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AUDUSD

XM Analysis

XM Analysis - 2 araw ang nakaraan

Week Ahead – RBA, SNB and BoE next to decide, CPI and PMI data also on tap

It will be another central-bank-heavy week with the RBA, SNB and BoE None are expected to cut but there’s room for surprises Retail sales will be the highlight in the United States Plenty of other data also on the way, including flash PMIs and UK CPI RBA is in a pickle The Reserve Bank of Australia will keep the central bank theme going on Tuesday when it meets for its June policy decision.
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XM Analysis - 5 araw ang nakaraan

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD holds within descending channel

AUDUSD finds support at 50-day SMA Momentum oscillators head south AUDUSD has been developing within a downward sloping channel over the last month, finding strong support near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which overlaps with the 0.6580 support. Technically, the stochastic oscillator is suggesting more losses as it is dropping beneath the 20 level, while the MACD is standing beneath its trigger line above the zero level.
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XM Analysis - 5 araw ang nakaraan

Chinese CPI expected to tick up Australian employment data may take aussie higher China CPI is due on Wednesday at 1:30 GMT Australia’s jobs data will follow on Thursday at 01:30 GMT RBA may cut rates during 2024 The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is still considered to be one of the most hawkish among the main world central banks, despite the fact that the weaker-than-expected GDP figures for the first quarter out of Australia diminished bets about a rate hike. In
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XM Analysis - 1 linggo ang nakaraan

Week Ahead – Fed and BoJ decide on monetary policy

US CPI data and Fed to determine the dollar’s fate Will the BoJ signal that another rate hike is looming? Pound traders await UK employment and GDP numbers RBA hike bets shrink ahead of AU jobs and China CPI data   Mind the dots With US inflation resuming its downtrend in April and the ISM manufacturing PMI for May disappointing, investors remained convinced that the Fed will begin lowering interest rates at some point this year.
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XM Analysis - 2 linggo ang nakaraan

Market Comment – Fed rate cut bets grow but dollar steadies, BoC to likely cut

Soft US data continues to pile up, boosting Fed rate cut bets But dollar on steadier footing ahead of ISM services PMI Bank of Canada expected to cut rates today, loonie slips Oil slide deepens, stocks struggle for direction All eyes on ISM services PMI after soft data run After repeated setbacks, the needle finally seems to be shifting for the Fed to start cutting rates soon, with bets for a September move gaining significant traction in recent days.
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XM Analysis - 2 linggo ang nakaraan

Week Ahead – ECB rate cut might get eclipsed by BoC surprise and NFP report

ECB set to slash rates on Thursday, focus on forward guidance But will the BoC take the lead when it meets on Wednesday? US jobs report eyed on Friday as Fed unyielding on cuts OPEC+ might extend some output reductions into 2025 ECB poised to cut rates, but what’s next? The path by central banks to lower borrowing costs has been far from smooth, but it seems that the European Central Bank will be among the first to reach its desired destination.
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XM Analysis - 2 linggo ang nakaraanNeutral

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD bullish tendency in doubt

AUDUSD in the green again today, above a key trendline AUD has managed to withstand the recent USD strength Momentum indicators mixed; stochastics could send a bearish signal AUDUSD is recording another green candle today as the market continues to react positively to the recent data releases from Australia and, in particular, the hotter April inflation print.
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XM Analysis - 3 linggo ang nakaraan

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, AUDUSD

US Core PCE price index may boost USDJPY to surpass 156.00 Eurozone preliminary CPI attracts traders’ attention with EURUSD standing above 1.0800 Australia monthly CPI indicator may be a breath for AUDUSD US Core PCE price index --> USDJPY                                                                          Investors may turn their focus to the US core PCE price index for April on Friday, which is th
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XM Analysis - 3 linggo ang nakaraan

Week Ahead – US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Dollar traders lock gaze on core PCE index Eurozone CPIs in focus as June cut looms Tokyo CPIs may complicate BoJ’s policy plans Aussie awaits Australian CPIs and Chinese PMIs   Will PCE data break the “higher for longer” mantra? The US dollar stabilized this week, recovering a small portion of the losses it posted after the CPI data revealed that US inflation resumed its downtrend in April.
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XM Analysis - 3 linggo ang nakaraanBearish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD outlook turns neutral again

