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Latest Analysis

Technical Analysis – EURUSD in a dramatic downfall

EURUSD corrects sharply down to 1½-month low; gives up previous gains Technical signals remain bearish; support expected near 1.0650-1.0660   EURUSD continued to sink for the second consecutive day on Friday, reversing entirely its post-US CPI upturn and trimming a significant portion of its April-June uptrend to trade at a 1½-month low of 1.0670. The sharp selling started after the bulls failed to climb above the support-turned-resistance trendline at 1.0850 and the 200-period si
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY bounces to 14-year high; eyes on 201 resistance

GBPJPY unlocks a new high after the Bank of Japan defies expectations of reduced bond purchases Technical signs are positive, but the bulls need to breach the 201 obstacle   GBPJPY stepped on the long-term ascending line at 200 and jumped to a new 14-year high of 201.59 in the BoJ aftermath on Friday with scope to continue its long-term positive trend.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD remains bullish with weak momentum

USDCAD fails to extend above 1.3785 Stochastics suggest bearish retracement USDCAD is still developing above the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs), which are ready for a bullish crossover, and above the medium-term uptrend line. Technically, the MACD oscillator is moving sideways above the zero level; however, the stochastic oscillator is indicating a negative movement as it posted a bearish cross with %K and %D lines in the overbought region.
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Apple breaks long-term range to mark record high within 200 territory Short-term steep rally could take a breather as overbought signals strengthen   On Tuesday, Apple unveiled its own AI tools, propelling its stock to uncharted territory. Weaker-than-expected US CPI inflation data added fresh impetus to the stock on Wednesday, extending the rally above the resistance line, which connects the 2021 and 2023 highs, and towards an all-time high of 220. The stock’s gains were trimme
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Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, EURJPY

Gold trims gains after FOMC rate decision; at risk of bearish trend reversal below 2,290 GBPUSD closes below 1.2800 barrier despite hitting 3-month high EURJPY exhibits favorable attitude; next resistance at 170.78
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Technical Analysis – WTI crude oil fails to improve upside move

WTI crude finds tough obstacle at 200-day SMA Technical oscillators head south WTI crude oil returned above the medium-term ascending trend line, hitting the strong 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 79.36 after bouncing off the four-month low of 72.46. The technical oscillators are indicating a negative retracement in the short-term view.
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY holds within narrow range in near term

USDJPY remains below 157.70 Uptrend line acts as strong support Momentum oscillators show contradicting signs USDJPY is still developing below the 157.70 resistance level and well above the medium-term ascending trend line, failing to have a notable movement after the US CPI data and the Fed decision on Wednesday. The technical oscillators are showing some mixed signals.
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JP 225 index has been rangebound in the past month But has violated 50-day SMA and has advanced in latest sessions Momentum indicators are skewed to the upside The JP 225 index (cash) has been trading without clear direction since early May, fluctuating around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). In the near term, the price broke above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), with the short-term oscillators indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD recoups losses and bearish gap after US CPI

EURUSD posts gains above 1.0800 RSI crosses above 50 level EURUSD is extending its rebound off 1.0740 after US inflation data that was lower than expected. The pair jumped above the 50- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) as well as the 1.0800 round number. Technically, the RSI indicator is currently crossing the 50 level to the upside; however, the MACD is losing momentum beneath its trigger line and near the zero level.
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US 500 index creates fresh all-time high Key levels to watch the next round numbers RSI and stochastics near overbought territories The US 500 (cash) index extended its bullish move above the 5,350.15 level and is currently trading near the fresh record peak of 5.386.97. The index has also increased distance above its positively sloped moving average lines, indicating that the recent uptrend might hold for longer.

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD recoups post-NFP slide

NZDUSD surges to its highest since March 8 But undergoes a setback after strong NFP report Oscillators ease but remain in positive zones NZDUSD has been in an aggressive uptrend following its 2024 bottom of 0.5851 in mid-April, posting a fresh three-month high last week. Although the pair came under severe selling pressure on Friday due to a stronger-than-expected NFP report, it has been trying to erase its losses in the past couple of sessions.
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP prints new 22-month low

EURGBP continues to fall after bearish gap Price shifts neutral outlook to negative MACD and RSI hold in oversold regions EURGBP opened with a significant bearish gap on Monday after the European elections on Sunday, sending the pair towards a fresh 22-month low of 0.8416. The pair is holding well below the medium-term trading range of 0.8495-0.8620, switching the outlook to negative.
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Technical Analysis – ETHUSD declines sharply towards 50-day SMA

ETHUSD posted 2-month high following ETF approval But retraced lower after a consolidation period  Momentum indicators drop to negative territories ETHUSD (Ethereum) experienced a strong rally in May, advancing to its highest levels since mid-March. However, after a period of rangebound trading, the price inched lower as the short-term oscillators retreated to their negative zones.

Technical Analysis – EURJPY trades sideways ahead of key events

EURJPY is hovering below the recent 171.56 high Yen failed to benefit from Monday’s euro weakness Momentum indicators point to weakening bullish pressure EURJPY is trading sideways today as the yen has failed to benefit from the euro’s weakness following Sunday’s European parliamentary election results. The pair is still hovering close to its recent 171.56 high with Japanese officials probably feeling a bit more relaxed compared to the end-April market pressure.  This week
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EURCHF holds beneath uptrend line 200-day SMA acts as strong support level MACD and RSI indicate more losses EURUSD is on course for further losses after the bearish move to an almost two-month low of 0.9624 on Monday. The sharp sell-off, especially in the previous week, has shifted the near-term bias from bullish to neutral, and if there is a plunge beneath the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.9595, that  could change the outlook to strongly negative.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD retreats from almost 3-month high

GBPUSD advances to its highest level since March 13 But then reverses lower as rally got overstretched Momentum indicators ease but remain in positive zones GBPUSD has been in a steady recovery following its bounce off the 2024 bottom of 1.2298, with the price violating both the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). In the near term, although the pair surged to an almost three-month high, it sustained some losses probably due to some profit taking.
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Technical Analysis – FRA 40 index slumps to four-month low

 French 40 index falls to the lowest in four-months after Macron calls snap elections Support holds at 7,840 but market structure deteriorates   The French 40 stock index dived to a four-month low of 7,775 on Monday after the French president called a snap legislative election following a humiliating defeat from Le Pen’s far-right party in the European parliamentary election.

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, US dollar index, USDJPY

Euro area elections drives EURUSD sharply lower Fed decision and US inflation would have strong impact at US dollar index Will BoJ decision affect USDJPY? Euro area elections --> EURUSD The European elections resulted in significant setbacks for German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron. The euro had a significant decline on Monday due to political uncertainty caused by French President Emmanuel Macron's announcement of a sudden legislative electio
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Technical Analysis – Gold could be poised for a continuation lower

Gold violates bullish structure; prints a head and shoulders pattern Short-term risk is negative; confirmation signal awaited below 2,285   Gold has stabilized near May’s floor of 2,285 after losing more than 3.0% on Friday to mark its biggest daily loss in two years. The price’s current lackluster performance indicates a probable bearish continuation, given its drop below the 20- and 50-day SMAs and beneath the significant trendline zone at 2,325. The technical indicators al
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GBPJPY postsan almost 16-year peak of 200.73 But then reverses lower due to overbought conditions RSI and MACD ease but remain in positive territories GBPJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since early 2024, posting an almost 16-year high of 200.73 on May 29 before experiencing a setback. However, in the past couple of sessions, the pair managed to halt its decline and retraced back higher towards its recent multi-year peak.
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