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NZDUSD


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FX options wrap - Risk recovery weighs USD and implied vol

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk recovery weighs USD and implied vol A bout of mid-week risk aversion reignited demand for options/implied volatility , but it is reverting amid a subsequent risk recovery, aided by a slightly softer than forecast monthly U.S. PCE inflation print. There's plenty of impending event risk to keep an underlying bid below shorter dated expiry FX implied volatility for now, however.
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Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead May 31 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are large ones worth noting for today and for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0805 on 1.4-billion euros, between 1.0850-60 on 1.5-billion euros and at 1.0870 on 1.4-billion euros.
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Investors hold their breath for inflation data

REFILE-MORNING BID EUROPE-Investors hold their breath for inflation data Corrects grammar of word 'headline' in paragraph 2 and spelling of word 'Reserve' in paragraph 8 A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Ankur Banerjee The time for waiting is almost over as inflation reports from Europe and the U.S. headline the day's agenda, with any kind of surprise likely to sway markets as investors weigh the shifting expectations over global rates .
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Australia, NZ dollars go flat, China data disappoints

Australia, NZ dollars go flat, China data disappoints By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, May 31 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars took a breather on Friday after a week of choppy trading, with a disappointing survey on Chinese manufacturing providing another reason for caution. China's official purchasing managers' index (PMI) unexpectedly slipped into contraction at 49.5 in May, a blow to hopes the Asian giant was finally picking up steam.
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FX options wrap - Risk off, ECB and Fed, long-end, ZAR bids

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk off, ECB and Fed, long-end, ZAR bids Risk aversion boosted USD, JPY and CHF and lifted FX option implied volatility into Thursday's session, with an uncharacteristic and significant increase in 1-year expiry EUR/USD and USD/JPY, too. Implied volatility eased marginally as the day progressed and FX spot markets consolidated overnight moves.
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ECB and Fed now prominent blips on the FX options radar

BUZZ-COMMENT-ECB and Fed now prominent blips on the FX options radar May 30 (Reuters) - A broad risk-off tone has given FX option volatility premiums a boost , but two dates stand out as they now include the impending European Central Bank and U.S. Federal Reserve policy announcements. The 1-week expiry is now June 6 and therefore includes the ECB policy decision and an almost fully priced 25bps cut to 3.75% according to interest rate futures 0#ECBWATCH .
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Australia, NZ dollars suffer setback, rate outlook clouded

Australia, NZ dollars suffer setback, rate outlook clouded By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, May 30 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars steadied on Thursday after suffering a setback from a surge in U.S. bond yields which soured risk appetites, while clouding the outlook for rate cuts globally. The Aussie was pinned at $0.6605 AUD=D3 , having pulled back from $0.6667 overnight as the U.S.
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FX options wrap - Carry, shackle, ZAR, intervention, insight

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Carry, shackle, ZAR, intervention, insight FX option implied volatility is languishing at long term lows in many of the major G10 currency pairs and reflects the lack of FX realised volatility/expectations that is favouring carry trades . EUR/USD is the most liquid and highly traded currency pair, but a now familiar 1.08-1.09 range is getting more congested and harder to break as related strikes and their hedging flows dominate.
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Expected month-end FX rebalancing effect on US dollar

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Expected month-end FX rebalancing effect on US dollar Repeats with no changes May 27 (Reuters) - Several banks have recently published their model signals for May month-end FX hedge rebalancing and there's a unanimous prediction for USD sales. The month-end rebalancing signals from Barclays actually point to strong USD selling across the board.
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Australia dollar underpinned as inflation, yields move higher

Australia dollar underpinned as inflation, yields move higher SYDNEY, May 29 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar got a brief lift on Wednesday after a reading on local inflation surprised on the high side, slugging bonds and adding to risks interest rates may yet have to rise further. Data showed the monthly consumer price index rose 0.7% in April, from March, when analysts had looked for an increase of around 0.5%.
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Dollar slips ahead of data, set for first monthly drop in 2024

