XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – Gold hovers around 200-day SMA, diverging signals arise



Gold had been trading within a descending channel for the most part of 2022 but managed to stage a moderate rebound since early November. Even though bullion has recovered significant ground, its recovery seems to be on hold as the price failed to profoundly surpass the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

The fact that gold is stuck between opposing directional forces is also reinforced by the momentum indicators. Specifically, the RSI remains comfortably above its 50-neutral mark, while the stochastic oscillator is descending near the 20-oversold zone.

If sellers manage to seize control and push the price below its 200-day SMA, the recent low of 1,774 may act as the first line of defence. Breaking below that zone, the commodity could test the November support of 1,726, which lies very close to the 50-day SMA. Failing to halt there, the 1,702 barrier could prove to be a tough one for the price to violate.

Alternatively, bullish actions could propel the price towards the recent high of 1,824. If that level is breached, the bulls might aim for the June peak of 1,880. Even higher, the spotlight could turn to 1,920 before the crucial 2,000 psychological mark comes under examination.

Overall, gold’s recovery appears to be fading, while short-term oscillators fail to provide a clear directional signal. Hence, a clear break above or below the 200-day SMA could trigger a decisive move towards the same direction.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.