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USDJPY


Έρευνα XM

Week Ahead – BoJ, Fed and BoE meetings: a hike, a hold and a cut?

A trio of central bank decisions coming up from the BoJ, Fed and BoE One might hike, one might stand pat and the other cut rates ECB to also be in focus as Eurozone flash GDP and CPI data are due Week will culminate with crucial US jobs report BoJ expected to taper; will it hike too? The Bank of Japan has barely left the headlines lately.
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Market Comment – Dollar trims losses against yen, core PCE on tap

Dollar/yen rebounds after US GDP data Core PCE the next test for Fed rate cut bets Yen rally losing steam ahead of BoJ next week Wall Street extends slide, more earnings awaited GDP data adds fuel to dollar’s engines The dollar traded higher against most of its major counterparts on Thursday, trimming losses against the yen and extending its rally versus the wounded aussie, kiwi and Loonie.
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What to expect from markets in the run up to US elections?

Presidential race dominates headlines and complicates Fed’s job Equities suffered in the two months leading up to the last six presidential elections Market’s performance in the 2016 pre-election period could be a useful guide Dollar strengthened in 2016 but equities were under pressure Significant developments in the race lately  The recent gun attack against Donald Trump and US President Biden's candidacy withdrawal last weekend have raised even more the profile of
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY plunges towards 200-day SMA

USDJPY hits lowest since May Immediate support at 200-day SMA Technical oscillators indicate more losses USDJPY has been declining considerably after the pullback from the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 157.90, sending the markets towards a fresh almost two-month low near the 200-day SMA. The losses over the past four sessions have reached 3.8%, taking the price well below its uptrend line.
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Midweek Technical Look – USDJPY, GBPUSD, EURGBP

USDJPY confirms bearish trend reversal after brutal decline; key support nearby GBPUSD escapes broad sell-off with little injuries, but downside risks remain EURGBP set the ground for a bullish pivot within bearish channel
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY edges lower near 2-month low

USDJPY holds beneath diagonal line Stochastics and RSI suggest more bearish moves USDJPY tumbled to a new two-month low of 154.50 following a significant pullback from the long-term ascending trend line and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) near 157.90. The stochastic oscillator created a bearish crossover, diving to just above the oversold region, while the RSI is also pointing downwards near the 30 level.
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Market Comment – Dollar remains strong ahead of key data, yen surges

Dollar keeps marching north, PMIs on tap Yen extends rally as traders unwind carry trades Aussi and kiwi slide on China concerns, loonie awaits BoC Stocks trade in the red, tech earnings in the spotlight Traders continue to buy the US dollar The dollar traded higher against all but one of its major peers on Tuesday and continued to do so today.
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Heightened volatility across all asset classes – Volatility Watch

• Yen crosses are volatile as they retreat from multi-year highs • Volatility in oil and gold surges, Bitcoin follows suit • US equities exhibit higher volatility amid correction fears The euro and dollar pairs maintain low volatility ahead of the US PCE release on Friday and a quiet week on the European data front. On the flipside, volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the pairs have been extending their latest pullbacks from multi-year highs.
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US GDP and PCE inflation up next before July FOMC – Preview

Fed to get final clues on growth and inflation before July meeting But with traders more preoccupied with politics, will the data move the dollar? Preliminary GDP is due Thursday and PCE inflation on Friday, both at 12:30 GMT Fed still wants to see more progress The recent inflation reports have brought some much needed relief for both policymakers and the markets, pointing to a resumption of the downward trend after several months of sideways movement.
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Market Comment – Technical outage triggers risk aversion, Biden steps down

Markets in risk-off mode after outage Biden withdraws from Presidential race Gold and oil feel the heat of strong dollar Dollar rallies on haven flows The US dollar traded higher against most of its major peers on Friday, although its advance was paused today. With Fed fund futures indicating very little change in market expectations about the Fed’s future course of action, the dollar’s rally seems to have not been driven by developments linked to the Fed’s plans.
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Week Ahead – Flash PMIs, US GDP and BoC decision on tap

