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US Open Preview – Bad day for the pound as May’s future hangs in balance; dollar capitalizes

Posted on November 15, 2018 at 1:03 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX:  Although the British Cabinet approved the EU-UK divorce terms agreed between the sides on Tuesday, the deal threw British politics into chaos as Theresa May faces a possible vote of no confidence. Opposition to May’s Brexit plans is growing as the Brexit Secretary Dominique Raab as well as a few other ministers decided to resign on Thursday, expressing in that way their opposition to the deal struck. The news fuelled strong doubts [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound awaits Cabinet Brexit meeting; Powell’s speech in focus

Posted on November 14, 2018 at 12:39 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX:  Questions about whether the UK Parliament would ever accept the draft divorce deal approved by the UK and the EU on Tuesday derailed investors’ mindset early in the European session, and ahead of a Cabinet meeting later today. While forecasts are for the Cabinet to accept the agreement, investors think that the Parliament will vote against it, especially if the deal involves an extension of the transition period beyond 2020. Pound/dollar slid to 1.29 before [..]

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US Open Preview – Euro slightly up before Italy’s budget deadline; Oil in the red

Posted on November 13, 2018 at 12:36 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Three-month average earnings including bonuses grew by 3.0% y/y in September in the UK, while the ex-bonus measure jumped by 3.2% y/y versus 3.1% expected. The pound, though, showed little reaction to the data as the unemployment rate inched up by 0.1 percentage points to 4.1%. Still, pound/dollar managed to spike to 1.2961 before a pullback to 1.2944 (+0.86%) after  government sources supported that a Brexit deal is closer now than [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar index registers fresh highs as pound and euro struggle; oil holds up

Posted on November 12, 2018 at 12:25 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar was overperforming early in the European session on Monday as political uncertainties in Europe and strong optimism on the US economy, persuaded traders to invest more in the greenback despite Trump’s Republicans losing control of the House of Representatives last week. The dollar index gained 0.60% to rise as high as 97.57, a level never seen since June 2017. Dollar/yen spiked to a five-week high of 114.20, but it soon returned to 113.91, near [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar sails past 16-month highs; Brexit and Italy cast shadows on sterling and euro

Posted on November 12, 2018 at 8:45 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar soared to fresh 16-month highs against a basket of six major currencies on Monday, building on its gains from Friday, even without any fresh catalyst or news out of the US. Instead, the greenback seems to be taking advantage of softness in the pound and euro, amid Brexit and Italian uncertainties respectively. Elsewhere, the commodity-linked currencies retreated, with the loonie feeling the brunt of the pain as oil prices [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound drops momentarily below 1.30 on Brexit woes; oil set for fifth weekly loss

Posted on November 9, 2018 at 1:03 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The British economy expanded by 1.5% y/y in the third quarter as expected, preliminary data showed. The UK’s trade deficit narrowed, and the manufacturing output was slightly better than forecast in September. However, the evidence on business investment was disappointing and today’s discouraging Brexit headlines were enough to push pound/dollar straight down to 1.2988 before a reversal to 1.3035 (-0.15%). Particularly, capital expenditures decreased by 1.2% q/q in Q3 compared to a 0.2% expected rise, printing the biggest loss since Q1 2016. [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar remains bullish ahead of FOMC rate decision

Posted on November 8, 2018 at 12:56 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Expectations that the Fed will continue to signal further monetary tightening when it keeps rates steady at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting later today probably helped the dollar index to move higher by 0.22% as the market took a breath after the US midterm elections. Dollar/yen traded up by 0.13% at 113.66, near one-month highs. Meanwhile in the Eurozone, the European Commission revised the bloc’s economic growth for 2019 downwards to 1.9% y/y from 2.0% before, and [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar’s rivals gain as US Congress split flags political noise; RBNZ rate decision awaited

Posted on November 7, 2018 at 12:47 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: As was widely anticipated, Democrats took control of the House and Republicans retained the majority in the Senate in the mid-term US elections. The dollar index opened with a gap down on Wednesday, slipping to a 2-month trough of 95.67 before inching up to 95.81 (-0.52%). Dollar/yen edged lower by 0.20% to 113.19 along with US Treasury yields after hitting a fresh 1-month high at 113.81 earlier in the day. The 10-year [..]

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US Open Preview – Dollar finds resistance at 1-month highs vs yen; US midterm elections awaited

Posted on November 6, 2018 at 12:14 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The US dollar hit one-month highs against the yen at 113.44 on Tuesday but it soon lost ground returning to 113.13 (-0.06%) before the US midterm elections take place later today. The US dollar index, however, managed to climb by 0.14%, erasing some of yesterday’s losses on the back of a weaker euro and pound. Euro/dollar was steady at 1.1412 despite the upward revision in final Markit Services PMI figures for October [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound holds firm ahead of Barnier’s Brexit speech

Posted on November 5, 2018 at 12:59 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar’s index against a basket of currencies reversed earlier losses to trade marginally higher on the day. The British pound continued to outperform on the back of rising hopes for a Brexit deal, though it reversed a considerable portion of earlier gains against both the dollar and the euro. Indicatively, GBPUSD traded below the 1.30 handle after previously hitting a two-week high of 1.3062. The UK came on the receiving end [..]

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