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US30Cash


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Geopolitical developments and stronger US data push volatility to new highs across the board – Volatility Watch

Volatility remains extremely high across the FX spectrum Commodities volatility reaches new highs; Bitcoin poised for smaller moves Equities volatility is off the charts led by the S&P 500 and DAX 40 indices Volatility in EUR/USD remains very high as the pair recorded a decent weekly drop following the stronger US CPI data. Geopolitical events have also played a crucial role in pushing volatility higher in the remaining currencies, including the yen crosses, with the market n
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index slides below 50-day SMA

US 30 index in bearish mode in very short-term MACD and stochastics indicate negative correction The US 30 cash index has lost its positive momentum after the pullback from the all-time high of 39,985.85, easing beneath the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). In the short-term, the market could retain the range-bound trading as the MACD is falling beneath its trigger and zero lines, while the stochastic posted a bearish crossover.
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Market Comment – Dollar rises as Fed enters spotlight, yen plummets

US dollar gains as traders brace for hawkish Fed Yen tumbles despite BoJ’s historic decision Loonie slides on cooler than expected Canadian inflation Wall Street gains ahead of Fed, oil extends advance Will the Fed revise its dot plot higher? The US dollar traded higher against its major counterparts yesterday, gaining the most versus the yen, the kiwi and the loonie in that order.
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Why do US stocks keep ignoring downside risks? – Stock Markets

S&P 500 posts record high despite upbeat CPI print Projections of fewer rate cuts do not scare stocks Can this rally extend without a sizable correction?   Stocks unhindered by hotter-than-expected inflation report On Tuesday, the S&P 500 recorded a fresh all-time high, while both the Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones finished the session in the green despite the stronger-than-expected US CPI print.
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US 30 index in the green again following a few mixed sessions It remains just a tad below its recent all-time high Momentum indicators are mixed; the stochastic oscillator appears indecisive The US 30 cash index is in the green again today, following some mixed sessions. The bulls are probably feeling confident again as the index is just a tad below its February 12, 2024 high of 38,929. However, they probably need to register a higher high soon in order to keep the current bullish
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S&P 500 at all-time highs, expected to make bigger moves ahead – Volatility report

Volatility remains low across the FX spectrum with the exception of EUR/USD Gold volatility drops but silver remains at its midpoint; oil and Bitcoin set for small moves S&P 500 volatility rises significantly; remaining stock indices in calmer waters Volatility in EUR/USD has jumped as the pair recorded a sizeable correction last week following some key data releases.
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Market Comment – Investors lock gaze on Fed decision

Fed to stand pat, focus to turn on rate path signals Aussie falls after Australian CPI slows by more than expected Euro slides ahead of preliminary CPI data from Germany Wall Street trades mixed ahead of Fed decision Will the Fed pour cold water on March rate cut bets? The US dollar traded mixed against the other major currencies on Tuesday, but it is gaining ground today.
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Volatility Report – January 23, 2024

Volatility remains significantly low across the currency board Commodity markets seem quiet as well, oil exhibits more volatility than metals US indices in the middle of volatility range, JP225 and Bitcoin are rather hot The recent range-trading in most major currency pairs has caused their expected volatility to drop to relatively low levels.
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Volatility Report – January 16, 2024

Volatility crashed across the FX spectrum including EUR/USD and JPY crosses Gold and Silver volatility drops; oil and Bitcoin set for sizeable moves Stock indices in turbulent waters, JP225 volatility records a new monthly high  The recent range-trading in EUR/USD has caused the expected volatility to drop to the lowest level of the past month, despite some key data releases.
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Volatility Report – January 9, 2024

EUR/USD and GBP/USD volatility picks up, JPY crosses seem quiet Gold and Silver volatility inches lower, oil and Bitcoin set for big moves US indices in calm waters; DAX and JP225 volatility at monthly highs EUR/USD expected volatility remains high after a market moving NFP report and ahead of the US CPI data on Thursday. On the flip side, yen crosses are expected to experience very low volatility going forward.
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Equity indices face moment of truth as earnings season looms – Stock Markets

Earnings parade unofficially starts on Friday with major US banks Focus will fall on 2024 guidance as stocks start the year on the back foot Asymmetric risks due to rosy valuations and optimistic growth forecasts   Investors hit the pause button Undoubtedly, the major US indices had a fantastic 2023, closing the year with strong positive momentum.
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US 30 index trades a tad below its all-time high Aggressive move higher from the October lows Stochastic oscillator could be the catalyst for a sizeable correction The US 30 cash index is in the green today as it trades a hair’s breadth away from its recent all-time high of 37,813. It has been an impressive rally since the October 27, 2023 low of 32,324 with the US 30 index jumping by around 16% higher in just two months.
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Earnings season halts corporate profits recession, year-end rally in sight? - Stock Markets

Q3 financial results put an end to the earnings contraction streak Profit margins improve but real revenue suffers US indices look expensive as markets price in the perfect scenario Solid earnings season with some asterisks As the vast majority of US companies have revealed their Q3 financials, it is safe to draw some conclusions about the health of the corporate world.
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US 30 index edges higher, a tad below a key support area The current higher high broke a significant bearish pattern Momentum indicators appears to be less bullish after the strong rally The US 30 cash index is trying to record its second consecutive green candle as it trades around 6% higher than the October 27 low of 32,324. It has been an impressive bullish reaction that also managed to cancel the recent bearish series of lower lows and lower highs.
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Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index takes a much-needed breather 

US 30 cash index edges higher, a tad above the May 25 low The short-term bearish trend remains dominant Momentum indicators don't point to a reversal yet The US 30 cash index is trying to record the second consecutive green candle since it managed to bounce off the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the January 5, 2022 – October 3, 2022 downtrend.
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Stocks tumble as VIX spikes to highest level since May – Stock Markets

US equity indices retreat as investors face ‘higher for longer’ reality Wall Street’s fear gauge, VIX, posts a fresh 4-month peak Treasury yields surge to consecutive cycle highs, increasing appetite for bonds Bearish sentiment pervades Wall Street Equity markets have been under downside pressure lately as investors are bracing for a protracted period of high interest rates.
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US 30 cash index experiences a strong bearish move, dropping 7% from July peak It broke below its 200-day simple moving average for the first time since March Momentum indicators are strongly bearish; all eyes on the stochastic oscillator The US 30 cash index is recording another red candle as the bears are firmly in control of the market and capitalizing on the recent double top pattern.
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The US 30 cash index is recording another red candle as the bears are trying to push the index below the recent low of 34,024 and form a bearish structure of lower lows and lower highs. This appears to be the first proper reaction from the bears since the US 30 cash index set a new 17-month high of 35,686 on July 27, 2023. The current bearish pressure is clearly depicted in the momentum indicators. More specifically, the RSI has again dipped below its midpoint, confirming the presence of a b
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Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index correction at tipping point

The US 30 cash index has been under bearish pressure after registering a new 2023 high and its highest print since April 2022. It is trading sideways today, testing the support set by the October 13, 2022 upward sloping trendline. The previous three times this trendline was tested, the bears failed to record a decisive sell-off, geometrically increasing its importance.
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The US 30 cash index is edging lower today as the latest rally appears to have halted at the busy 35,091-35,496 range. The US 30 index actually registered a new 2023 high and its highest print since April 2022, finally overcoming the December 13, 2022 peak. The momentum indicators remain mostly supportive of the current upleg. More specifically, the RSI has reached its highest point since the August 2022 rally, but it appears to have peaked.
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