US data awaited amid overly dovish Fed rate cut bets July PMIs to reveal how economies entered H2 BoC decides on monetary policy, may cut rates again Will investors add to their Fed rate cut bets? With investors ramping up their Fed rate cut bets, the US dollar suffered during the first half of the week, although it recovered some ground on Thursday.
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Market Comment – Stock rout deepens on chipmaker selloff as dollar bounces back

Wall Street headed for weekly slump amid China trade war fears Dollar stages dramatic reversal on safety bids but gold loses out Euro slips after ECB decision, yen steady but off week’s highs Rate cut optimism turns to gloom Equity markets were mostly in the red on Friday, adding to the weekly losses after a torrid week that began with optimism that a Fed rate cut is nearing but ended on heightened fears of a fresh trade standoff between China and the US.
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Midweek Technical Look – USDJPY, USDCHF, Oil

USDJPY recoups some losses after drop to 6-week low USDCHF struggles to tumble below 0.8825 WTI crude oil advances after bouncing off 80.50
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Market Comment – Stocks suffer a fall but not sounding the alarm yet

Stocks under pressure but dollar fails to make gains ECB meets today, unlikely to produce a dovish shift Pound ignores data; yen continues to rally against the dollar Stock markets under pressure; feels like 2007 again Following last weekend’s events, the market is probably paying more attention to Donald Trump’s economic plan.
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A repeat of the 2006-07 price action could spell trouble for the S&P 500

Performance of key market assets resembles the 2006-07 period The S&P 500 index could experience a sizable correction The current US 10-year yield drop could have legs Yen could benefit further as euro/dollar volatility is possibly heading north Fed readies for a September rate cut  Almost one year after the last Fed rate hike, the latest developments in the US, predominantly the recent labour market report and last week's weaker inflation prints, have probably tipped
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Market Comment – Wall Street extends record streak, gold joins in

Rate cut and soft landing bets propel US equities to new highs Gold also sets a new record as US yields sink despite Trump risks Pound and kiwi edge up on slight upside surprises in CPI data US stocks brace for soft landing Optimism that the Fed is well placed to engineer a soft landing by cutting rates soon continues to fuel risk appetite on Wall Street, even as equity markets globally struggle against the prospect of Trump 2.0. Worries that a second Trump presidency will lead to
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Market Comment – Dollar recovers further on Trump boost

US dollar extends rebound as US yield curve steepens on Trump bets Dow Jones hits fresh record but global stocks slip on trade war fears Dovish Powell lifts sentiment, retail sales eyed next Dollar catches a bid on Trump trade A steepening US yield curve helped the US dollar to bounce back from last week’s post-CPI lows as growing bets that Donald Trump would get re-elected as President pushed long-dated yields higher while short-term yields fell on firming expectations that the
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Technical Analysis – Have USDJPY bulls lost the game?

USDJPY finds support near 158.00 after rapid downfall Short-term risk remains in the bearish zone; eyes on 155.00 level US retail sales due for release at 12:30 GMT   USDJPY set a strong foothold near its 50-day simple moving average at 157.90 after last week’s brutal exit out of the 161.00 territory. Note that the pair made a double top pattern near its 38-year high of 161.94 before descending, which typically indicates a bearish continuation.
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Higher market volatility led by yen, gold and equities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low despite weekend’s events Volatility in commodities jumps, apart from oil Stock indices experience stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Euro/dollar volatility remains very low despite last week’s weaker CPI report and the weekend’s gun attack on the Republican Presidential candidate. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the BoJ is rumoured to have intervened last week in dollar/yen, ahead of the
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Market Comment – A confused market tries to find its footing

Dollar is steadier following the weekend’s events Chairman Powell speaks today as outlook becomes challenging Bitcoin benefits from developments and gold remains above $2,400 China’s CPC plenary starts today and could generate headlines Market digests the events of the weekend A numb start to the trading week as the market is digesting the weekend’s events regarding the US Presidential candidate Donald Trump.
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