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Market Comment

XM Research - 7 hours ago

US Open Note – Inflation risks and the rate conundrum, dollar hangs in there

Risk evaporates but US Industrial production disappoints Market sentiment softened and the dollar remained subdued on the first trading day of week.
XM Research - 12 hours ago

Daily Market Comment – Inflation and growth worries take heat off stocks rebound, dollar firms

China GDP misses estimates, New Zealand CPI surges, reviving stagflation fears Stocks back in the red as doubts resurface but hopes on earnings keep optimism alive Bond yields edge up again as oil keeps climbing Kiwi erases earlier gains from rate hike bets as dollar bulls regain control China growth disappoints, dents risk appetite Economic growth in the world’s second largest economy slowed more than expected in the third quarter as China reported that GDP rose by 4.
XM Research - 3 days ago

US Open Note – Yen still plunges; oil heads towards $82.00

Dollar index on mute today; US retail sales surprised The dollar index is hovering around 94.00 today, following two red days; however, dollar/yen is heading sharply higher towards a fresh three-year high around 114.
XM Research - 3 days ago

Weekly Comment – Risk appetite returns but China GDP could revive slowdown fears

Stocks staged a mid-week comeback after fears about surging inflation and worsening supply shortages had pummelled risk assets.
XM Research - 4 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street roars back, yen blasted as optimism returns

Riskier plays come back swinging as supply worries take a back seat  Stocks and commodity currencies power higher, yen gets hammered  Dollar heads for weekly losses ahead of US retail sales Riskier assets storm back Investors forgot about the mayhem in supply chains and energy markets on Thursday and instead increased their exposure to riskier plays, as a combination of encouraging US economic data and corporate earnings from the big banks cheered up the mood.
XM Research - 4 days ago

US Open Note – Stocks buoyant, dollar flashes green and commodities resilient

Market sentiment intact after cheery jobless claims and miss in US PPI Sentiment remains upbeat as US stock futures are extending their recent buoyancy after a drop in longer-term yields.
XM Research - 5 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Stocks and gold recover as Fed path gets recalibrated

Expectations of earlier but shallower Fed rate path revive optimism Dollar retreats, stocks and gold recover as long-dated yields drop China’s factory prices soar, central bank speakers in focus  Fed repricing  Investors are having second thoughts about the structure of the Fed’s rate hike cycle.
XM Research - 5 days ago

US Open Note – Dollar remains stable after CPI and before FOMC Minutes

US CPI data jumps to 13-year high; dollar still firm The main event today was the release of the US CPI data ahead of the FOMC minutes later in the session.
XM Research - 6 days ago

Daily Market Comment – Dollar turns to inflation data for more fuel

King dollar reigns supreme ahead of US inflation and Fed minutes  Stock markets wrestle with spike in short-term yields  Earnings season kicks off, gold fights back, oil takes a breather  Dollar capitalizes on Fed bets The main event today will be the release of CPI inflation numbers from America, a few hours before the minutes of the latest Fed meeting.
XM Research - 6 days ago

US Open Note – Sentiment hushed as durable dollar climbs with yields

Markets look for clues in JOLTS data and FOMC speeches The current market picture is one of stubborn inflation, rising yields, and expectations of a nearing Fed announcement of the taper timeline, specifically in the November FOMC meeting.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – Yen smashed by rising yields

Japanese yen gets hit by soaring bond yields and energy prices Stock markets continue to grapple with a myriad of risks Sterling weighs BoE rate hikes, euro/dollar remains heavy Nightmare environment for yen A powerful recovery in bond yields across the world is inflicting some serious damage on the Japanese yen.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Yen is in vertical fall; oil surpasses $82

Yen plunges driving dollar/yen sharply higher As a new week begins, the yen continues to plunge, pushed lower by a comeback in Asian stocks despite a rise in Japanese yields.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Daily Market Comment – Fed taper bets alive and well after NFP miss

Treasury yields keep climbing after big miss in US payrolls, pressuring stocks Dollar mixed but steady, may get more direction from Fed and CPI data Pound edges up as BoE flags rate hike again but EU row casts shadow Is it still all systems go for Fed taper? The much anticipated jobs report on Friday raised a lot of question marks about how strong the momentum really is in the US labour market as nonfarm payrolls increased by just 194k in September, far fewer than the 500k anticipated.
XM Research - 1 week ago

US Open Note – Nonfarm payrolls throw cold water on dollar

Nonfarm payrolls miss forecasts Investors were eagerly waiting for a solid 500k growth in US nonfarm payrolls in September, but the actual results caught everyone by surprise when the data showed a significantly lower addition of 194k.
XM Research - 1 week ago

Weekly comment – USD reigns supreme amid energy worries

Energy concerns took a breather after Russia offered to release more natural gas to Europe, but there wasn’t much relief in the FX market.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Daily Market Comment – Markets perk up ahead of NFP but dollar holds ground

Equities advance as inflation and energy fears ease further and US debt default averted But dollar edges up too as US yields climb to fresh highs Focus on US jobs report; will likely clear the path for Fed tapering Risk-on returns as energy panic subsides Another rebound on Wall Street on Thursday set the tone for global equities on Friday as risk appetite recovered further after a tumultuous few days.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

US Open Note – Stocks turn green on temporary risk on; antipodeans outperform

Risk-on trading returns Risk-on sentiment continued to navigate markets during late European trading hours on Thursday as worries about the energy crisis took the back seat for the time being and the risk of a government default in the US was expected to be ease today after Democrats showed willingness to raise the debt ceiling to December on the Senate floor.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Daily Market Comment – Stocks rebound as gloom eases, oil and dollar pull back

Sentiment improves after energy prices ease; US debt deal and Biden-Xi meeting help too Strong turnaround on Wall Street pulls global stocks higher but inflation threat not gone Aussie and kiwi lead rebound in FX but energy crisis fears still weigh on euro and pound Fears of an energy crunch subside, for now Markets were in a much more cheerful mood on Thursday as some of the gloom around a deepening global energy crisis, soaring inflation and never-ending supply disruptions was lifted.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

US Open Note – Stocks slip again, and greenback remains buoyant

Risk appetite absent as dollar resilient after ADP jobs data Risk sentiment remains somewhat suppressed today, while rising US yields and growing inflationary pressures have kept the advance in the reserve currency buoyant.
XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Daily Market Comment – Stagflation fears hit sentiment as RBNZ hikes rates and oil jumps again

Stocks struggle amid the growing threat of global stagflation RBNZ raises rates but kiwi falls as US dollar extends gains WTI futures hit 7-year high, fuelling inflation worries as oil rally continues Sentiment sours again as stagflation fears persist Global equities were back in the red on Wednesday as concerns about sluggish growth and higher inflation returned to haunt investors.

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