Najnowsza analiza

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, NZDUSD, Gold

USDJPY prints new highs; hawkish Fed signals required to boost rally Will RBNZ’s policy approach help NZD/USD to stage a bull run? Gold gets hammered by Treasury yields; bearish but oversold   US Nonfarm payrolls --> USD/JPY US lawmakers passed a last-minute deal during the weekend to avert a government shutdown until mid-November.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD bounces off 8-month low; downtrend intact

EURUSD stuck in a clear downward path, posting a fresh 8-month bottom of 1.0487 Formation of a death cross between 50- and 200-day SMAs could spell more trouble Despite latest rebound the momentum indicators remain skewed to the bearish side EURUSD has been in a steady retreat after peaking at the 18-month high of 1.1275 on July 18, generating a series of lower highs and lower lows.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 cash index trades a tad above a 2-month low

The US 500 cash index is moving sideways again today The index bounced off the October 13, 2022 trendline The momentum indicators could signal a reversal soon The US 500 cash index is trading sideways today, hovering around the busy 4,270-4,310 area. The current downleg stopped at the long-term October 13, 2022 upward sloping trendline, allowing the bulls to temporarily gain some breathing space.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD vulnerable to more downside

USDCAD gives up weekly gains; might be due to a pullback Potential support could next emerge near 1.3400 US core PCE inflation index on the agenda USDCAD erased Tuesday’s bounce as the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) obstructed progress, forcing the price to ease towards its 50- and 200-day SMAs at 1.3450. This is also where the 38.2% Fibonacci mark of the previous upleg is placed.
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GBPAUD records another red candle, at lowest point since mid-July Aggressive bearish trend continues since August 17, 2023 peak Momentum indicators favour the current move but exhaustion signs could emerge soon GBPAUD is continuing its downward move with the bears appearing determined to recover a good part of the losses incurred during the September 2022-August 2023 uptrend.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY consolidates after pullback pauses

GBPJPY slid below 50-day SMA last week after BoE’s unexpected decision to hold rates steady Found its feet at the lower end of the Ichimoku cloud and has been directionless since then Are the bulls ready to re-take charge? GBPJPY had been stuck in a prolonged uptrend since January, posting an eight-year high of 186.75 on August 22. However, the pair has been experiencing a downside correction in the past month which has stalled for now as the short-term oscillators currently su
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Ethereum has been in a consolidation phase for the past month Death cross between 50- and 200-day SMAs fails to induce downside pressures Momentum indicators suggest intensifying buying interest ETHUSD (Ethereum) experienced a strong pullback after peaking at 2,030 in mid-July, touching a six-month low of 1,513. Meanwhile, the digital asset has been directionless for the past month, with the price closing the gap with the declining 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD still waits for support after new lows

AUDUSD extends downtrend Short-term outlook is gloomy, but recovery attempts still likely Eyes on 0.6300 ahead of RBA meeting AUDUSD plunged to a new 10-month low of 0.6330 on Wednesday, putting the downtrend from July back into play ahead of RBA’s policy decision on Tuesday. The clear bearish breakout below the 2020 support trendline has further worsened the short-term outlook.
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US 30 cash index experiences a strong bearish move, dropping 7% from July peak It broke below its 200-day simple moving average for the first time since March Momentum indicators are strongly bearish; all eyes on the stochastic oscillator The US 30 cash index is recording another red candle as the bears are firmly in control of the market and capitalizing on the recent double top pattern.
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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures hit an 11-month high

WTI futures climb to their highest level since August 2022 Advance shows no signs of easing so far, bulls eye crucial 100 psychological mark But RSI, stochastics and Bollinger bands point at overbought conditions WTI oil futures (November delivery) have been in a steady advance since July, climbing to an 11-month peak of 95.02 in today’s session before paring some gains. However, the momentum indicators are currently deep in their overbought territories, suggesting that the r
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Technical Analysis – Gold tumbles below 1,900 but looks oversold

