of expectations, delivering 199k job additions versus the 400k projection, the dollar quickly pared its losses as the US unemployment figure fell to 3.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Daily Market Comment – US dollar braces for nonfarm payrolls test

US employment report today could be crucial for markets FX and stocks quiet, but spike in yields hurts gold Oil powers higher as supply disruptions get priced in Conflicting signs for US jobs The main event today will be the US employment report for December, which could be huge for the dollar and equities as rate traders are currently pricing in an 80% chance for the Fed to begin its hiking cycle in March.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

US Open Note – Dollar eases ahead of FOMC minutes

Investors are expecting the release of the FOMC minutes and, more crucially, the release of non-farm payrolls in the US later this week.

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