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Traders hesitant to chase GBP/USD lower with UK CPI ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Traders hesitant to chase GBP/USD lower with UK CPI ahead June 14 (Reuters) - Cable fell on Friday with traders cutting exposure to European FX as uncertainty around the French elections increased, which in turn saw the pair drop to a 4-week low. However, with UK CPI, the Bank of England rate decision and flash PMIs on the docket next week, traders are likely to be reticent in chasing GBP/USD breakouts, emphasized by the fleeting above moves above 1.28 and below 1.2675-90. That said
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Euro pinned lower by France turmoil, yen recovers after BOJ update

FOREX-Euro pinned lower by France turmoil, yen recovers after BOJ update Recasts on the euro, updates prices By Iain Withers LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - The euro was on track for its biggest weekly fall in two months versus the dollar on Friday due to French political turmoil , while the yen clawed back ground after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) surprised markets with a dovish monetary policy update.
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Sterling on track for best week of year against ailing euro

Sterling on track for best week of year against ailing euro LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - Sterling was on track for its biggest weekly gain against the euro in nearly seven months on Friday, as investor concerns sparked by France's snap election continued to pummel the euro zone currency. The euro was broadly flat on the day against sterling at 84.09 pence, but was on course for a nearly 1% weekly fall - its biggest since November 2023. EURGBP=D3 The pound slipped 0.4% on the day against the broad
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FX options wrap - Risks glare amid the FX status-quo

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risks glare amid the FX status-quo June 13 (Reuters) - FX was left mostly range-bound after Wednesday's bouts of post-U.S. CPI and Fed- driven volatility, weighing back on implied volatility as a consequence of a return to the prior FX status quo . However, there are some impending events where the FX volatility risk premium is still elevated as demonstrated by particular option expiry dates and their implied volatilities.
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Sterling set for fifth weekly gain against euro after shock French election call

Sterling set for fifth weekly gain against euro after shock French election call LONDON, June 13 (Reuters) - The pound was headed for its fifth weekly gain against the euro on Thursday, having hit its highest in almost two years against the single European currency, which was rattled by political uncertainty in France. The euro fell to its lowest against the pound since late August 2022 this week, after the success of far-right parties in a European Union parliamentary election at the weekend pr
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FX options wrap - Weak USD volatility pressure tamed by euro risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Weak USD volatility pressure tamed by euro risk Below-forecast U.S. CPI data reignited U.S. rate cut bets and weakened the USD as it allows the Fed more room to lean dovish on Wednesday. Overnight expiry implied volatility has been slow to ease from higher levels and highlights the potential for more FX volatility around the time of the Fed announcement at 1800 GMT.
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Sterling ekes out gain as investors look beyond soft growth figures

Sterling ekes out gain as investors look beyond soft growth figures By Samuel Indyk LONDON, June 12 (Reuters) - The pound edged higher on Wednesday even as data showed economic growth stagnated at the start of the second quarter, as analysts looked beyond one-off factors and still expected the economic recovery to gather pace in the coming months.
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Can this rally fight the Fed?

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Can this rally fight the Fed? By Naomi Rovnick June 12 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets by markets correspondent Naomi Rovnick What a difference half a year makes. Traders started 2024 convinced that the U.S. Federal Reserve would be able to cut interest rates up to seven times by December. Analysts now widely expect Fed officials not only to keep the funds rate at its 23-year high of 5.25% to 5.5% at the end of their monetary policy meeting on
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Sterling likely to remain resilient after the election

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sterling likely to remain resilient after the election June 12 (Reuters) - Sterling has remained resilient since May 22 when Prime Minister Rishi Sunak called the July 4 UK election . Markets appear comfortable with the prospect of a Labour government, with industry hoping for closer ties with the European Union to ease trade friction.
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FX options wrap - Euro vols surge again; U.S. CPI risk underpriced

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Euro vols surge again; U.S. CPI risk underpriced The euro has been under broad-based pressure since France announced a snap election, with the benchmark 1-month expiry euro based FX option implied volatility becoming the bellwether for related FX realised volatility and directional risk . EUR/USD 1-month expiry implied volatility reached 6.6 on Tuesday after initial gains from 5.1 to 6.0 Friday-Monday .
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Euro drops to a one-month low with US inflation data and Fed in focus