Gold retreats below the 1,900 handle to its lowest level in a month Decline shows no signs of easing, while widening Bollinger bands point to high volatility Momentum indicators deep in their oversold territories, hinting at potential bounce Gold has been in a solid downtrend in the four-hour chart, violating both its 50- and 200-period simple moving averages (SMAs) and falling below the 1,900 psychological mark.
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Technical Analysis – Nvidia stock retreats but remains in an uptrend, for now

Nvidia stock has retreated 16% from its August record highs Uptrend remains intact, but drop under 402.00 can change that Huge earnings gap below is a clear risk if market moves lower   Nvidia shares have moved sharply lower since reaching a new record high in late August. Yet, the price structure of higher highs and higher lows has not been violated yet, which suggests that the market remains in an uptrend.
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Technical Analysis – Will USDJPY march higher?

USDJPY marks new higher highs The current state may be close to overbought territory Bulls need a durable move above 149.00 USDJPY managed to keep a footing within a short-term ascending channel and softly rise to a one-year high of 149.17 on Tuesday. That said, the price momentum remains weak and the RSI and the stochastic oscillator are already flirting with overbought levels, suggesting that buyers might soon exercise caution in the market.

Technical Analysis – Has the recent sell-off in NZDUSD run its course?

NZDUSD continues to hover around the 0.5920 level Last week’s key events did not result in a new trend in NZDUSD The momentum indicators have taken a back seat at this stage NZDUSD is trading lower, testing the support set by the May 15, 2022 low of 0.5920. The bears have managed to stop the recent series of six consecutive green candles, but they have failed, up to now, to register a significant sell-off.
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Technical Analysis – Tesla stock drops below 50-day SMA

Tesla stock experiences a pullback from September high Dipped beneath its 50-day SMA before recouping some losses Further declines could send the price to test the crucial ascending trendline Tesla’s stock has been undergoing a solid downside correction after peaking at the 278.00 region in mid-September. Despite yesterday’s green candle, the short-term indicators are pointing to more losses in the near-term as the MACD is below the red signal line and the RSI is hovering in it
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EURCHF jumps 1% in a week after surprise SNB pause Short-term bias is still bullish But obstacles lie ahead EURCHF has leapt higher over the past week, climbing well above its 50-day simple moving average (MA) and entering the Ichimoku cloud. The momentum indicators are maintaining the short-term positive bias as the RSI is edging towards the 70 overbought level, while the MACD is ascending above zero and its red signal line.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD marks its worst month of 2023

GBPUSD set to close the month with heavy losses Short-term risk bearish but oversold conditions evident Support could emerge within the 1.2100 area GBPUSD has been in the red almost every single week since peaking at a 15-month high of 1.3141 in mid-July, with selling forces intensifying significantly in September. The pair is 4.0% down this month, suffering its worst month so far this year.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY extends sideways pattern just below 15-year high

EURJPY stuck in a tight range during September Hovers a tad below 15-year peaks supported by 50-day SMA Momentum indicators are tilted slightly to the bullish side EURJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since the beginning of the year, posting a fresh 15-year peak of 159.75 on August 31. Since then, the price has been trading without a clear direction around the 158.00 handle, while the short-term oscillators are reflecting a neutral-to-positive near-term bias.
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Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, AUDUSD

US inflation could ease; will USD/JPY extend uptrend above 150? Eurozone inflation to soften too; EUR/USD at a make-or-break point Australian inflation to reverse higher; AUD/USD looks for a rebound US core PCE inflation --> USD/JPY The Fed’s favorite core PCE inflation index is expected to ease significantly to a new two-year low of 3.9% y/y on Friday at 12:30 GMT, erasing July’s moderate pickup to 4.3% y/y.
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US 500 index posts fresh 3-month low in today’s session Bears eye the ascending 200-day SMA Momentum indicators suggest that the recent decline could be overstretched The US 500 stock index (cash) has been experiencing a strong pullback following its rejection near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in mid-September. However, the aggressive selloff could be over soon as the momentum indicators are hinting at oversold conditions.
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