AUDUSD loses its gains above 0.6640 and falls into previous range area Short-term risk skewed to the downside; next support near 0.6570 US durable goods orders and more Fed speakers on the calendar   Despite the exciting bull run to a four-month high of 0.6712 last week, AUDUSD could not sustain its gains above the 0.6640 threshold, diving back into its previous range area.
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XM Analysis - 4 linggo ang nakaraan

Market Comment – Fed uncertainty puts stocks on edge, dollar edges up

Fed policymakers maintain caution ahead of minutes as risk appetite ebbs Commodities retreat from highs amid hawkish Fed, calm in Middle East Dollar inches higher, ether jumps 19% on spot ETF hopes Fed officials sing from same hymn sheet Expectations of two rate cuts by the Fed are in doubt again as investors pared back some of their bets following a string of hawkish commentary by Fed policymakers in the last 24 hours.
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XM Analysis - 4 linggo ang nakaraanBullish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD eases after bullish spike to 4-month high

AUDUSD jumps above trading range MACD indicates more gains; but RSI heads south 20- and 50-day SMAs post bullish cross AUDUSD posted a strong bullish day on Wednesday, showing some more upside pressure today, towards a fresh four-month high, exiting from the consolidation area of 0.6390-0.6635. A rally higher until the next resistance level of 0.6730 could endorse a bullish retracement in the market.
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraan

Can Australian labour data send the aussie higher? – Preview

Forecasts suggest higher unemployment rate Employment change expected to tick higher Aussie holds within trading range, data due on Thursday at 01:30 GMT Upon being dissatisfied with the RBA's choice to adopt a neutral position, Australian dollar traders will now redirect their attention towards Thursday's employment report.
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraan

Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of the US CPI release 

Countdown to US CPI report is almost over Increased risk of an upside surprise after strong PPI US dollar on the back foot today as equities in waiting mode China prepares to go all in to save the housing sector Dollar remains on the back foot The countdown to the 12:30 GMT release of the April US CPI report is almost over. Market forecasts point to a monthly change of 0.4% for the headline CPI, pushing the annual growth rate down to 3.4%.
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraan

Market Comment – Investors cautious as spotlight falls on US inflation

Dollar gains slightly on hawkish Fed remarks Investors scale back their Fed rate cut bets China’s CPI rises for the third straight month US stocks stay supported despite rebound in yields   Dollar bolstered by Fed, inflation expectations The US dollar traded slightly higher against most of its major peers on Friday, while it started the new week on a cautious note, with traders perhaps reluctant to assume large positions ahead of Wednesday’s CPI inflation numbers.
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraan

Week Ahead – US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Fed rate-cut speculators rest hopes on US inflation data After dovish BoE, pound traders turn to UK job numbers Will a strong labor market convince the RBA to hike? More Chinese data on tap amid signs of slow Q2 start Spotlight turns to US CPI numbers At last week’s meeting, the Fed appeared less hawkish than expected, with Chair Powell ruling out rate hikes and hinting that they are still leaning towards cuts.
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraanBullish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD remains undecided near crucial technical region

AUDUSD repeatedly fails to conquer the 0.6643-0.6666 range But outlook is positive as price holds above 50 and 200-day SMAs Momentum indicators deteriorate but remain in positive zones AUDUSD has been in a steady advance since its bounce off the five-month low of 0.6363 in mid-April. Although the pair has been rejected at the 0.6643-0.6666 range three times so far in 2024, the bulls do not seem ready to give up.
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraan

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD stays trapped below spring’s border

AUDUSD loses momentum near the critical resistance of 0.6640 after constructive week Short-term bias skewed to the upside, but caution required   AUDUSD keeps stubbornly seeking a close above the March-April resistance zone of 0.6640 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October-December upleg for the third consecutive trading day.
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraan

Market Comment – Dollar stays weak as Fed rate cut bets increase

US labor market cools more than expected Dollar slides as two rate cuts this year become more likely Yen retreats as intervention momentum fades Wall Street cheers prospect of lower interest rates Investors add back to their Fed rate cut bets The US dollar tumbled across the board on Friday and extended losses against some of its major peers on Monday after the US employment report revealed that the world’s largest economy saw its fewest job gains in six months in April, whi
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XM Analysis - 1 buwan ang nakaraan

Week Ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week

Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions   BoE - No rate cuts yet Britain’s economy seems to have escaped the shallow recession it fell into last year, and has finally entered the recovery phase.
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