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Technical Analysis – USDJPY is ready to challenge the 148.85 zone

USDJPY continues to trade in an uptrend mode, above all EMAs Looking ready to challenge the 148.85 resistance barrier Both the RSI and the MACD detect positive momentum USDJPY is trading higher today, getting closer to the 148.85 zone, marked by the highs of October 31 and November 1. Overall, the pair remains in an uptrend mode, well above the upwards sloping trendline drawn from the low of March 24, and above all three of the plotted exponential moving averages (EMAs). All thes
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Market Comment – Fragile sentiment after weak PMIs, higher for longer message

Mood sours amid hawkish Fed, recession fears and US shutdown risk Stocks mixed after last week’s losses as bond yields near cycle highs Dollar holds firm as yen under pressure after dovish Ueda Subdued sentiment as uncertainties weigh Trading got off to a mixed start on Monday as equities and the US dollar were lacking clear direction after the Fed doubled down on its ‘higher for longer’ stance and the flash PMIs reignited recession jitters.
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Key data releases scheduled with the market counting down to the next RBA meeting The RBA is feeling relieved after the decision to pause by the Fed August CPI (01:30 GMT) could provide some breathing space to the aussie RBA was first on the scene The RBA kicked off the busy central banks’ season by keeping rates unchanged at 4.1% at the September 5 meeting.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD extends decline to a fresh 5-month low

EURUSD in a clear downtrend, posting a fresh 5-month bottom of 1.0614 The descending 50-day SMA is approaching 200-day SMA, setting the stage for a death cross Momentum indicators are heavily skewed to the bearish side EURUSD has been in a steady decline after peaking at the 18-month high of 1.1275 on July 18, generating a series of lower highs and lower lows.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD finds support at the 50-day SMA

USDCAD in an aggressive decline from its 5-month high of 1.3693 Dives beneath the 200-day SMA, but the 50-day SMA holds its ground for now Momentum indicators suggest more pain in the short term USDCAD has been undergoing a strong downside correction from its five-month peak of 1.3693 recorded on September 7. In the last couple of sessions, the pair has been attempting to pierce through both the 200- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), with the latter proving rather resilie
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Oil prices charge higher, but rally has an expiration date

Oil prices stage impressive rally, driven by a classic supply shortage This occurred despite worries of lower demand from Europe and China Risk is that US ramps up production, putting an expiration date on this rally Crude deficit Oil prices went through the roof in recent months as the market encountered a serious supply deficit, courtesy of Saudi Arabia and Russia.

Bitcoin tumbles after Fed signals higher interest rate trajectory – Crypto News

Bitcoin drops 1.8% on Thursday following a hawkish a FOMC meeting Experiences a strong technical rejection at the 50-day SMA on the daily chart Cryptos expected to extend their rangebound pattern in the absence of any major catalyst Fed inflicts severe damage to risky assets Cryptocurrencies started the week on the front foot, with Bitcoin reclaiming the $27,000 mark for the first time since August 31. Nevertheless, the positivity got shattered after the FOMC rate decision on Wedne
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Week Ahead – US core PCE and Eurozone flash CPIs eyed after rate pause signals

PCE inflation to grab attention on Friday as Fed signals higher for longer But markets might be more worried about a government shutdown Eurozone flash CPIs will also be the in the spotlight on Friday Chinese PMIs to be watched for recovery signs Will core PCE add to second inflation wave worries? The latest spike in oil prices is causing some headaches for policymakers as energy costs are on the rise again just as they’ve started to see the result of their hard-fought ba
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Market Comment – Stocks roll over as US yields climb to new highs

Mayhem in US bond market spills over into stocks  Dollar struggles to advance despite soaring yields  Sterling sinks on BoE decision, yen retreats after BoJ  US yields leap higher The storm in US bond markets has evolved into a hurricane, inflicting deep wounds on riskier assets such as stocks. Yields on US government bonds have gone ballistic, with the yield on ten-year notes hitting a fresh cycle high of 4.50% earlier today.  When yields climb with such force, it has re
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD bears still in control

