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Market Comment

XM Research - 10 hours ago

US Open Note – Upbeat data drive risk-on mode ahead of Powell's speech; Euro gears up on rate hike outlook

Pound is the best performer, but for how long? Markets were volatile ahead of the US open, with the European currencies switching to recovery mode after a period of heavy selling, and the US dollar index losing some steam as some rosy data releases shifted funds to riskier assets and hopes for China easing lockdown measures flourished.
XM Research - 15 hours ago

Daily Market Comment – Stocks turn more cheery, dollar looks to Powell, US data for direction

Hong Kong shares rally, lift Asia and Europe, as China gloom fades But Wall Street and dollar set sights on US retail sales and Powell’s inflation speech Pound gets surprise jobs boost, shrugs off Bailey’s apocalyptic warnings Easing crackdown worries lift China tech shares Stocks in Asia were bolstered on Tuesday on signs that Chinese policymakers are having a rethink about how they regulate the digital economy as a government advisory body held consultations with local tech executives.
XM Research - 1 day ago

US Open Note – Dollar cools off, euro turns up and gold back to $1,800

Chinese data drives dollar higher In the wake of disappointing Chinese economic statistics, which sent the British pound and the Australian dollar down, the US dollar held onto its two-decade high earlier in the day.
XM Research - 2 days ago

Daily Market Comment – China worries hit sentiment, equities wobble, dollar firms

Markets get off to a shaky start after poor Chinese data as stocks slip But lockdown easing in Shanghai provides some relief Dollar mostly higher, euro edges up as hawkish noises from ECB continue Recession fears heightened after slump in China activity Fresh jitters about recessionary risks dented sentiment on Monday, weighing on stocks, oil and risky currencies, following some disappointing data out of China that greeted investors at the start of the week’s trading.
XM Research - 4 days ago

US Open Note – Fed Chair Powell alleviates doom and gloom in stock futures

Dollar steady while Treasury yields rise, risk appetite cautiously improves The Chief of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has managed to calm market concerns around rate hikes, reiterating that the Fed is prepared to act accordingly, depending on whether the economy performs as expected.
XM Research - 5 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Panic eases, dollar cools, but sentiment remains fragile

The week-long selloff gripping risky assets pauses, for now Yields also steady, dollar comes off highs after Powell provides some reassurances Cryptos bounce back as stablecoins reeling after crash A calmer end to a torrid week Markets were looking a lot steadier on Friday as the global rout in equities began to subside and demand for safe havens waned slightly.
XM Research - 5 days ago

US Open Note – Dollar unlocks 20-year high; euro breaks $1.04

Dollar surges but dips against yen The dollar touched a two-decade high against a basket of currencies after US inflation fell less than expected in April.
XM Research - 6 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Dollar whipsaws after not-so-soft inflation data, stocks sink again

Dollar on the front foot again after US inflation falls by less than expected Equity markets back in a sea of red as recession risks rise Pound slips to new lows after UK GDP contracts, hawkish ECB can’t save the euro Dollar bolstered as inflation becoming more sticky The US dollar climbed to fresh 20-year highs on Thursday as investors ramped up their bets that the Federal Reserve will have to get even more aggressive to bring down burgeoning inflation in the United States.
XM Research - 6 days ago

US Open Note - US CPI beats expectations and rises by 8.3%; dollar moves up again

The CPI rate ticked up by 8.3% in the year that ended in April. The annual CPI decrease was the first since August, but it was the eighth month in a row of gains of more than 6%.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – Mood brightens slightly ahead of US CPI as investors eye peak

Dollar stays subdued as US CPI data awaited for clues on peak inflation Euro edges up as ECB preps for summer rate hike Equities attempt a rebound, falling infections in China lend some support Dollar slips before US inflation reveal Markets were in a cautiously optimistic mood ahead of the April inflation report out of the United States later on Wednesday, as investors geared up for a possible soft print this time after months of acceleration in the headline figure.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Dollar steadies as it awaits US CPI data

Fed speakers today and US CPI tomorrow in focus This week, Fed speakers will be out in full force to disseminate the latest views of the central bank.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – Stocks steadier after Wall Street selloff, dollar eases

S&P 500 plunges below 4,000, Nasdaq crashes 4%, but futures turn positive today Dollar edges down as yields cool off slightly ahead of Fed speakers, US CPI Oil remains under pressure as EU waters downs Russian oil embargo Stock market rout deepens Equity markets have steadied on Tuesday as investors licked their wounds following the heavy losses at the start of the week that extended the post-Fed meeting selloff.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Stocks remain heavy, failing to form foothold after Fed vibe

Rising US yields feed dollar resilience as FOMC meeting in rear-view mirror In the previous week, we had the US central bank chief, Jerome Powell reiterate that the Federal Reserve will in June begin to reduce the close to $9 trillion hoard of assets gathered throughout the pandemic period, in an attempt to help bring inflation to the desired levels.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – King dollar reigns supreme as stocks keep sliding

No stopping the mighty dollar, rising US yields provide fuel Stocks struggle for altitude amid Fed and China worries All eyes on US CPI data this week - peak inflation at last?  Dollar power There’s no stopping the mighty US dollar, which continues to slice its way through the currency complex.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

US Open Note - US futures extend retreat, dollar cools off

Dollar takes a step back but retains bullish outlook The US dollar was surging early in the day as markets opened from where they left off yesterday, with the increasing risk-off sentiment being the dominant market force, propelling the dollar index to a fresh 19-year high.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Daily Market Comment – Stock markets get smoked ahead of US payrolls

Epic turnaround for stock markets, Nasdaq loses 5% as Fed dust settles Funds blowing up, deleveraging, or traders saying Powell must do more?  Sterling sinks after BoE, US employment report the main event today  Equity market mayhem What an epic turnaround for Wall Street.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

US Open Note – Pound crashes on dovish rate hike; Wall Street eyes bearish open

Pound crashes after BoE policy decision The Bank of England stuck to its March guidance, confirming expectations of a 25bps rate hike to 1.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Daily Market Comment – Fed downplays aggressive hikes, BoE decision next

Fed raises rates but overall message not as hawkish as markets expected Dollar takes a step back, stock markets and gold come back swinging  Bank of England meeting today might play out in a similar manner Don’t fear the Fed As widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by half a percentage point and announced that the balance sheet reduction process will commence in June.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

US Open Note – Stock futures flicker green and dollar flat ahead of Fed meeting

Fed tone eyed to rekindle volatility, as US ISM Services PMI draw prior focus US stock futures have stopped the bleeding, looking composed, as market jitters keep volatility subdued ahead of today’s Federal Reserve decision.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Daily Market Comment – Can the Federal Reserve exceed market expectations?

Fed set to raise interest rates by a half point and shrink balance sheet Market reaction will depend mostly on Powell’s tone - sell the news?   FX market quiet, stocks lick their wounds, oil smiles at new sanctions Fed will struggle to exceed market pricing The Federal Reserve is almost certain to raise interest rates by half a percentage point today and outline plans for shrinking its gigantic balance sheet in an attempt to rein in inflationary forces.

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