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US Open Note – Evergrande ghost haunts markets; euro weaker ahead of German election

Evergrande's drama continues Evergrande’s drama continued to spook markets on Friday as investors had no clue whether China’s giant property developer, which owes a debt larger than the external debt many entire countries face, had successfully met Thursday’s $83.

Technical Analysis – US 30 index advances after bullish double bottom pattern

The US 30 index (cash) charted a bullish double bottom pattern near July’s base of 33,815 on the four-hour chart, with the price skyrocketing to 34,747 on Thursday following the close above the 33,324 neckline.

US Open Note – BoE cheers pound bulls; stocks maintain post-Fed advances 

BoE sends some bullish shockwaves The Bank of England (BoE) left its policy settings unchanged as expected with a vote of 9-0 to keep interest rates steady at 0.

US Open Note – China's potential domino effect spooks stocks; dollar up

Stocks plunge as China's Evergrande causes risk-off While the week was supposed to be all about the Fed and its tapering signals, increasing fears that Beijing will let its giant property developer Evergrande default on its $305 billion liabilities over a looming deadline for payment obligations brought another headache to global markets on Monday.

US Open Note – Wall Street could test bearish weekly close; loonie bulls gear after mixed jobs data

US-China relations hit the wires An overnight phone call between the US president Joe Biden and China’s leader Xi Jinping occupied the media on Friday.

US Open Note – Euro unchanged as ECB meets PEPP expectations; dollar stable

Taper - ECB style Starting bond tapering could be an unwise decision when the pandemic is still propagating worldwide through its threatening variants.

US Open Note – Dollar in tears after NFP miss; euro spikes above 1.1900

Nonfarm payrolls miss forecasts; dollar down US nonfarm payrolls took center stage on Friday, presenting an employment growth of 273k for the month of August, which was way below the forecast of 750k but still enough to press the unemployment rate to 5.

US Open Note – Dollar consolidates losses as jobs day looms; stocks mildly up

US Jobless claims pin fresh low as expected The downbeat ADP private jobs survey and the dip in the employment component of the ISM manufacturing PMI created plenty of interest in the US initial jobless claims numbers on Thursday as anxiety continues to grow about whether Friday’s nonfarm payrolls will meet the criteria for the Fed’s bond tapering plans to start sooner rather than later.

US Open Note – Downbeat ADP jobs data drive dollar lower; Wall Street opens higher

Global stocks have a good start to September Global markets had a solid start to September, with European equities following their Asian rivals higher and crawling back towards their recent record highs despite fears of a growth slowdown, the troubling supply shortages, and the scarcity of qualified employees, which keep production costs elevated.

US Open Note – Dollar set for positive monthly close despite weakness; stocks falter

Dollar falls to fresh lows, but outlook still promising The US dollar was down across the board on Tuesday, retreating below its post-Jackson Hole low earlier in the day to trade at 92.

US Open Note – Dollar flat as Powell continues to feed Wall Street bulls

Dollar remains muted after Friday’s pullback The delta wave uncertainty forced Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to play it safe during Friday’s Jackson Hole symposium, setting no timeline and expressing no rush for winding down stimulus despite flagging that bond tapering will start this year.

US Open Note – Dollar steady as Fed speakers play down Jackson Hole fireworks

Waiting for Jackson Hole symposium FX markets hardly found any inspiration to move during Thursday’s European session as investors were eagerly waiting for the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday.

US Open Note – Dollar bulls cheer on Nonfarm Payrolls; loonie resilient after Canadian jobs miss

Dollar, Treasury yields gear up after bullish NFP release The US dollar was in neutral mode until the eagerly awaited nonfarm payrolls report brought the bulls back into play.

US Open Note – Dollar unflattered by jobless claims; BoE moves closer to monetary tightening

Continuing jobless claims beat estimates but dollar faces constraints  Predicting progress in the US labor market could be a tricky job for analysts in the next few months after recent comments from Fed speakers highlighted that a significant recovery in the US labor market is a prerequisite for the Fed to start winding down its government bond purchases.

US Open Note – Dollar fizzles despite tapering hints; European stocks at fresh record highs

Delta fears  The rest of the day will be quiet in terms of data releases but there are enough things happening globally to keep investors busy in the next sessions.

US Open Note – Stock indices to claim monthly gains despite jitters; dollar on the backfoot

Stock indices head for a monthly gain The month of July started with the impression that plans of monetary tightening could get more into fashion, adding a solid footing under currencies, while the earnings season could further brighten the outlook for stocks despite the inflaming virus numbers.

US Open Note – Pandemic anxiety spurs risk aversion; Wall street futures in the red

Pandemic uncertainty resurfaces The cocktail of a contagious Covid delta variant and the stabilization in vaccinations revived memories of lockdown restrictions and amplified inflation fears at a time when investors were confident that the summer months could boost economic growth, especially in the hardest-hit tourism sector.

US Open Note – Markets cool down after a messy week despite China's RRR cut

Stocks get on their feet ahead of earnings Markets took a breather at the end of a turbulent week, which suddenly derailed hopes of a swift economic recovery and promoted self-realization that the vaccination program alone may not be enough to re-establish the pre-Covid normality.

The US 30 index (cash) has successfully returned above the dashed long-term restrictive line, but the upper boundary of a short-term bearish channel is currently threatening to keep the index in a downward trajectory at 34,682.

US Open Note – Dollar charts best week of 2021; stocks, commodities under pressure

Dollar keeps FOMC power  The US dollar, the world’s reserve currency, is heading for its best weekly trade in nine months buoyed by the FOMC's hawkish turn, which bolstered the outlook for the US economy and put European currencies and commodities on the back seat.


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