Commodities

Technical Analysis – Gold remains neutral as negative sentiment takes a breather

Posted on December 10, 2019 at 9:50 am GMT

Gold’s recent push lower has come to a standstill at the 1459 level while at the same time the ADX indicates an absence of a trend. The loss in steam – in the still neutral-to-bearish picture – is also reflected by the flattening of the 50- and 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) and the short-term oscillators. The oscillators reflect a stall in negative momentum. The MACD, is in the negative region and below its red trigger line but has eased [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures retest 58.60 resistance

Posted on December 5, 2019 at 11:03 am GMT

WTI oil futures for January delivery staged a respectable rally on Wednesday but the 61.8% Fibonacci of 58.60 of the downleg from 63.22 to 50.98 proved a tough resistance to overcome. The upside reversal in the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) following the bounce on the 200-period SMA is a positive signal that the upward direction in the price may not fade yet. Still, the odds for a downside correction remain high as the RSI is not far below its [..]

OPEC+ meeting: Are deeper production cuts on the cards? – Special Report

Posted on December 3, 2019 at 4:40 pm GMT

OPEC, Russia and other major oil producers will meet in Vienna on December 5-6 to decide what production quotas to set as the current arrangement to cap output is set to expire in March 2020. The club’s largest producer, Saudi Arabia, is pushing for deeper cuts. However, its key strategic partner – Russia – is unlikely to agree to anything more than an extension of existing limits. But as oil prices aim to finish the year more than 20% higher, [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold in neutral mode within tentative descending channel

Posted on December 2, 2019 at 8:33 am GMT

Gold has been light in terms of volatility over the past two weeks, sliding sideways within a tentative downward sloping channel that remains intact since early September. The momentum indicators continue to suggest a neutral-to-bearish bias for the short-term as both the RSI and the MACD have yet to show a clear direction in the bearish area, with the former ranging below its 50 neutral mark and the latter holding flat around its red signal line. A downside reversal in the price [..]

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Technical Analysis – Palladium futures at fresh record high; approach 2-year old resistance line

Posted on November 29, 2019 at 2:38 pm GMT

Palladium futures edged up on Friday to unlock a fresh record high of 1,815 but room for improvement seems to be narrowing as the price is approaching the 2-year old resistance line. Moreover, the RSI is not far below its 70 overbought mark and the Stochastics have already run above 80 and are looking to post a bearish cross above the 80 mark. Should buyers persist, breaching the resistance line currently around 1,835, the focus will initially shift to the [..]

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Technical Analysis – Copper futures resume positive outlook; buyers unable to breach 2.7015 resistance

Posted on November 27, 2019 at 4:01 pm GMT

Copper futures are attempting to push back up to retest the 2.7015 resistance from the high of September 16, which halted gains from the bounce off the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). Aiding the positive view are the 50- and 100-period SMAs that have held above the 200-period SMA and the recent upward turn in the slope of the 50-period SMA. Furthermore, the MACD, currently in the positive region, has distanced itself above its red trigger line, while the RSI [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures hold onto bullish bias but momentum is weakening

Posted on November 26, 2019 at 8:31 am GMT

WTI oil futures have eased slightly off the 58.56 resistance, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 63.22 to 50.98, following the recent price appreciation from the bounce off the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). The short-term oscillators reflect a stall in the positive momentum. The MACD, in the positive zone has slipped below its red trigger line, while the RSI is decreasing in the bullish region and is nearing the 50-level. However, as the price [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold moves sideways, sellers still eye lower levels

Posted on November 25, 2019 at 9:50 am GMT

Gold sellers are attempting to steer past the recent swing low of 1456 to put the asset back on a negative track. Despite the rebound off 1446 – which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the up leg from 1266.20 to 1556.92 – and the consolidation in price, the 200- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) still suggest the commodity could lose further ground. The short-term oscillators lean towards the negative picture even though the market seems to have paused. [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures overbought after capturing one-month high

Posted on November 22, 2019 at 1:06 pm GMT

WTI oil futures for January delivery closed above the 200-period moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart on Wednesday and spiked to a one-month high of 58.64, confirming a new higher low at 54.84. The price is currently consolidating around 58.60, this being the 61.8% Fibonacci of the 63.22-50.98 downleg, which is expected to challenge the bulls in the short-term as the RSI and the Stochastics flag overbought conditions – a sign that positive momentum may soften. A downside reversal is expected [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold stays within tentative descending channel

Posted on November 18, 2019 at 8:27 am GMT

Gold recouped a small portion of its losses last week to close slightly positive after finding support at 1,445 and near the bottom of a tentative descending channel. Despite the rebound, the price remained slightly below its 20- and 50-simple moving averages (SMAs) that maintain a bearish cross and under the Ichimoku cloud. Meanwhile in momentum indicators, signals are also discouraging as the RSI was unable to return above its 50 neutral mark and the MACD held stable below its red signal [..]

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