FOREX-Euro drops to a one-month low with US inflation data and Fed in focus Recasts, adds comments, background By Stefano Rebaudo June 11 (Reuters) - The euro dropped to a one-month low on Tuesday, with political concerns weighing as investors shifted focus to U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve interest rate forecasts. The single currency had lost ground on Monday, pressured by investor fears that gains by eurosceptics in European elections and the calling of a snap French election could co
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Sterling hits 22-month high versus euro edges up vs dollar

CORRECTED-Sterling hits 22-month high versus euro edges up vs dollar Corrects to read 'Tuesday' (not 'Wednesday'), in paragraph 1 By Stefano Rebaudo June 11 (Reuters) - Sterling hit a 22-month high versus the euro after a sharp rise the day before and was roughly unchanged against the dollar on Tuesday as investors await U.S. inflation data and the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
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BoE August cut would take wind out of pound's sails

BUZZ-COMMENT-BoE August cut would take wind out of pound's sails June 11 (Reuters) - The Bank of England's first interest rate decision following next month's UK general election could see the pound cede some of its recent gains if the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street, as the central bank is known, opts to cut. Doves advocating a BoE rate reduction on August 1 - four weeks after the UK election, seized on Tuesday's disclosure that the UK jobless rate unexpectedly rose to 4.4% in April, its highes
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US recap: EUR/USD lowest in a month on EU elections, US jobs data

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD lowest in a month on EU elections, US jobs data AUD/USD- Improved risk sentiment gives longs some life USD/CNH- Yuan bears hold the reins ahead of US CPI, Fed risks June 10 (Reuters) - The dollar index rose 0.27% on Monday with the help of euro weakness following EU election news that led to the announcement of a snap French election and that lifted risk premia for the region.
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FX options wrap - Euro related FX risk premiums surge higher

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Euro related FX risk premiums surge higher France calls a snap election which hurts EUR and raises the cost of related options to cover the increased risk of volatility and EUR weakness . The benchmark 1-month expiry on July 10 is working as a French election fear gauge for euro-related currency pairs as it includes both rounds of voting on June 30 and July 7. One-month expiry EUR/USD implied volatility reached 6.0 on Monday from 5.2 on Friday and 1-month risk reversals sa
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Sterling hits 22-month high against bruised euro

Sterling hits 22-month high against bruised euro LONDON, June 10 (Reuters) - The pound hit its highest in nearly two years against the euro on Monday, though it dropped against the dollar, as the common currency tumbled after French President Emmanuel Macron called a snap election after being trounced in an EU vote by the far right. The euro dropped to as low as 84.53 pence, its lowest since August 2022, breaking out of its recent range against the pound, and also falling against the dollar alon
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Options show extent of French election risk to euro

BUZZ-COMMENT-Options show extent of French election risk to euro June 10 (Reuters) - The announcement of French elections at the end of June has weakened the euro and lifted FX option premiums, where one particular expiry date can offer a decent bellwether for associated currency risk. The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown but a key component of their premium, so dealers use implied volatility (their best guess).
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Euro slides to one-month low as Macron calls snap French election

FOREX-Euro slides to one-month low as Macron calls snap French election Updates at 0512 GMT By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, June 10 (Reuters) - The euro fell sharply on Monday, hit by political uncertainty after French President Emmanuel Macron called a snap legislative election, while the dollar was firm ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting later in the week.
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Macron's shock election call rocks euro and French markets

UPDATE 5-Macron's shock election call rocks euro and French markets Euro falls to lowest in a month Eurosceptic nationalists gain in EU election French President Macron risks losing domestic control French banks slide; government borrowing costs hit 2024 high Updates prices at 1305 GMT By Dhara Ranasinghe and Amanda Cooper LONDON/SINGAPORE, June 10 (Reuters) - The euro fell while French stocks and bonds tumbled on Monday, following President Emmanuel Macron's decision to call a snap parliamentar
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FX options wrap - NFP boost, central bank risk, BoJ calls