FOREX-Dollar slips ahead of data, set for first monthly drop in 2024 Updates as of 1119 ET By Stefano Rebaudo May 28 (Reuters) - The dollar eased against most currencies on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. and euro zone inflation data later this week that could affect expectations for major central banks' monetary policy outlooks. The greenback was also on the verge of its first monthly decline in 2024. "A backdrop where the Federal Reserve can start cutting rates this year, even in December, is consis
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Dollar edges down ahead of data, set for first monthly drop in 2024

FOREX-Dollar edges down ahead of data, set for first monthly drop in 2024 Recasts, adds analyst comments, background By Stefano Rebaudo May 28 (Reuters) - The dollar edged down on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. and euro zone inflation data later this week that could affect expectations for major central banks' monetary policy outlooks. The greenback was also on the verge of its first monthly decline in 2024. "A backdrop where the Federal Reserve can start cutting rates this year, even in December, is
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Dollar edges down ahead of data, set for first monthly drop in 2024

FOREX-Dollar edges down ahead of data, set for first monthly drop in 2024 Adds comments, background By Stefano Rebaudo and Rae Wee May 28 (Reuters) - The dollar edged down on Tuesday, but remained in tight ranges against peers, ahead of key inflation data from major economies this week that could inform the global interest rate outlook. The greenback was also on the verge of its first monthly decline in 2024. "A backdrop where the Federal Reserve can start cutting rates this year, even in Decemb
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Asia shares nudge higher, dollar eases as ECB comments lift risk appetite

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares nudge higher, dollar eases as ECB comments lift risk appetite Updated prices at 0530 GMT By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, May 28 (Reuters) - Asian shares edged higher on Tuesday while the dollar remained on the backfoot for a third straight session, as heightened expectations of an imminent European rate cut helped whet risk appetite.
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Dollar loses some ground ahead of key global inflation readings

FOREX-Dollar loses some ground ahead of key global inflation readings Updates prices at 0500 GMT By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, May 28 (Reuters) - The dollar waned on Tuesday on a slight pick up in risk appetite, but remained in tight ranges against peers ahead of key inflation data from major economies this week that could inform the global interest rate outlook.
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Inflation expectations

MORNING BID EUROPE-Inflation expectations A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook The European Central Bank publishes inflation expectation surveys on Tuesday, which along with policymaker speeches are the highlight of an otherwise quiet calendar. Easing forecasts would reinforce market bets on a rate cut next week, which is priced at a 92% probability.
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Australia, NZ dlrs rally anew, lifted by yen flows

Australia, NZ dlrs rally anew, lifted by yen flows By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, May 28 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was having another tilt at the upside on Tuesday as risk sentiment improved globally, while its New Zealand cousin reached a 10-week high helped by strong carry demand against the Japanese yen. The Aussie pushed to $0.6668 AUD=D3 , having risen 0.4% overnight and away from last week's low of $0.6592. Major resistance now lies at this month's peak of $0.6714. The kiwi dollar reached $
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Asia shares drift after rally, Wall Street reopen in focus

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares drift after rally, Wall Street reopen in focus By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, May 28 (Reuters) - Asian shares held a mixed tone on Tuesday after rallying the previous session, as rising bets of an imminent European rate cut helped risk appetite ahead of some key inflation data . A slew of European Central Bank officials said overnight the ECB has room to cut interest rates as inflation slows, underscoring expectations for a rate cut on June 6. With debate now shifting to subseq
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Dollar ebbs as markets await key global inflation reports

FOREX-Dollar ebbs as markets await key global inflation reports By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, May 28 (Reuters) - The dollar waned on Tuesday following a slight pick up in risk appetite, but it held tight ranges against its peers ahead of key inflation data from major economies this week that markets are looking to for guidance on the global interest rate outlook.
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Expected month-end FX rebalancing effect on US dollar

BUZZ-COMMENT-Expected month-end FX rebalancing effect on US dollar May 27 (Reuters) - Several banks have recently published their model signals for May month-end FX hedge rebalancing and there's a unanimous prediction for USD sales. The month-end rebalancing signals from Barclays actually point to strong USD selling across the board. They note how the market reacted to slightly softer U.S.
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