USDCAD is in the red today, tests the support of the 200-day simple moving average The mixed momentum indicators complicate the outlook The SMAs’ convergence could open the door to a sizeable move ahead USDCAD is moving lower today after bouncing off the July 14, 2023 upward sloping trendline. The downleg since the September 7, 2023 peak has been impressive but the path appears to be trickier at this stage, especially as the bulls have decided to react more forcefully.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY recovers some ground after BoE slump

GBPJPY slid below 50-day SMA after BoE surprise decision to hold rates steady Remains in a gentle downward path despite today’s bounce after BoJ leaves policy unchanged  Will the short-term pullback extend? GBPJPY had been stuck in a prolonged uptrend since the beginning of the year, posting an eight-year high of 186.75 on August 22. However, the pair has been experiencing a downside correction since then, with the momentum indicators suggesting more losses in the near term.
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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures turn positive again after pullback from 10-month high

Slide in oil doesn’t last long as bulls remain in control But further gains will depend on whether 50% Fibonacci can be overcome WTI oil futures (cash) are heading higher on Thursday, reversing an earlier decline to a one-week low of 88.96. The price brushed a 45-week peak of 93.08 on Tuesday, extending the year-to-date gains to more than 15%.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD bears in control but still hungry

GBPUSD in the red again today and registering a new 6-month low A strong bearish trend is in place since the July 14, 2023 high Momentum indicators clearly support the current downleg GBPUSD is edging lower again today, recording the lowest print since March 27, 2023 and hovering around the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the June 1, 2021 – September 26, 2022 downtrend.
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Intel share price nosedives days after hitting 40.00 Momentum indicators point to further losses in short term But medium-term bullish structure intact for now Intel stock tumbled in the past two sessions, losing about 8.75% of its value. Crucially, the price has slid below both its 20- and 50-period simple moving averages (SMAs), signalling a dramatic shift in the near-term picture from bullish to bearish.
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Market Comment – Hawkish Fed boosts the dollar, BoE and BoJ next

Fed revises rate path higher, lifting dollar and yields Stock markets and gold move lower in the aftermath BoE decision today a coin toss, BoJ unlikely to move Fed commits to higher for longer The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged yesterday, as widely expected, but revised its economic forecasts and interest rate projections higher.
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Technical Analysis – US 100 cash index is lower again today; sell-off could have legs

The US 100 index is edging lower today, testing the support of the 100-day SMA Bears are trying to recover part of their significant losses since the March 2023 lows The pullback could continue according to the momentum indicators Recent market events have changed the sentiment in the US 100 cash index and the bears appear to have the upper hand at this juncture.
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Technical Analysis – BTCUSD rebound tested by 50-day SMA

BTCUSD remains perky after bouncing off 25,000 support But 50-SMA proving to be a difficult obstacle to overcome Can Bitcoin maintain its recovery? BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has extended its rebound from the September 11 low of 24,920. However, the upside pressure has started to wane after coming into contact with its 50-day simple moving average.
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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD edges lower, bearish sentiment lingers

AUDUSD is edging lower today, reacting to yesterday’s key event The pair remains very close to the new 2023 low registered on September 6 The momentum indicators appear to support the downleg at this juncture AUDUSD is experiencing its second straight red candle, canceling out most of the upleg recorded since the September 6 low.
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Will the Eurozone PMIs validate ECB cut bets? – Preview

Investors see rate cuts by the ECB, despite post-meeting hawkish rhetoric Eurozone prel. PMIs the next piece of information that could shake those bets Euro could slide if the PMIs disappoint when released on Friday, at 08:00 GMT After ECB meeting, the market sees rate cuts for next year Last week, the ECB decided to raise interest rates by 25bps, taking the deposit facility rate to a record high of 4%.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD edges higher; its next leg depends on the Fed meeting

EURUSD is edging higher today as market participants prepare for today’s event It tested the May 31 low but now appears to be heading towards the 1.0720 level SMAs’ convergence is potentially opening the door to an imminent strong move EURUSD is hovering below the busy 1.0720-1.0727 area as market participants are in waiting mode ahead of today’s significant Fed meeting.
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