BUZZ-FX options wrap - NFP boost, central bank risk, BoJ calls After drifting to new recent lows, the USD and yields were boosted by much stronger than expected U.S jobs data on Friday, with FX realised volatility beating the low break-evens on overnight expiry options . However, most of the major G10 currency pairings remain well contained within recent and familiar ranges for now and that's keeping implied volatility curves at the low end of their long-term ranges.
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ข้อความสงวนสิทธิ์: บริษัทในเครือ XM Group มีการให้บริการดำเนินคำสั่งและการเข้าถึงแพลตฟอร์มซื้อขายออนไลน์ของเรา ซึ่งช่วยให้บุคคลสามารถดู และ/หรือใช้ข้อมูลที่มีอยู่บนหรือผ่านทางเว็บไซต์ ซึ่งไม่ได้มีการเปลี่ยนแปลงหรือขยายความจากสิ่งนี้ อีกทั้งการเข้าถึงดังกล่าวจะอยู่ภายใต้: (i) เงื่อนไขและข้อตกลง; (ii) คำเตือนเกี่ยวกับความเสี่ยง; และ (iii) ข้อความสงวนสิทธิ์ฉบับเต็ม ดังนั้นข้อมูลดังกล่าวจึงเป็นเพียงแค่ข้อมูลทั่วไปเท่านั้น นอกจากนี้โปรดทราบว่าข้อมูลต่างๆ บนแพลตฟอร์มซื้อขายออนไลน์ของเราไม่ได้มีการเชื้อเชิญหรือถือเป็นข้อเสนอให้ทำธุรกรรมใดๆ บนตลาดการเงิน และการซื้อขายบนตลาดการเงินใดๆ มีความเสี่ยงในระดับสูงกับเงินทุนของคุณ

เนื้อหาทั้งหมดที่ถูกเผยแพร่อยู่บนแพลตฟอร์มเทรดออนไลน์ของเรามีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อให้ข้อมูล/ความรู้เท่านั้นและไม่มี – และไม่ควรถือว่ามี – คำแนะนำด้านการเงิน, ภาษีการลงทุน, หรือการเทรด หรือข้อมูลราคาย้อนหลัง, หรือข้อเสนอ, หรือการเชื้อเชิญให้ทำธุรกรรมใดๆ เกี่ยวกับตราสารทางการเงินหรือโปรโมชั่นทางการเงินสำหรับท่าน

เนื้อหาของบุคคลที่สามใดๆ รวมถึงเนื้อหาที่ถูกจัดเตรียมขึ้นโดย XM เช่น ข้อคิดเห็น, ข่าวสาร, บทวิเคราะห์, ราคา, ข้อมูลอื่นๆ หรือลิงก์ไปยังเว็บไซต์ของบุคคลที่สามที่อยู่ในเว็บไซต์นี้ถูกจัดทำขึ้น “ตามที่เป็น” ซึ่งเป็นการแสดงความคิดเห็นเกี่ยวกับตลาดโดยทั่วไปและไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำด้านการลงทุน เนื่องจากเนื้อหาเหล่านี้ถือเป็นบทวิจัยด้านการลงทุน ท่านจะต้องทราบและยอมรับว่า เนื้อหาเหล่านี้ไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์และไม่ได้มีการถูกจัดเตรียมขึ้นตามข้อกำหนดทางด้านกฎหมายที่ถูกออกแบบขึ้นมาเพื่อส่งเสริมการวิจัยด้านการลงทุนที่เป็นอิสระ ดังนั้นเนื้อหาเหล่านี้ถือเป็นการสื่อสารทางการตลาดภายใต้กฎหมายและกฎระเบียบที่เกี่ยวข้อง โปรดอ่านและทำความเข้าใจประกาศเกี่ยวกับบทวิจัยด้านการลงทุนที่ไม่ได้มีความเป็นอิสระและคำเตือนเกี่ยวกับความเสี่ยงซึ่งมีความเกี่ยวข้องกับข้อมูลต่างๆ ดังที่ได้กล่าวไปแล้ว โดยท่านสามารถดูได้ ที่นี่

คำเตือนความเสี่ยง: เงินทุนของท่านมีความเสี่ยง ผลิตภัณฑ์ที่มีอัตราทดอาจไม่เหมาะสำหรับนักลงทุนบางราย โปรดศึกษาและทำความเข้าใจเอกสารเปิดเผยข้อมูลความเสี่ยงของเรา